Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. Just Missed EPS By 6.6%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

As you might know, Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:WALMEX) recently reported its quarterly numbers. It looks like the results were a bit of a negative overall. While revenues of Mex$241b were in line with analyst predictions, statutory earnings were less than expected, missing estimates by 6.6% to hit Mex$0.71 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Wal-Mart de México. de from 13 analysts is for revenues of Mex$1.03t in 2025. If met, it would imply an okay 5.7% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to rise 5.6% to Mex$3.21. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of Mex$1.03t and earnings per share (EPS) of Mex$3.26 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

See our latest analysis for Wal-Mart de México. de

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at Mex$68.59. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Wal-Mart de México. de analyst has a price target of Mex$81.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at Mex$62.00. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Wal-Mart de México. de is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Wal-Mart de México. de's past performance and to peers in the same industry. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Wal-Mart de México. de'shistorical trends, as the 7.7% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 8.0% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 7.6% annually. So although Wal-Mart de México. de is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's only growing at about the rate of the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. The consensus price target held steady at Mex$68.59, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Wal-Mart de México. de analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Wal-Mart de México. de that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.