Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V.

BMV:CHDRAUI B Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$126.5b

Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de Valuation

Is CHDRAUI B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CHDRAUI B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CHDRAUI B (MX$125.94) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$222.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CHDRAUI B is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CHDRAUI B?

Key metric: As CHDRAUI B is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CHDRAUI B. This is calculated by dividing CHDRAUI B's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CHDRAUI B's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.6x
EarningsMex$7.75b
Market CapMex$126.51b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CHDRAUI B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CHDRAUI B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.8x
LACOMER UBC La Comer. de
15.5x11.0%Mex$36.9b
FRAGUA B Corporativo Fragua. de
11.6x13.9%Mex$57.8b
SORIANA B Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V
13x0.6%Mex$54.5b
WALMEX * Wal-Mart de México. de
19x9.6%Mex$1.0t
CHDRAUI B Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de
15.6x13.0%Mex$126.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CHDRAUI B is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (14.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CHDRAUI B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CHDRAUI B 15.6xIndustry Avg. 15.7xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CHDRAUI B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the South American Consumer Retailing industry average (15.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CHDRAUI B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CHDRAUI B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ratio17.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CHDRAUI B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CHDRAUI B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$125.93
Mex$157.86
+25.4%
7.4%Mex$180.00Mex$130.00n/a14
Dec ’25Mex$132.65
Mex$157.86
+19.0%
7.4%Mex$180.00Mex$130.00n/a14
Nov ’25Mex$124.04
Mex$156.07
+25.8%
9.2%Mex$180.00Mex$125.00n/a14
Oct ’25Mex$147.96
Mex$154.86
+4.7%
9.6%Mex$180.00Mex$125.00n/a14
Sep ’25Mex$149.26
Mex$154.08
+3.2%
9.8%Mex$180.00Mex$125.00n/a13
Aug ’25Mex$137.09
Mex$151.77
+10.7%
8.9%Mex$175.00Mex$125.00n/a13
Jul ’25Mex$127.10
Mex$143.26
+12.7%
6.7%Mex$160.00Mex$125.00n/a11
Jun ’25Mex$125.55
Mex$141.91
+13.0%
8.4%Mex$160.00Mex$120.00n/a12
May ’25Mex$126.57
Mex$141.63
+11.9%
8.8%Mex$160.00Mex$120.00n/a11
Apr ’25Mex$133.91
Mex$137.08
+2.4%
9.8%Mex$160.00Mex$117.00n/a12
Mar ’25Mex$132.61
Mex$134.00
+1.0%
11.1%Mex$160.00Mex$113.00n/a12
Feb ’25Mex$117.28
Mex$124.09
+5.8%
8.9%Mex$150.00Mex$105.00n/a11
Jan ’25Mex$102.58
Mex$123.50
+20.4%
9.3%Mex$150.00Mex$105.00n/a10
Dec ’24Mex$101.03
Mex$124.67
+23.4%
9.2%Mex$150.00Mex$105.00Mex$132.659
Nov ’24Mex$103.76
Mex$124.67
+20.1%
9.2%Mex$150.00Mex$105.00Mex$124.049
Oct ’24Mex$102.33
Mex$120.56
+17.8%
10.7%Mex$150.00Mex$104.00Mex$147.969
Sep ’24Mex$94.60
Mex$117.80
+24.5%
11.1%Mex$150.00Mex$104.00Mex$149.2610
Aug ’24Mex$96.35
Mex$116.30
+20.7%
11.9%Mex$150.00Mex$102.00Mex$137.0910
Jul ’24Mex$97.71
Mex$114.70
+17.4%
14.1%Mex$150.00Mex$86.00Mex$127.1010
Jun ’24Mex$94.38
Mex$110.20
+16.8%
10.2%Mex$125.00Mex$86.00Mex$125.5510
May ’24Mex$106.28
Mex$110.20
+3.7%
10.2%Mex$125.00Mex$86.00Mex$126.5710
Apr ’24Mex$103.50
Mex$106.00
+2.4%
8.6%Mex$125.00Mex$90.00Mex$133.9110
Mar ’24Mex$95.62
Mex$100.11
+4.7%
11.9%Mex$125.00Mex$84.00Mex$132.619
Feb ’24Mex$91.50
Mex$91.11
-0.4%
9.5%Mex$105.00Mex$75.00Mex$117.289
Jan ’24Mex$83.18
Mex$87.56
+5.3%
13.2%Mex$105.00Mex$65.00Mex$102.589
Dec ’23Mex$83.32
Mex$78.89
-5.3%
15.1%Mex$95.00Mex$58.00Mex$101.039

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 23:22
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V. is covered by 24 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Antonio Hernandez Velez LeijaActinver Case de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V.
Matthew McClintockBarclays
Benjamin TheurerBarclays