Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V.

BMV:WALMEX * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$863.8b

Wal-Mart de México. de Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Wal-Mart de México. de is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 7.6% and 6.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 21.3% in 3 years.

Key information

7.6%

Earnings growth rate

7.40%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Retailing earnings growth8.3%
Revenue growth rate6.1%
Future return on equity21.25%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated03 Jul 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 19

WALMEX *: Slightly Higher Risk Assumptions Will Still Support Forward P/E Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Wal-Mart de México stock to MX$64.82, reflecting slightly higher discount-rate assumptions and only marginal tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations, along with a more cautious tone in recent Street research. What's in the News for Wal-Mart de México Stock Recent analyst updates cite slightly higher discount-rate assumptions for Wal-Mart de México and only limited adjustments to revenue, margin, and future P/E expectations.
Narrative Update Jun 04

WALMEX *: Softer Assumptions Will Still Support Attractive Forward P/E Upside

Analysts have trimmed their MX$ fair value estimate for Wal-Mart de México by about MX$0.50 per share to roughly MX$64.82, citing slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples following a more cautious stance in recent research. What's in the News Recent analyst research has adopted a more cautious stance on Wal-Mart de México, with softer assumptions for revenue, margins and future P/E.
Narrative Update May 10

WALMEX *: Cautious Downgrades Will Still Support Resilient Margin Protection

Analysts have trimmed their MX$ price target on Wal-Mart de México by a small amount, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions and modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E inputs after a more cautious stance in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a more cautious stance on Wal-Mart de México, with a small trim to the MX$ price target and a downgrade in the stock rating.
Analysis Article May 01

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:WALMEX) After Its First-Quarter Report

Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. ( BMV:WALMEX ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a...
Narrative Update Apr 21

WALMEX *: Recent Downgrades Will Still Support Resilient Cash Generation

Analysts trimmed their MX$65.98 fair value estimate for Wal-Mart de México to MX$65.37, reflecting slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins following recent downgrades from several firms. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts still see room for Wal-Mart de México to execute on its core retail model in a way that supports the updated MX$65.37 fair value, even after trimming growth and margin assumptions.
Analysis Article Mar 29

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:WALMEX) Annual Report

Investors in Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. ( BMV:WALMEX ) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.7% to close at...
Analysis Article Dec 09

Wal-Mart de México. de (BMV:WALMEX) Is Aiming To Keep Up Its Impressive Returns

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'll want...
Analysis Article Oct 31

Earnings Miss: Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. Missed EPS By 7.9% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. ( BMV:WALMEX ) came out with its quarterly results last week, and we wanted to see...
Analysis Article Sep 11

Estimating The Fair Value Of Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:WALMEX)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Wal-Mart de México. de fair value estimate is Mex$52.00...
Analysis Article Aug 24

Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:WALMEX) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.3x Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. ( BMV:WALMEX ) may be sending...
Analysis Article Aug 06

Wal-Mart de México. de (BMV:WALMEX) Looks To Prolong Its Impressive Returns

BMV:WALMEX * 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Wal-Mart de México. de's Fair Values from the Community and...
Analysis Article Jul 19

Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. ( BMV:WALMEX ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its...
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New Narrative Nov 07

Expanding Tech And E-commerce Ventures Propel Retail Leader To New Heights

Investments in technology and automation aimed at increasing efficiency could improve net margins through cost savings.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BMV:WALMEX * - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (MXN Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20281,214,74664,69653,27796,44611
12/31/20271,133,67758,88547,04088,54514
12/31/20261,060,51354,73237,73779,95314
3/31/20261,014,84850,07453,83291,837N/A
12/31/20251,010,80449,89143,45682,438N/A
9/30/20251,002,47050,49142,14478,028N/A
6/30/2025991,14451,67832,81568,070N/A
3/31/2025972,30552,96124,54459,511N/A
12/31/2024957,52453,82737,87272,636N/A
9/30/2024936,67753,62340,11573,916N/A
6/30/2024919,54954,32047,22978,687N/A
3/31/2024905,85853,25457,63987,097N/A
12/31/2023885,74051,59056,32985,122N/A
9/30/2023869,74351,41554,33380,049N/A
6/30/2023854,56349,93752,26275,422N/A
3/31/2023836,45749,38453,44674,940N/A
12/31/2022818,22648,97443,16664,469N/A
9/30/2022795,07347,40841,67562,126N/A
6/30/2022773,22946,30444,34364,567N/A
3/31/2022752,28545,17742,24662,731N/A
12/31/2021735,19744,13844,41564,882N/A
9/30/2021716,81943,48747,43066,742N/A
6/30/2021706,16341,61048,54066,466N/A
3/31/2021700,51633,50833,60150,304N/A
12/31/2020701,09333,43544,64561,373N/A
9/30/2020690,93432,06339,17455,376N/A
6/30/2020680,56732,14235,10553,439N/A
3/31/2020665,89139,23144,29964,039N/A
12/31/2019646,29137,898N/A57,356N/A
9/30/2019637,94438,428N/A53,200N/A
6/30/2019630,69337,859N/A54,638N/A
3/31/2019623,01037,068N/A46,472N/A
12/31/2018616,33036,753N/A47,535N/A
9/30/2018606,98535,570N/A47,330N/A
6/30/2018596,11534,891N/A50,779N/A
3/31/2018585,18433,678N/A56,092N/A
12/31/2017572,70632,390N/A49,135N/A
9/30/2017562,25431,219N/A50,183N/A
6/30/2017552,21929,910N/A40,667N/A
3/31/2017540,83529,033N/A42,614N/A
12/31/2016531,93128,510N/A47,108N/A
9/30/2016515,31426,740N/A42,625N/A
6/30/2016502,96425,759N/A43,735N/A
3/31/2016487,44224,837N/A42,237N/A
12/31/2015475,49323,441N/A38,904N/A
9/30/2015464,50626,094N/A36,665N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: WALMEX *'s forecast earnings growth (7.6% per year) is below the savings rate (9%).

Earnings vs Market: WALMEX *'s earnings (7.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the MX market (9.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: WALMEX *'s earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: WALMEX *'s revenue (6.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the MX market (6.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: WALMEX *'s revenue (6.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: WALMEX *'s Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (21.3%)


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/06 07:21
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/03 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. is covered by 28 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Antonio Hernandez Velez LeijaActinver Case de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V.
Matthew McClintockBarclays
Benjamin TheurerBarclays