Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:FEMSAUBD) Shares
Dec 19
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Mexican (IPC) Market Analysis & Valuation
UpdatedDec 23, 2024
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies117
- 7D-2.9%
- 3M-7.9%
- 1Y-14.0%
- YTD-12.2%
Over the last 7 days, the market has dropped 2.9%, driven by losses in every sector, especially the Consumer Staples sector. In the last 12 months the market is down 14%. Earnings are forecast to grow by 13% annually.
Market Valuation and Performance
Has the Mexican Market valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 24 Dec 2024 | Mex$8.5t | Mex$7.5t | Mex$610.0b | 11.7x | 14x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 21 Nov 2024 | Mex$8.4t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$602.0b | 11.6x | 14x | 1.1x |
| Sat, 19 Oct 2024 | Mex$9.1t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$594.3b | 12.3x | 15.3x | 1.2x |
| Mon, 16 Sep 2024 | Mex$9.0t | Mex$7.3t | Mex$587.5b | 11.7x | 15.4x | 1.2x |
| Wed, 14 Aug 2024 | Mex$9.1t | Mex$7.3t | Mex$587.1b | 11.4x | 15.5x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 12 Jul 2024 | Mex$9.3t | Mex$7.1t | Mex$581.9b | 13.3x | 16x | 1.3x |
| Sun, 09 Jun 2024 | Mex$9.0t | Mex$7.1t | Mex$576.6b | 12.6x | 15.5x | 1.3x |
| Tue, 07 May 2024 | Mex$9.4t | Mex$7.1t | Mex$568.3b | 13.2x | 16.6x | 1.3x |
| Thu, 04 Apr 2024 | Mex$9.6t | Mex$7.1t | Mex$580.6b | 13.6x | 16.5x | 1.4x |
| Sat, 02 Mar 2024 | Mex$9.5t | Mex$7.1t | Mex$581.4b | 13.8x | 16.4x | 1.3x |
| Mon, 29 Jan 2024 | Mex$9.8t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$662.2b | 12.9x | 14.7x | 1.3x |
| Wed, 27 Dec 2023 | Mex$9.8t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$656.4b | 13.3x | 15x | 1.3x |
| Fri, 24 Nov 2023 | Mex$9.0t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$656.8b | 11.9x | 13.7x | 1.2x |
| Sun, 22 Oct 2023 | Mex$8.6t | Mex$7.5t | Mex$659.1b | 11.9x | 13.1x | 1.1x |
| Tue, 19 Sep 2023 | Mex$9.0t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$659.3b | 12.7x | 13.7x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 17 Aug 2023 | Mex$9.2t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$655.1b | 13.3x | 14.1x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 15 Jul 2023 | Mex$9.3t | Mex$7.3t | Mex$645.4b | 13.1x | 14.4x | 1.3x |
| Mon, 12 Jun 2023 | Mex$9.3t | Mex$7.3t | Mex$638.1b | 13.5x | 14.6x | 1.3x |
| Wed, 10 May 2023 | Mex$9.6t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$667.5b | 13.2x | 14.4x | 1.3x |
| Fri, 07 Apr 2023 | Mex$9.4t | Mex$7.0t | Mex$662.6b | 12x | 14.2x | 1.3x |
| Sun, 05 Mar 2023 | Mex$9.5t | Mex$7.3t | Mex$661.6b | 11.5x | 14.4x | 1.3x |
| Tue, 31 Jan 2023 | Mex$9.6t | Mex$7.2t | Mex$664.3b | 12x | 14.5x | 1.3x |
| Thu, 29 Dec 2022 | Mex$8.9t | Mex$7.3t | Mex$649.4b | 11.8x | 13.8x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 26 Nov 2022 | Mex$9.2t | Mex$7.3t | Mex$648.8b | 11.5x | 14.2x | 1.3x |
| Mon, 24 Oct 2022 | Mex$8.5t | Mex$7.3t | Mex$635.8b | 10.8x | 13.4x | 1.2x |
| Wed, 21 Sep 2022 | Mex$8.6t | Mex$7.2t | Mex$626.4b | 11.1x | 13.7x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 19 Aug 2022 | Mex$8.8t | Mex$7.2t | Mex$626.8b | 11.5x | 14x | 1.2x |
| Sun, 17 Jul 2022 | Mex$8.6t | Mex$7.0t | Mex$610.5b | 11.9x | 14x | 1.2x |
| Tue, 14 Jun 2022 | Mex$8.5t | Mex$6.9t | Mex$627.1b | 12.1x | 13.6x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 12 May 2022 | Mex$8.5t | Mex$6.9t | Mex$618.5b | 12x | 13.7x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 09 Apr 2022 | Mex$9.4t | Mex$6.7t | Mex$569.8b | 14.1x | 16.6x | 1.4x |
| Mon, 07 Mar 2022 | Mex$9.2t | Mex$6.7t | Mex$591.0b | 14x | 15.6x | 1.4x |
| Wed, 02 Feb 2022 | Mex$8.9t | Mex$6.6t | Mex$586.8b | 13.9x | 15.2x | 1.3x |
| Fri, 31 Dec 2021 | Mex$9.1t | Mex$6.6t | Mex$575.8b | 14.4x | 15.9x | 1.4x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
15.9x
Current Market PE
- Investors are relatively neutral on the Mexican market at the moment, indicating that they expect earnings will grow in line with historical growth rates.
- The market is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 14.6x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for Mexican listed companies have remained mostly flat over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues have grown 4.4% per year.
- This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased and as a result, profits have held steady.
Sector Trends
Which sectors have driven the changes within the Mexican Market?
| MX Market | -2.86% | |
| Tech | 0% | |
| Information Technology | 0% | |
| Financials | 0% | |
| Health Care | 0% | |
| Industrials | 0% | |
| Utilities | -0.031% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | -0.34% | |
| Real Estate | -0.77% | |
| Consumer Staples | -2.23% | |
| Telecom | -3.04% | |
| Industrials | -3.37% | |
| Financials | -3.57% | |
| Materials | -3.75% | |
| Healthcare | -4.97% | |
| Energy | -8.77% | |
Sector PE
- Investors favour the Telecom sector the most for future growth, which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 18.7x.
- The market's confidence is likely because analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 27.8%, which is higher than its past year's earnings growth of 6.1% per year.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Utilities sector, expecting annual earnings growth of 64% over the next 5 years.
- In contrast, the Real Estate sector is expected to see its earnings decline by 27% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | Sector | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FEMSA UBD Fomento Económico Mexicano. de | Mex$176.48 | 0.8% +Mex$5.2b | -20.7% | PE20.4x | Consumer Staples | |
| ICH B Industrias CH S. A. B. de C. V | Mex$184.00 | 3.1% +Mex$2.2b | -2.0% | PE8.9x | Materials | |
| Q * Quálitas Controladora. de | Mex$166.35 | 3.4% +Mex$2.2b | -2.7% | PE13.5x | Financials | |
| GIGANTE * Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V | Mex$28.00 | 7.1% +Mex$1.8b | -5.1% | PE16.8x | Consumer Discretionary | |
| KIMBER A Kimberly-Clark de México S. A. B. de C. V | Mex$28.60 | 1.4% +Mex$1.2b | -24.7% | PE10.9x | Consumer Staples |
