Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V.

BMV:WALMEX * Stock Report

Mkt Cap: Mex$1.3t

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Wal-Mart de México. de Valuation

Is WALMEX * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WALMEX *?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

WALMEX * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.5x
PEG Ratio2.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WALMEX *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WALMEX * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.7x
SORIANA B Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V
11.3x6.3%Mex$54.2b
GIGANTE * Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V
14.7xn/aMex$24.4b
CHDRAUI B Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de
17.2x11.1%Mex$84.9b
LACOMER UBC La Comer. de
23.6x11.7%Mex$43.2b
WALMEX * Wal-Mart de México. de
28x10.4%Mex$1.3t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WALMEX * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x) compared to the peer average (16.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WALMEX *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.3%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WALMEX * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x) compared to the South American Consumer Retailing industry average (16.1x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WALMEX *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WALMEX * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28x
Fair PE Ratio22.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WALMEX * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.2x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WALMEX * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WALMEX * (MX$75.96) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$52.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WALMEX * is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WALMEX * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$75.96
Mex$81.11
+6.8%
7.3%Mex$91.00Mex$70.00n/a17
Jan ’24Mex$68.59
Mex$81.11
+18.2%
7.3%Mex$91.00Mex$70.00n/a17
Dec ’23Mex$73.03
Mex$81.24
+11.2%
7.5%Mex$91.00Mex$70.00n/a16
Nov ’23Mex$78.89
Mex$81.11
+2.8%
7.4%Mex$93.00Mex$71.00n/a16
Oct ’23Mex$70.83
Mex$80.38
+13.5%
8.7%Mex$93.00Mex$67.00n/a18
Sep ’23Mex$69.70
Mex$80.29
+15.2%
8.5%Mex$93.00Mex$67.00n/a19
Aug ’23Mex$71.77
Mex$79.50
+10.8%
7.6%Mex$91.00Mex$67.00n/a19
Jul ’23Mex$70.23
Mex$79.76
+13.6%
7.6%Mex$90.00Mex$67.00n/a19
Jun ’23Mex$73.60
Mex$79.60
+8.2%
7.6%Mex$90.00Mex$67.00n/a19
May ’23Mex$72.16
Mex$78.97
+9.4%
12.0%Mex$93.00Mex$50.00n/a19
Apr ’23Mex$80.51
Mex$78.40
-2.6%
12.2%Mex$93.00Mex$50.00n/a19
Mar ’23Mex$76.81
Mex$76.95
+0.2%
11.8%Mex$90.00Mex$50.00n/a19
Feb ’23Mex$71.82
Mex$75.54
+5.2%
11.7%Mex$90.00Mex$50.00n/a19
Jan ’23Mex$76.09
Mex$74.57
-2.0%
12.4%Mex$90.00Mex$50.00Mex$68.5920
Dec ’22Mex$69.62
Mex$73.57
+5.7%
12.9%Mex$90.00Mex$50.00Mex$73.0320
Nov ’22Mex$73.33
Mex$73.17
-0.2%
12.6%Mex$90.00Mex$50.00Mex$78.8920
Oct ’22Mex$70.16
Mex$70.26
+0.1%
12.3%Mex$90.00Mex$50.00Mex$70.8320
Sep ’22Mex$71.29
Mex$69.36
-2.7%
11.7%Mex$90.00Mex$50.00Mex$69.7020
Aug ’22Mex$65.62
Mex$67.51
+2.9%
8.4%Mex$76.00Mex$50.00Mex$71.7720
Jul ’22Mex$64.18
Mex$67.11
+4.6%
8.5%Mex$76.00Mex$50.00Mex$70.2320
Jun ’22Mex$65.05
Mex$66.91
+2.9%
8.3%Mex$76.00Mex$50.00Mex$73.6020
May ’22Mex$66.31
Mex$66.31
-0.008%
8.8%Mex$76.00Mex$50.00Mex$72.1620
Apr ’22Mex$64.47
Mex$65.96
+2.3%
8.9%Mex$76.00Mex$50.00Mex$80.5120
Mar ’22Mex$60.54
Mex$65.66
+8.4%
9.2%Mex$76.00Mex$50.00Mex$76.8120
Feb ’22Mex$58.35
Mex$62.56
+7.2%
6.8%Mex$70.00Mex$50.00Mex$71.8220
Jan ’22Mex$55.98
Mex$62.21
+11.1%
7.2%Mex$70.00Mex$50.00Mex$76.0920

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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