Optimistic Investors Push Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:VISTAA) Shares Up 27% But Growth Is Lacking
May 13
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Mexican (IPC) Market Analysis & Valuation
UpdatedMay 14, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies116
- 7D-0.9%
- 3M5.8%
- 1Y-3.4%
- YTD11.5%
In the last week, the market has stayed flat, however the Energy sector stood out, gaining 13%. The past year hasn't been profitable, with the market dropping 3.4%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 11% per annum.
Market Valuation and Performance
Has the Mexican Market valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 14 May 2025 | Mex$9.2t | Mex$7.6t | Mex$591.8b | 11.9x | 15.5x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 11 Apr 2025 | Mex$8.5t | Mex$7.6t | Mex$611.8b | 10.6x | 13.9x | 1.1x |
| Sun, 09 Mar 2025 | Mex$8.7t | Mex$7.6t | Mex$598.7b | 10.6x | 14.5x | 1.2x |
| Tue, 04 Feb 2025 | Mex$8.6t | Mex$7.6t | Mex$615.4b | 11.6x | 14x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 02 Jan 2025 | Mex$8.5t | Mex$7.6t | Mex$614.5b | 11.6x | 13.9x | 1.1x |
| Sat, 30 Nov 2024 | Mex$8.4t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$602.3b | 11.7x | 14x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 28 Oct 2024 | Mex$8.8t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$601.3b | 12x | 14.6x | 1.2x |
| Wed, 25 Sep 2024 | Mex$9.0t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$588.2b | 12.1x | 15.4x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 23 Aug 2024 | Mex$9.2t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$589.8b | 11.6x | 15.6x | 1.3x |
| Sun, 21 Jul 2024 | Mex$9.2t | Mex$7.2t | Mex$554.7b | 13.6x | 16.6x | 1.3x |
| Tue, 18 Jun 2024 | Mex$8.8t | Mex$7.1t | Mex$577.3b | 12.3x | 15.3x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 16 May 2024 | Mex$9.6t | Mex$7.0t | Mex$568.4b | 13.9x | 16.9x | 1.4x |
| Sat, 13 Apr 2024 | Mex$9.5t | Mex$7.1t | Mex$578.9b | 13.4x | 16.3x | 1.3x |
| Mon, 11 Mar 2024 | Mex$9.4t | Mex$7.1t | Mex$585.4b | 13x | 16.1x | 1.3x |
| Wed, 07 Feb 2024 | Mex$9.8t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$630.9b | 13.8x | 15.5x | 1.3x |
| Fri, 05 Jan 2024 | Mex$9.6t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$656.6b | 13.2x | 14.7x | 1.3x |
| Sun, 03 Dec 2023 | Mex$9.3t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$657.5b | 12.4x | 14.2x | 1.3x |
| Tue, 31 Oct 2023 | Mex$8.7t | Mex$7.5t | Mex$665.8b | 11.7x | 13.1x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 28 Sep 2023 | Mex$9.0t | Mex$7.5t | Mex$662.3b | 12.9x | 13.5x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 26 Aug 2023 | Mex$9.2t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$653.5b | 12.8x | 14.1x | 1.2x |
| Mon, 24 Jul 2023 | Mex$9.4t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$652.9b | 12.9x | 14.3x | 1.3x |
| Wed, 21 Jun 2023 | Mex$9.4t | Mex$7.3t | Mex$638.9b | 13.1x | 14.7x | 1.3x |
| Fri, 19 May 2023 | Mex$9.5t | Mex$7.3t | Mex$641.0b | 13.2x | 14.7x | 1.3x |
| Sun, 16 Apr 2023 | Mex$9.6t | Mex$7.2t | Mex$655.8b | 12.5x | 14.6x | 1.3x |
| Tue, 14 Mar 2023 | Mex$9.4t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$668.3b | 12x | 14.1x | 1.3x |
| Thu, 09 Feb 2023 | Mex$9.4t | Mex$7.2t | Mex$667.6b | 11.7x | 14.1x | 1.3x |
| Sat, 07 Jan 2023 | Mex$9.2t | Mex$7.2t | Mex$661.1b | 11.9x | 14x | 1.3x |
| Mon, 05 Dec 2022 | Mex$9.2t | Mex$7.3t | Mex$649.0b | 11.9x | 14.1x | 1.3x |
| Wed, 02 Nov 2022 | Mex$9.1t | Mex$8.3t | Mex$2.6t | 11.5x | 3.5x | 1.1x |
| Fri, 30 Sep 2022 | Mex$8.3t | Mex$7.2t | Mex$627.9b | 10.6x | 13.2x | 1.1x |
| Sun, 28 Aug 2022 | Mex$8.6t | Mex$7.2t | Mex$625.9b | 11.4x | 13.7x | 1.2x |
| Tue, 26 Jul 2022 | Mex$8.7t | Mex$7.1t | Mex$625.7b | 12.1x | 13.9x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 23 Jun 2022 | Mex$8.4t | Mex$6.8t | Mex$624.4b | 12.2x | 13.4x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 21 May 2022 | Mex$8.8t | Mex$6.9t | Mex$622.4b | 11.9x | 14.1x | 1.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
14.1x
Current Market PE
- Investors are relatively neutral on the Mexican market at the moment, indicating that they expect earnings will grow in line with historical growth rates.
- The market is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 14.4x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for Mexican listed companies have remained mostly flat over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues have grown 3.3% per year.
- This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased and as a result, profits have held steady.
Sector Trends
Which sectors have driven the changes within the Mexican Market?
| MX Market | -0.93% | |
| Energy | 13.13% | |
| Healthcare | 4.64% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1.10% | |
| Materials | 0.54% | |
| Telecom | -1.11% | |
| Financials | -1.37% | |
| Consumer Staples | -1.45% | |
| Industrials | -1.72% | |
| Real Estate | -2.15% | |
| Utilities | -4.07% | |
Sector PE
- Investors favour the Utilities sector the most for future growth which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio.
- It looks like investors are confident that earnings will grow faster in the future than they have historically.
- The Real Estate sector is the least preferred by investors for future growth, which is trading close to its 3-year average of 8.5x.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Telecom sector, expecting annual earnings growth of 26% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings decline of 19% per year.
- In contrast, the Real Estate sector is expected to see its earnings decline by 18% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | Sector | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VISTA A Vista Energy. de | Mex$994.05 | 13.1% +Mex$12.2b | 25.8% | PE11.2x | Energy | |
| CEMEX CPO CEMEX. de | Mex$13.23 | 4.6% +Mex$8.8b | 0.4% | PE13.3x | Materials | |
| GMEXICO B Grupo México. de | Mex$103.83 | 0.7% +Mex$5.4b | -0.2% | PE11.2x | Materials | |
| CHDRAUI B Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de | Mex$139.81 | 3.6% +Mex$4.7b | 13.6% | PE21.2x | Consumer Staples | |
| CMOCTEZ * Corporación Moctezuma. de | Mex$85.00 | 3.7% +Mex$2.6b | 13.5% | PE11.1x | Materials |
