Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V.

BMV:SORIANA B Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$51.8b

Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V Valuation

Is SORIANA B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SORIANA B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SORIANA B (MX$28.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$35.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SORIANA B is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SORIANA B?

Key metric: As SORIANA B is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SORIANA B. This is calculated by dividing SORIANA B's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SORIANA B's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.3x
EarningsMex$4.21b
Market CapMex$51.75b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SORIANA B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SORIANA B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.6x
WALMEX * Wal-Mart de México. de
17.9x9.6%Mex$959.9b
LACOMER UBC La Comer. de
16.6x11.2%Mex$39.1b
FRAGUA B Corporativo Fragua. de
16x13.9%Mex$78.5b
CHDRAUI B Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de
15.9x13.0%Mex$122.8b
SORIANA B Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V
12.3x0.6%Mex$51.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SORIANA B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the peer average (16.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SORIANA B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SORIANA B 12.3xIndustry Avg. 15.4xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SORIANA B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the South American Consumer Retailing industry average (15.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SORIANA B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SORIANA B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.3x
Fair PE Ratio10.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SORIANA B is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SORIANA B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$28.75
Mex$25.00
-13.0%
19.4%Mex$35.00Mex$19.00n/a7
Nov ’25Mex$28.28
Mex$25.00
-11.6%
19.4%Mex$35.00Mex$19.00n/a7
Oct ’25Mex$31.10
Mex$25.57
-17.8%
18.1%Mex$35.00Mex$19.00n/a7
Sep ’25Mex$30.48
Mex$25.57
-16.1%
18.1%Mex$35.00Mex$19.00n/a7
Aug ’25Mex$31.19
Mex$26.29
-15.7%
17.7%Mex$35.00Mex$19.00n/a7
Jul ’25Mex$30.34
Mex$26.00
-14.3%
18.2%Mex$35.00Mex$19.00n/a7
Jun ’25Mex$32.32
Mex$26.14
-19.1%
18.2%Mex$35.00Mex$19.00n/a7
May ’25Mex$33.95
Mex$27.00
-20.5%
17.8%Mex$35.00Mex$19.00n/a8
Apr ’25Mex$33.96
Mex$28.06
-17.4%
18.8%Mex$35.50Mex$19.00n/a9
Mar ’25Mex$33.30
Mex$27.56
-17.3%
19.9%Mex$35.50Mex$19.00n/a9
Feb ’25Mex$34.26
Mex$25.89
-24.4%
19.9%Mex$35.50Mex$19.00n/a9
Jan ’25Mex$36.34
Mex$25.89
-28.8%
19.9%Mex$35.50Mex$19.00n/a9
Dec ’24Mex$29.40
Mex$25.89
-11.9%
19.9%Mex$35.50Mex$19.00n/a9
Nov ’24Mex$30.73
Mex$25.89
-15.8%
19.9%Mex$35.50Mex$19.00Mex$28.289
Oct ’24Mex$31.70
Mex$25.11
-20.8%
21.2%Mex$35.50Mex$19.00Mex$31.109
Sep ’24Mex$29.07
Mex$25.11
-13.6%
21.2%Mex$35.50Mex$19.00Mex$30.489
Aug ’24Mex$27.24
Mex$25.44
-6.6%
20.4%Mex$35.00Mex$19.00Mex$31.199
Jul ’24Mex$28.49
Mex$25.11
-11.9%
20.4%Mex$35.00Mex$19.00Mex$30.349
Jun ’24Mex$30.00
Mex$25.40
-15.3%
19.5%Mex$35.00Mex$19.00Mex$32.3210
May ’24Mex$31.13
Mex$24.92
-19.9%
20.3%Mex$35.00Mex$19.00Mex$33.9510
Apr ’24Mex$30.97
Mex$24.62
-20.5%
20.7%Mex$35.00Mex$19.00Mex$33.9610
Mar ’24Mex$30.07
Mex$24.36
-19.0%
22.0%Mex$35.00Mex$17.60Mex$33.3010
Feb ’24Mex$30.50
Mex$24.16
-20.8%
22.4%Mex$35.00Mex$17.60Mex$34.2610
Jan ’24Mex$31.28
Mex$24.16
-22.8%
22.4%Mex$35.00Mex$17.60Mex$36.3410
Dec ’23Mex$28.64
Mex$24.36
-14.9%
23.5%Mex$35.00Mex$17.60Mex$29.4010
Nov ’23Mex$30.28
Mex$23.71
-21.7%
20.1%Mex$31.00Mex$17.60Mex$30.7310

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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