Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:WALMEX) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 8.7% to Mex$53.41 in the week after its latest second-quarter results. It was not a great result overall. While revenues of Mex$246b were in line with analyst predictions, earnings were less than expected, missing statutory estimates by 11% to hit Mex$0.65 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Wal-Mart de México. de from 13 analysts is for revenues of Mex$1.03t in 2025. If met, it would imply a modest 3.4% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory per-share earnings are expected to be Mex$2.95, roughly flat on the last 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of Mex$1.03t and earnings per share (EPS) of Mex$3.18 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Wal-Mart de México. de

The consensus price target held steady at Mex$68.12, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Wal-Mart de México. de, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at Mex$81.00 and the most bearish at Mex$55.00 per share. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Wal-Mart de México. de's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 7.0% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 8.1% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 7.6% per year. So although Wal-Mart de México. de is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's only growing at about the rate of the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Wal-Mart de México. de. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Wal-Mart de México. de going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Wal-Mart de México. de that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.