La Comer. de Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of LACOMER UBC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

LACOMER UBC (MX$36.01) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (MX$7.47)

Is LACOMER UBC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LACOMER UBC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LACOMER UBC (MX$36.01) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$7.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LACOMER UBC is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LACOMER UBC?

Key metric: As LACOMER UBC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LACOMER UBC. This is calculated by dividing LACOMER UBC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LACOMER UBC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	16.6x
Earnings	Mex$2.35b
Market Cap	Mex$39.11b

LACOMER UBC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	9.1x
PEG Ratio	1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LACOMER UBC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LACOMER UBC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	23.7x
CHDRAUI B Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de	15.9x	13.0%	Mex$122.8b
SORIANA B Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V	12.3x	0.6%	Mex$51.8b
FRAGUA B Corporativo Fragua. de	16x	13.9%	Mex$78.5b
BEVIDES B Farmacias Benavides. de	50.8x	n/a	Mex$8.2b
LACOMER UBC La Comer. de	16.6x	11.2%	Mex$39.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LACOMER UBC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the peer average (23.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LACOMER UBC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LACOMER UBC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the South American Consumer Retailing industry average (15.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LACOMER UBC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LACOMER UBC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	16.6x
Fair PE Ratio	13.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LACOMER UBC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LACOMER UBC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	Mex$36.01	Mex$47.29 +31.3%	8.9%	Mex$55.00	Mex$40.00	n/a	7
Nov ’25	Mex$36.15	Mex$47.29 +30.8%	8.9%	Mex$55.00	Mex$40.00	n/a	7
Oct ’25	Mex$39.32	Mex$47.29 +20.3%	8.9%	Mex$55.00	Mex$40.00	n/a	7
Sep ’25	Mex$33.70	Mex$47.29 +40.3%	8.9%	Mex$55.00	Mex$40.00	n/a	7
Aug ’25	Mex$34.46	Mex$47.71 +38.5%	8.9%	Mex$55.00	Mex$40.00	n/a	7
Jul ’25	Mex$36.30	Mex$48.00 +32.2%	9.0%	Mex$55.00	Mex$41.00	n/a	6
Jun ’25	Mex$37.96	Mex$48.00 +26.4%	7.9%	Mex$55.00	Mex$42.00	n/a	7
May ’25	Mex$36.69	Mex$47.53 +29.5%	7.3%	Mex$55.00	Mex$42.00	n/a	8
Apr ’25	Mex$38.06	Mex$47.53 +24.9%	7.3%	Mex$55.00	Mex$42.00	n/a	8
Mar ’25	Mex$39.79	Mex$47.89 +20.3%	7.5%	Mex$55.00	Mex$42.00	n/a	7
Feb ’25	Mex$40.59	Mex$46.46 +14.5%	4.7%	Mex$49.00	Mex$42.00	n/a	7
Jan ’25	Mex$43.70	Mex$46.46 +6.3%	4.7%	Mex$49.00	Mex$42.00	n/a	7
Dec ’24	Mex$36.97	Mex$46.46 +25.7%	4.7%	Mex$49.00	Mex$42.00	n/a	7
Nov ’24	Mex$36.15	Mex$47.20 +30.6%	2.8%	Mex$49.00	Mex$45.00	Mex$36.15	6
Oct ’24	Mex$36.59	Mex$45.70 +24.9%	7.1%	Mex$49.00	Mex$39.00	Mex$39.32	6
Sep ’24	Mex$36.93	Mex$45.70 +23.7%	7.1%	Mex$49.00	Mex$39.00	Mex$33.70	6
Aug ’24	Mex$40.96	Mex$43.10 +5.2%	8.6%	Mex$48.00	Mex$38.50	Mex$34.46	5
Jul ’24	Mex$37.63	Mex$42.30 +12.4%	8.6%	Mex$48.00	Mex$38.50	Mex$36.30	5
Jun ’24	Mex$38.48	Mex$42.30 +9.9%	8.6%	Mex$48.00	Mex$38.50	Mex$37.96	5
May ’24	Mex$39.18	Mex$43.13 +10.1%	8.5%	Mex$48.00	Mex$38.50	Mex$36.69	4
Apr ’24	Mex$41.97	Mex$41.38 -1.4%	6.6%	Mex$45.00	Mex$38.50	Mex$38.06	4
Mar ’24	Mex$40.17	Mex$40.42 +0.6%	8.0%	Mex$46.00	Mex$36.00	Mex$39.79	6
Feb ’24	Mex$41.19	Mex$40.42 -1.9%	8.0%	Mex$46.00	Mex$36.00	Mex$40.59	6
Jan ’24	Mex$38.16	Mex$40.42 +5.9%	8.0%	Mex$46.00	Mex$36.00	Mex$43.70	6
Dec ’23	Mex$35.96	Mex$41.25 +14.7%	6.1%	Mex$46.00	Mex$38.50	Mex$36.97	6
Nov ’23	Mex$36.58	Mex$40.75 +11.4%	7.9%	Mex$46.00	Mex$35.50	Mex$36.15	6

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.