Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On Naspers Limited (JSE:NPN)
Sep 20
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South African (JSE) Market Analysis & Valuation
UpdatedSep 29, 2024
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies211
- 7D3.8%
- 3M10.9%
- 1Y22.1%
- YTD13.0%
The market is up 3.8% in the last 7 days, led by the Consumer Discretionary and all sectors gaining ground. As for the past 12 months, the market is up 22%. Earnings are forecast to grow by 21% annually.
Market Valuation and Performance
Has the South African Market valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 29 Sep 2024 | R6.4t | R5.1t | R333.2b | 10.4x | 19.4x | 1.3x |
| Tue, 27 Aug 2024 | R6.2t | R5.2t | R349.5b | 9.7x | 17.7x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 25 Jul 2024 | R5.9t | R5.2t | R418.5b | 9.2x | 14.1x | 1.1x |
| Sat, 22 Jun 2024 | R5.9t | R5.2t | R442.9b | 8.9x | 13.2x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 20 May 2024 | R5.8t | R5.3t | R431.0b | 8.6x | 13.3x | 1.1x |
| Wed, 17 Apr 2024 | R5.5t | R5.3t | R434.0b | 8.5x | 12.6x | 1x |
| Fri, 15 Mar 2024 | R5.4t | R5.3t | R461.5b | 8.4x | 11.7x | 1x |
| Sun, 11 Feb 2024 | R5.5t | R5.3t | R527.2b | 9.1x | 10.4x | 1x |
| Tue, 09 Jan 2024 | R5.7t | R5.4t | R540.4b | 9.5x | 10.5x | 1x |
| Thu, 07 Dec 2023 | R5.6t | R5.5t | R545.4b | 9.2x | 10.3x | 1x |
| Sat, 04 Nov 2023 | R5.5t | R5.4t | R541.9b | 8.9x | 10.2x | 1x |
| Mon, 02 Oct 2023 | R5.3t | R5.4t | R547.2b | 9.1x | 9.8x | 1x |
| Wed, 30 Aug 2023 | R5.8t | R5.4t | R584.9b | 8.7x | 10x | 1.1x |
| Fri, 28 Jul 2023 | R6.0t | R5.3t | R630.4b | 8.5x | 9.6x | 1.1x |
| Sun, 25 Jun 2023 | R5.8t | R5.4t | R628.8b | 8.3x | 9.2x | 1.1x |
| Tue, 23 May 2023 | R5.9t | R5.4t | R668.7b | 7.8x | 8.8x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 20 Apr 2023 | R6.1t | R5.3t | R657.5b | 8x | 9.3x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 18 Mar 2023 | R5.8t | R5.3t | R644.2b | 8.2x | 9x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 13 Feb 2023 | R6.3t | R5.2t | R658.7b | 8.6x | 9.6x | 1.2x |
| Wed, 11 Jan 2023 | R6.3t | R5.2t | R657.3b | 8.3x | 9.6x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 09 Dec 2022 | R6.1t | R5.2t | R657.2b | 8.5x | 9.3x | 1.2x |
| Sun, 06 Nov 2022 | R6.0t | R5.2t | R838.5b | 8.6x | 7.1x | 1.2x |
| Tue, 04 Oct 2022 | R5.5t | R5.1t | R835.6b | 8.5x | 6.6x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 01 Sep 2022 | R5.8t | R5.4t | R802.2b | 8.2x | 7.2x | 1.1x |
| Sat, 30 Jul 2022 | R5.9t | R5.2t | R765.3b | 8.6x | 7.7x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 27 Jun 2022 | R6.2t | R5.2t | R802.6b | 8.8x | 7.8x | 1.2x |
| Wed, 25 May 2022 | R6.3t | R5.2t | R790.5b | 9.2x | 8x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 22 Apr 2022 | R6.8t | R5.1t | R778.7b | 9.7x | 8.7x | 1.3x |
| Sun, 20 Mar 2022 | R7.3t | R5.0t | R767.0b | 10.2x | 9.5x | 1.4x |
| Tue, 15 Feb 2022 | R7.2t | R5.1t | R762.5b | 10.8x | 9.5x | 1.4x |
| Thu, 13 Jan 2022 | R7.2t | R5.1t | R764.2b | 10.6x | 9.4x | 1.4x |
| Sat, 11 Dec 2021 | R6.7t | R5.1t | R773.2b | 10x | 8.7x | 1.3x |
| Mon, 08 Nov 2021 | R6.7t | R5.0t | R587.6b | 11.1x | 11.5x | 1.3x |
| Wed, 06 Oct 2021 | R6.6t | R5.0t | R580.8b | 11.3x | 11.3x | 1.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
11.3x
Current Market PE
- Investors are optimistic on the South African market, and appear confident in strong long term growth rates.
- The market is trading at a PE ratio of 19.3x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 10.1x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for South African listed companies have declined 17% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues have been flat.
- This means that either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses is increasing since sales have remained steady while profits have fallen.
Sector Trends
Which sectors have driven the changes within the South African Market?
| ZA Market | 3.75% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 9.81% | |
| Energy | 7.89% | |
| Tech | 5.73% | |
| Materials | 5.26% | |
| Healthcare | 3.03% | |
| Industrials | 2.18% | |
| Financials | 1.97% | |
| Telecom | 1.26% | |
| Real Estate | 1.15% | |
| Consumer Staples | 0.84% | |
| Utilities | 0% | |
| Information Technology | 0% | |
| Financials | 0% | |
| Health Care | 0% | |
| Industrials | 0% | |
Sector PE
- Investors favour the Telecom sector the most for future growth, which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 18.0x.
- The market's confidence is likely because analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 37.8% which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 6.7% per year.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Materials sector, expecting annual earnings growth of 38% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings decline of 14% per year.
- In contrast, the Real Estate sector is expected to see its earnings decline by 2.2% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | Sector | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NPN Naspers | R4.22k | 14.7% +R92.0b | 39.5% | PE13.5x | Consumer Discretionary | |
| KIO Kumba Iron Ore | R389.82 | 14.3% +R15.7b | -14.3% | PE6.2x | Materials | |
| GFI Gold Fields | R279.40 | 6.1% +R14.3b | 36.1% | PE21.8x | Materials | |
| AMS Anglo American Platinum | R643.09 | 6.4% +R10.1b | -8.9% | PE14.5x | Materials | |
| OMU Old Mutual | R13.80 | 6.6% +R9.7b | 14.4% | PE8.3x | Financials |
