Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V.

BMV:CHDRAUI B Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$124.1b

Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de Valuation

Is CHDRAUI B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CHDRAUI B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CHDRAUI B (MX$129.13) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$88.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CHDRAUI B is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CHDRAUI B?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CHDRAUI B key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.2x
PEG Ratio1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CHDRAUI B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CHDRAUI B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.1x
LACOMER UBC La Comer. de
19.3x12.3%Mex$40.3b
FRAGUA B Corporativo Fragua. de
16.4xn/aMex$73.3b
SORIANA B Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V
12.9x7.9%Mex$60.2b
MGNT Magnit
7.9x27.1%₽435.4b
CHDRAUI B Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de
15.4x9.1%Mex$124.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CHDRAUI B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the peer average (16.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CHDRAUI B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CHDRAUI B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the South American Consumer Retailing industry average (16.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CHDRAUI B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CHDRAUI B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.4x
Fair PE Ratio17.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CHDRAUI B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CHDRAUI B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$129.13
Mex$141.63
+9.7%
8.8%Mex$160.00Mex$120.00n/a11
Apr ’25Mex$133.91
Mex$137.08
+2.4%
9.8%Mex$160.00Mex$117.00n/a12
Mar ’25Mex$132.61
Mex$134.00
+1.0%
11.1%Mex$160.00Mex$113.00n/a12
Feb ’25Mex$117.28
Mex$124.09
+5.8%
8.9%Mex$150.00Mex$105.00n/a11
Jan ’25Mex$102.58
Mex$123.50
+20.4%
9.3%Mex$150.00Mex$105.00n/a10
Dec ’24Mex$101.03
Mex$124.67
+23.4%
9.2%Mex$150.00Mex$105.00n/a9
Nov ’24Mex$103.76
Mex$124.67
+20.1%
9.2%Mex$150.00Mex$105.00n/a9
Oct ’24Mex$102.33
Mex$120.56
+17.8%
10.7%Mex$150.00Mex$104.00n/a9
Sep ’24Mex$94.60
Mex$117.80
+24.5%
11.1%Mex$150.00Mex$104.00n/a10
Aug ’24Mex$96.35
Mex$116.30
+20.7%
11.9%Mex$150.00Mex$102.00n/a10
Jul ’24Mex$97.71
Mex$114.70
+17.4%
14.1%Mex$150.00Mex$86.00n/a10
Jun ’24Mex$94.38
Mex$110.20
+16.8%
10.2%Mex$125.00Mex$86.00n/a10
May ’24Mex$106.28
Mex$110.20
+3.7%
10.2%Mex$125.00Mex$86.00n/a10
Apr ’24Mex$103.50
Mex$106.00
+2.4%
8.6%Mex$125.00Mex$90.00Mex$133.9110
Mar ’24Mex$95.62
Mex$100.11
+4.7%
11.9%Mex$125.00Mex$84.00Mex$132.619
Feb ’24Mex$91.50
Mex$91.11
-0.4%
9.5%Mex$105.00Mex$75.00Mex$117.289
Jan ’24Mex$83.18
Mex$87.56
+5.3%
13.2%Mex$105.00Mex$65.00Mex$102.589
Dec ’23Mex$83.32
Mex$78.89
-5.3%
15.1%Mex$95.00Mex$58.00Mex$101.039
Nov ’23Mex$80.15
Mex$73.56
-8.2%
14.9%Mex$90.00Mex$58.00Mex$103.769
Oct ’23Mex$59.51
Mex$67.20
+12.9%
7.4%Mex$76.00Mex$58.00Mex$102.3310
Sep ’23Mex$56.92
Mex$67.20
+18.1%
7.4%Mex$76.00Mex$58.00Mex$94.6010
Aug ’23Mex$61.87
Mex$63.36
+2.4%
8.0%Mex$70.00Mex$55.00Mex$96.3511
Jul ’23Mex$55.20
Mex$62.64
+13.5%
7.3%Mex$69.00Mex$55.00Mex$97.7111
Jun ’23Mex$54.22
Mex$58.27
+7.5%
12.1%Mex$68.00Mex$47.00Mex$94.3811
May ’23Mex$51.44
Mex$57.09
+11.0%
12.1%Mex$68.00Mex$47.00Mex$106.2811
Apr ’23Mex$50.29
Mex$50.64
+0.7%
15.0%Mex$67.00Mex$39.00Mex$103.5012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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