Narrative Update • Jun 17
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- 7D-7.3%
- 3M-10.2%
- 1Y-46.9%
- YTD-34.2%
Over the last 7 days, the Software industry has dropped 6.0%, driven by a pullback from SAP of 8.1%. On the other hand Northern Data is actually up 51%. The industry has fallen 46% in the last year. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 16% annually.
Industry Valuation and Performance
Has the German Software Industry valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 23 Jun 2026 | €166.7b | €41.8b | €7.3b | 20.9x | 22.7x | 4x |
| Thu, 21 May 2026 | €192.4b | €41.6b | €7.3b | 23.5x | 26.3x | 4.6x |
| Sat, 18 Apr 2026 | €195.8b | €41.0b | €7.1b | 21.1x | 27.5x | 4.8x |
| Mon, 16 Mar 2026 | €209.1b | €41.2b | €7.4b | 25.9x | 28.1x | 5.1x |
| Wed, 11 Feb 2026 | €223.4b | €41.1b | €7.6b | 26.9x | 29.4x | 5.4x |
| Fri, 09 Jan 2026 | €258.9b | €40.8b | €7.3b | 28.1x | 35.3x | 6.3x |
| Sun, 07 Dec 2025 | €267.8b | €40.8b | €7.3b | 27.2x | 36.5x | 6.6x |
| Tue, 04 Nov 2025 | €286.7b | €40.7b | €7.3b | 31.7x | 39.2x | 7x |
| Thu, 02 Oct 2025 | €285.3b | €39.4b | €6.7b | 33.8x | 42.7x | 7.2x |
| Sat, 30 Aug 2025 | €291.0b | €39.4b | €6.7b | 33.2x | 43.5x | 7.4x |
| Mon, 28 Jul 2025 | €307.7b | €39.3b | €6.7b | 29.8x | 46.1x | 7.8x |
| Wed, 25 Jun 2025 | €319.6b | €38.8b | €5.9b | 30.6x | 54.4x | 8.2x |
| Fri, 23 May 2025 | €330.7b | €38.9b | €5.9b | 34.3x | 56.5x | 8.5x |
| Sun, 20 Apr 2025 | €285.7b | €38.7b | €3.3b | 26.2x | 86.1x | 7.4x |
| Tue, 18 Mar 2025 | €310.9b | €38.5b | €3.3b | 24.7x | 94.4x | 8.1x |
| Thu, 13 Feb 2025 | €349.5b | €38.5b | €3.3b | 22.1x | 105x | 9.1x |
| Sat, 11 Jan 2025 | €307.7b | €37.4b | €2.9b | 24.3x | 104.7x | 8.2x |
| Mon, 09 Dec 2024 | €303.7b | €37.4b | €2.9b | 23.4x | 103.2x | 8.1x |
| Wed, 06 Nov 2024 | €271.8b | €37.3b | €2.9b | 25x | 92.4x | 7.3x |
| Fri, 04 Oct 2024 | €253.5b | €36.6b | €2.8b | 26.8x | 92.1x | 6.9x |
| Sun, 01 Sep 2024 | €253.6b | €37.6b | €2.8b | 26.4x | 91.9x | 6.8x |
| Tue, 30 Jul 2024 | €244.5b | €36.9b | €2.6b | 24.3x | 94.6x | 6.6x |
| Thu, 27 Jun 2024 | €235.0b | €36.5b | €2.6b | 22.2x | 91.6x | 6.4x |
| Sat, 25 May 2024 | €228.5b | €36.5b | €2.6b | 21.9x | 89x | 6.3x |
| Mon, 22 Apr 2024 | €212.7b | €36.5b | €3.9b | 23x | 55.2x | 5.8x |
| Wed, 20 Mar 2024 | €223.2b | €36.3b | €4.1b | 20.5x | 54.4x | 6.2x |
| Fri, 16 Feb 2024 | €213.2b | €36.2b | €4.1b | 21.2x | 52.5x | 5.9x |
| Sun, 14 Jan 2024 | €192.0b | €38.0b | €2.3b | 24x | 84.3x | 5.1x |
| Tue, 12 Dec 2023 | €194.2b | €38.0b | €2.3b | 23.1x | 85.9x | 5.1x |
| Thu, 09 Nov 2023 | €177.1b | €38.0b | €2.3b | 24.8x | 78.2x | 4.7x |
| Sat, 07 Oct 2023 | €164.2b | €37.6b | €1.8b | 27.5x | 89.8x | 4.4x |
| Mon, 04 Sep 2023 | €171.4b | €37.6b | €1.8b | 28.3x | 93.3x | 4.6x |
| Wed, 02 Aug 2023 | €166.4b | €37.5b | €1.8b | 31.9x | 91.9x | 4.4x |
| Fri, 30 Jun 2023 | €166.7b | €37.4b | €2.2b | 31.1x | 74.4x | 4.5x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
74.4x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are pessimistic on the German Software industry, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates will be lower than they have historically.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 23.1x which is lower than its 3-year average PE of 67.7x.
- The 3-year average PS ratio of 6.4x is higher than the industry's current PS ratio of 4.1x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Software industry have grown 48% per year over the last three years.
- Revenues for these companies have grown 3.8% per year.
- This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the German Tech industry?
| DE Market | 0.10% | |
| Tech | -1.87% | |
| Software | -7.29% | |
| Systems Software | -0.94% | |
| Application Software | -7.32% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Systems Software industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 21.0%, which is lower than the prior year's growth of 51.9% per year.
- Investors are most pessimistic about the Application Software industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 66.8x.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Systems Software industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 21% over the next 5 years.
- However this is lower than its past earnings growth rate of 52% per year.
- In contrast, the Application Software industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 16% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NB2 Northern Data | €8.03 | 51.1% +€174.3m | -68.6% | PS6.4x | |
| SJJ Serviceware | €13.15 | 6.9% +€8.9m | -20.1% | PE71.2x | |
| IVU IVU Traffic Technologies | €20.40 | 2.0% +€6.9m | 8.5% | PE24.7x | |
| OSP2 USU Software | €9.04 | 5.1% +€4.4m | -62.7% | PE16.5x | |
| CSH CENIT | €8.76 | 6.1% +€4.2m | -2.2% | PE12.2x |
