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South African (JSE) Metals and Mining Industry Analysis

UpdatedJun 08, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies17
  • 7D-9.6%
  • 3M-23.8%
  • 1Y34.2%
  • YTD-19.0%

Over the last 7 days, the Metals and Mining industry has dropped 9.6%, driven by Valterra Platinum declining 9.2%. Over the past 12 months, the industry was up 34%. Earnings are forecast to grow by 17% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the South African Metals and Mining Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Mon, 08 Jun 2026R1.6tR739.3bR120.8b10.1x13.1x2.1x
Wed, 06 May 2026R1.8tR739.2bR120.4b10.6x15x2.5x
Fri, 03 Apr 2026R1.9tR741.7bR121.4b11.9x16x2.6x
Sun, 01 Mar 2026R2.4tR705.1bR106.2b15.9x22.7x3.4x
Tue, 27 Jan 2026R2.4tR658.9bR53.8b27.4x45.5x3.7x
Thu, 25 Dec 2025R2.0tR664.0bR55.1b22.1x36.9x3.1x
Sat, 22 Nov 2025R1.6tR670.1bR56.0b18.2x28.8x2.4x
Mon, 20 Oct 2025R1.8tR670.0bR56.0b20.6x32.1x2.7x
Wed, 17 Sep 2025R1.5tR670.9bR56.5b18.2x27.1x2.3x
Fri, 15 Aug 2025R1.4tR638.9bR24.4b11x55.8x2.1x
Sun, 13 Jul 2025R1.3tR657.8bR30.8b7.3x41.1x1.9x
Tue, 10 Jun 2025R1.2tR656.3bR30.6b7x38.5x1.8x
Thu, 08 May 2025R1.1tR661.5bR31.8b6.9x34.2x1.6x
Sat, 05 Apr 2025R948.9bR667.3bR34.2b6.3x27.7x1.4x
Mon, 03 Mar 2025R866.8bR659.4bR32.1b8.4x27x1.3x
Wed, 29 Jan 2025R883.8bR662.2b-R12,786,975,080.789.7x-69.1x1.3x
Fri, 27 Dec 2024R799.6bR663.2b-R12,655,114,926.459.4x-63.2x1.2x
Sun, 24 Nov 2024R880.1bR658.3b-R13,404,378,433.3110.2x-65.7x1.3x
Tue, 22 Oct 2024R966.7bR655.4b-R13,783,337,766.3111.1x-70.1x1.5x
Thu, 19 Sep 2024R825.7bR655.6b-R14,874,620,129.1411.3x-55.5x1.3x
Sat, 17 Aug 2024R898.3bR671.1bR8.4b5.7x107.1x1.3x
Mon, 15 Jul 2024R942.3bR687.2bR13.6b6.4x69.4x1.4x
Wed, 12 Jun 2024R875.8bR690.8bR14.1b6.2x62.2x1.3x
Fri, 10 May 2024R973.1bR689.4bR14.2b7x68.3x1.4x
Sun, 07 Apr 2024R978.0bR690.7bR14.4b6.5x67.8x1.4x
Tue, 05 Mar 2024R865.0bR710.3bR68.9b4.5x12.6x1.2x
Thu, 01 Feb 2024R981.0bR731.5bR93.0b7.4x10.5x1.3x
Sat, 30 Dec 2023R1.1tR730.0bR92.8b8.5x11.6x1.5x
Mon, 27 Nov 2023R951.3bR732.7bR93.7b7.2x10.1x1.3x
Wed, 25 Oct 2023R890.1bR734.2bR94.0b6.9x9.5x1.2x
Fri, 22 Sep 2023R1.0tR820.0bR96.1b6.3x10.8x1.3x
Sun, 20 Aug 2023R976.8bR843.3bR137.5b4.2x7.1x1.2x
Tue, 18 Jul 2023R1.2tR861.4bR166.7b4.4x7.3x1.4x
Thu, 15 Jun 2023R1.3tR872.0bR175.6b4.8x7.7x1.5x
Price to Earnings Ratio

7.7x


Total Market Cap: R1.3tTotal Earnings: R175.6bTotal Revenue: R872.0bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
South African Metals and Mining Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 39.8x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are pessimistic on the South African Metals and Mining industry, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates will be lower than they have historically.
  • The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 13.1x which is lower than its 3-year average PE of 39.8x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.8x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.1x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Metals and Mining industry have declined 12% per year over the last three years,
  • Revenues have also declined 5.4% per year.
  • This means overall sales from these companies are declining and profits are subsequently falling as well.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the South African Materials industry?

ZA Market-2.67%
Materials-7.86%
Metals and Mining-9.65%
Copper0%0
Aluminum0%0
Gold-6.94%
Steel-7.09%
Diversified Metals and Mining-8.18%
Precious Metals and Minerals-12.54%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Precious Metals and Minerals industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 27.5%, which is lower than the prior year's growth of 128.3% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Aluminum industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 62% over the next 5 years.
  • In contrast, the Steel industry is expected to see its earnings decline by 12% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
ACL ArcelorMittal South AfricaR1.4110.2%
+R186.0m		27.0%PS0.06x
MRF Merafe ResourcesR1.333.9%
+R125.0m		9.9%PE23.3x
HLM HulaminR1.751.7%
+R9.4m		-26.8%PS0.04x
CPR Copper 360R0.502.0%
+R6.9m		-68.8%PS2.4x
RNG Randgold & ExplorationR1.137.6%
+R5.7m		41.3%PB2x

Latest News

NPH
R265.85
Northam Platinum Holdings
7D
-12.4%
1Y
51.6%
Narrative Update • Jun 07

NPH: Maintained Fair Value And Higher Required Returns Will Support Bullish Repricing

Analysts have kept the ZAR price target for Northam Platinum Holdings steady at ZAR490.00. Updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E were used to refresh their valuation view rather than shift it.
GFI
R593.41
Gold Fields
7D
-2.0%
1Y
35.7%
Narrative Update • Jun 06

GFI: Higher Gold Prices And Project Execution Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their price target on Gold Fields from about ZAR831.30 to roughly ZAR914.75. They cite updated gold price forecasts, mixed revisions to stock ratings, and adjusted assumptions for growth, margins, the discount rate, and future P/E multiples.
HLM
R1.75
Hulamin
7D
1.7%
1Y
-26.8%
Narrative Update • Jun 05

HLM: Narrowing 2025 Loss Guidance Will Support Prospective Upside

Analysts have maintained their ZAR fair value estimate for Hulamin, reflecting only minor adjustments to assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that do not materially alter their overall view on the stock. What's in the News Hulamin issued earnings guidance for the year ending 31 December 2025, indicating an expected loss per share in a range of 43 cents to 53 cents, compared with 93 cents in the prior year.
VAL
R1,167.70
Valterra Platinum
7D
-10.5%
1Y
46.0%
Narrative Update • Jun 03

VAL: Trimmed Growth And Margin Assumptions Will Pressure Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Valterra Platinum from ZAR 8,000 to ZAR 7,890, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E following recent mixed research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a more cautious tone around Valterra Platinum, with the latest price target revisions reflecting updated assumptions on growth, profitability, and valuation multiples.
HAR
R255.00
Harmony Gold Mining
7D
-8.9%
1Y
-2.7%
Narrative Update • Jun 03

HAR: Higher Margins And Payouts Will Support A Stronger Medium Term Outlook

Analysts have lifted their Harmony Gold Mining price target slightly from ZAR385 to ZAR390, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple in their models. What's in the News Ninety One SA (Pty) Ltd increased its minority holding in Harmony Gold Mining Company to 5.2017% of total issued shares, following the completion of an additional stake acquisition on April 20, 2026.
KIO
R306.12
Kumba Iron Ore
7D
-2.2%
1Y
4.6%
Narrative Update • Jun 03

KIO: Future Returns Will Rely On Rail Delivery And Stable Payouts

Analysts have raised their price target for Kumba Iron Ore from ZAR306 to about ZAR314, citing updated assumptions that reflect slightly slower expected revenue declines, a modestly higher projected profit margin, and a small adjustment to the forecast future P/E multiple and discount rate. What's in the News Kumba Iron Ore reported first quarter 2026 production of 8.8 Mt, compared with 9.0 Mt in Q1 2025, with lower output at Kolomela partly offset by higher production at Sishen.
CPR
R0.50
Copper 360
7D
2.0%
1Y
-68.8%
IMP
R189.81
Impala Platinum Holdings
7D
-14.8%
1Y
26.4%
Narrative Update • Jun 02

IMP: Strong Production Volumes And Firm Margins Will Support Future Share Price

Analysts have slightly revised their valuation model for Impala Platinum Holdings, trimming the ZAR fair value estimate from about ZAR529.29 to ZAR522.52. Updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate and the future P/E have resulted in a lower price target.
ACL
R1.41
ArcelorMittal South Africa
7D
10.2%
1Y
27.0%
SSW
R40.80
Sibanye Stillwater
7D
-12.6%
1Y
32.8%
Narrative Update • May 28

SSW: Future Returns Will Rely On Executing Higher Margin And P E Assumptions

Analysts have reset their ZAR price expectations for Sibanye Stillwater lower, with a new fair value estimate of about ZAR65.41 compared with roughly ZAR82.53 previously, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and a reduced future P/E assumption. What's in the News First quarter 2026 update: SA PGM operations 4E production, excluding third party concentrate, was 2% higher year on year, with AISC of ZAR 24,629/4Eoz (US$1,507/4Eoz) in line with the first quarter of 2025.
ARI
R185.48
African Rainbow Minerals
7D
-10.0%
1Y
4.3%
Narrative Update • May 25

ARI: Higher PGM Prices And Asset Gains Will Support Stronger 1H F2026 Earnings

Analysts have nudged their price target for African Rainbow Minerals slightly higher to ZAR267.20 from ZAR265, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and a lower expected future P/E multiple. What's in the News Norges Bank completed the acquisition of a 5.02% stake in African Rainbow Minerals on May 13, 2026, taking a sizeable institutional position in the company (Key Developments).
MRF
R1.33
Merafe Resources
7D
3.9%
1Y
9.9%
RNG
R1.13
Randgold & Exploration
7D
7.6%
1Y
41.3%