Calculating The Fair Value Of Brilliant AG (HMSE:BAG)
Jun 05
German (DAX) Consumer Durables Industry Analysis
UpdatedJun 06, 2024
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies10
- 7D0.2%
- 3M17.3%
- 1Y-4.4%
- YTD3.6%
Last week, the Consumer Durables industry hasn't moved much but Brilliant is up 23% in that time. Unfortunately though, the industry is down 6.7% over the past 12 months. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 20% per annum.
Industry Valuation and Performance
Has the German Consumer Durables Industry valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 06 Jun 2024 | €1.1b | €2.6b | €19.4m | 7.1x | 58.1x | 0.4x |
| Sat, 04 May 2024 | €1.1b | €2.6b | €14.5m | 2x | 73.9x | 0.4x |
| Mon, 01 Apr 2024 | €983.2m | €2.6b | €14.4m | 4x | 68.1x | 0.4x |
| Wed, 28 Feb 2024 | €993.3m | €2.6b | €9.8m | 4x | 101.1x | 0.4x |
| Fri, 26 Jan 2024 | €1.1b | €2.6b | €9.3m | 6.4x | 119.9x | 0.4x |
| Sun, 24 Dec 2023 | €1.1b | €2.6b | €9.3m | 4.8x | 122x | 0.4x |
| Tue, 21 Nov 2023 | €1.1b | €2.6b | €11.8m | 11.7x | 94.6x | 0.4x |
| Thu, 19 Oct 2023 | €1.1b | €2.6b | €26.8m | 11.1x | 39.9x | 0.4x |
| Sat, 16 Sep 2023 | €1.2b | €2.5b | €34.1m | 11x | 34.8x | 0.5x |
| Mon, 14 Aug 2023 | €1.2b | €2.5b | €31.2m | 21.4x | 38.6x | 0.5x |
| Wed, 12 Jul 2023 | €1.2b | €2.5b | €71.1m | 17.2x | 17x | 0.5x |
| Fri, 09 Jun 2023 | €1.2b | €2.6b | €72.8m | 19.9x | 17.1x | 0.5x |
| Sun, 07 May 2023 | €1.3b | €2.6b | €76.0m | 20.2x | 16.8x | 0.5x |
| Tue, 04 Apr 2023 | €1.2b | €2.7b | €103.3m | 9.2x | 11.8x | 0.5x |
| Thu, 02 Mar 2023 | €1.2b | €2.7b | €127.4m | 8.4x | 9.6x | 0.4x |
| Sat, 28 Jan 2023 | €1.2b | €2.7b | €127.4m | 8.5x | 9.5x | 0.4x |
| Mon, 26 Dec 2022 | €1.1b | €2.7b | €127.4m | 8.2x | 8.8x | 0.4x |
| Wed, 23 Nov 2022 | €1.1b | €2.7b | €130.4m | 6.8x | 8.8x | 0.4x |
| Fri, 21 Oct 2022 | €1.1b | €2.7b | €143.2m | 6.7x | 8x | 0.4x |
| Sun, 18 Sep 2022 | €1.2b | €2.7b | €143.2m | 7.5x | 8.7x | 0.5x |
| Tue, 16 Aug 2022 | €1.4b | €2.7b | €139.5m | 8.5x | 10x | 0.5x |
| Thu, 14 Jul 2022 | €1.3b | €2.7b | €148.3m | 8.2x | 8.9x | 0.5x |
| Sat, 11 Jun 2022 | €1.5b | €2.6b | €145.7m | 9.5x | 10.5x | 0.6x |
| Mon, 09 May 2022 | €1.7b | €2.7b | €152.1m | 10.3x | 11.4x | 0.7x |
| Wed, 06 Apr 2022 | €1.8b | €2.6b | €154.3m | 11.8x | 11.7x | 0.7x |
| Fri, 04 Mar 2022 | €1.9b | €2.6b | €156.0m | 12.1x | 12x | 0.7x |
| Sun, 30 Jan 2022 | €2.0b | €2.5b | €154.8m | 13.6x | 13.1x | 0.8x |
| Tue, 28 Dec 2021 | €3.3b | €2.6b | €153.2m | 13.7x | 21.9x | 1.3x |
| Thu, 25 Nov 2021 | €2.2b | €2.6b | €153.2m | 13.7x | 14.1x | 0.8x |
| Sat, 23 Oct 2021 | €2.0b | €2.5b | €146.4m | 12x | 13.6x | 0.8x |
| Mon, 20 Sep 2021 | €2.1b | €2.5b | €146.4m | 12.4x | 14.1x | 0.8x |
| Wed, 18 Aug 2021 | €2.0b | €2.5b | €146.6m | 12.3x | 13.8x | 0.8x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
13.3x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are optimistic on the German Consumer Durables industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 58.1x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 31.2x.
- The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 0.57x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Consumer Durables industry have declined 49% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues have remained mostly flat.
- This means that although sales have remained flat, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the German Consumer Discretionary industry?
| DE Market | 0.88% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 0.19% | |
| Consumer Durables | 0.17% | |
| Household Appliances | 1.91% | |
| Home Furnishings | -1.50% | |
| Housewares and Specialties | -3.41% | |
| Consumer Electronics | -3.66% | |
| Homebuilding | -8.25% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Housewares and Specialties industry even though it's trading below its 3-year average PE ratio of 62.3x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 34.5%, which is lower than the prior year's growth of 557.6% per year.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Home Furnishings industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 38% over the next 5 years.
- In contrast, the Household Appliances industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 9.6% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAG Brilliant | €22.00 | 41.9% +€2.3m | -12.0% | PS0.1x | |
| H5E HELMA Eigenheimbau | €0.31 | 8.3% +€96.0k | -97.3% | PS0.005x | |
| TCU TC Unterhaltungselektronik | €0.27 | 35.0% +€89.4k | 22.7% | PS0.8x |
