Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Auckland International Airport (NZSE:AIA)
Feb 27
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New Zealand (NZX) Market Analysis & Valuation
UpdatedFeb 28, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies110
- 7D-2.5%
- 3M-3.5%
- 1Y3.8%
- YTD-2.7%
Over the past 7 days, the market has dropped 2.5% with the Healthcare sector contributing the most to the decline. On the other hand, the Consumer Staples has risen by 4.5%. In the last year, the market is actually up 3.8%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 28% per annum.
Trending IndustriesSoftware
Market Valuation and Performance
Has the New Zealand Market valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 28 Feb 2025 | NZ$165.6b | NZ$114.0b | NZ$2.6b | 19.3x | 64.8x | 1.5x |
| Sun, 26 Jan 2025 | NZ$171.1b | NZ$113.6b | NZ$3.2b | 19.7x | 54.3x | 1.5x |
| Tue, 24 Dec 2024 | NZ$171.1b | NZ$113.6b | NZ$3.1b | 20x | 54.6x | 1.5x |
| Thu, 21 Nov 2024 | NZ$170.5b | NZ$113.6b | NZ$3.1b | 19.4x | 54.9x | 1.5x |
| Sat, 19 Oct 2024 | NZ$170.4b | NZ$112.8b | NZ$4.3b | 19.4x | 39.8x | 1.5x |
| Mon, 16 Sep 2024 | NZ$167.1b | NZ$113.0b | NZ$4.6b | 19.4x | 36.6x | 1.5x |
| Wed, 14 Aug 2024 | NZ$161.9b | NZ$110.7b | NZ$4.8b | 18.7x | 34x | 1.5x |
| Fri, 12 Jul 2024 | NZ$158.8b | NZ$110.9b | NZ$4.7b | 16.6x | 33.9x | 1.4x |
| Sun, 09 Jun 2024 | NZ$155.7b | NZ$109.4b | NZ$4.3b | 15.3x | 36.1x | 1.4x |
| Tue, 07 May 2024 | NZ$154.7b | NZ$110.1b | NZ$5.8b | 16x | 26.6x | 1.4x |
| Thu, 04 Apr 2024 | NZ$158.0b | NZ$110.0b | NZ$5.9b | 17.4x | 26.8x | 1.4x |
| Sat, 02 Mar 2024 | NZ$156.2b | NZ$111.2b | NZ$5.8b | 17.2x | 27.1x | 1.4x |
| Mon, 29 Jan 2024 | NZ$158.2b | NZ$109.3b | NZ$6.6b | 15.8x | 23.8x | 1.4x |
| Wed, 27 Dec 2023 | NZ$155.6b | NZ$109.3b | NZ$6.6b | 15.4x | 23.4x | 1.4x |
| Fri, 24 Nov 2023 | NZ$149.9b | NZ$109.1b | NZ$6.8b | 15.6x | 22.1x | 1.4x |
| Sun, 22 Oct 2023 | NZ$147.9b | NZ$109.2b | NZ$5.8b | 16.5x | 25.4x | 1.4x |
| Tue, 19 Sep 2023 | NZ$154.0b | NZ$110.7b | NZ$5.9b | 15.9x | 26.1x | 1.4x |
| Thu, 17 Aug 2023 | NZ$161.5b | NZ$108.0b | NZ$6.3b | 17.1x | 25.5x | 1.5x |
| Sat, 15 Jul 2023 | NZ$164.5b | NZ$108.2b | NZ$6.6b | 17x | 24.9x | 1.5x |
| Mon, 12 Jun 2023 | NZ$158.8b | NZ$108.0b | NZ$6.2b | 16.1x | 25.6x | 1.5x |
| Wed, 10 May 2023 | NZ$162.8b | NZ$107.2b | NZ$7.6b | 15.4x | 21.5x | 1.5x |
| Fri, 07 Apr 2023 | NZ$162.6b | NZ$107.2b | NZ$7.6b | 15.6x | 21.4x | 1.5x |
| Sun, 05 Mar 2023 | NZ$163.3b | NZ$104.9b | NZ$7.4b | 16.3x | 22.2x | 1.6x |
| Tue, 31 Jan 2023 | NZ$165.0b | NZ$100.4b | NZ$6.6b | 16.7x | 25x | 1.6x |
| Thu, 29 Dec 2022 | NZ$158.3b | NZ$100.2b | NZ$6.6b | 15.9x | 23.9x | 1.6x |
| Sat, 26 Nov 2022 | NZ$156.3b | NZ$99.5b | NZ$7.0b | 16x | 22.3x | 1.6x |
| Mon, 24 Oct 2022 | NZ$150.3b | NZ$99.5b | NZ$7.9b | 16.7x | 19.1x | 1.5x |
| Wed, 21 Sep 2022 | NZ$161.7b | NZ$98.2b | NZ$7.7b | 17.6x | 20.9x | 1.6x |
| Fri, 19 Aug 2022 | NZ$166.7b | NZ$96.7b | NZ$8.3b | 18.8x | 20.1x | 1.7x |
| Sun, 17 Jul 2022 | NZ$157.9b | NZ$96.4b | NZ$8.4b | 18.5x | 18.9x | 1.6x |
| Tue, 14 Jun 2022 | NZ$155.4b | NZ$96.4b | NZ$8.4b | 18.8x | 18.6x | 1.6x |
| Thu, 12 May 2022 | NZ$161.5b | NZ$100.6b | NZ$8.7b | 17x | 18.5x | 1.6x |
| Sat, 09 Apr 2022 | NZ$171.3b | NZ$100.4b | NZ$8.8b | 18.5x | 19.5x | 1.7x |
| Mon, 07 Mar 2022 | NZ$173.5b | NZ$99.2b | NZ$8.8b | 16.5x | 19.8x | 1.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
19.8x
Current Market PE
- Investors are optimistic on the New Zealander market, and appear confident in strong long term growth rates.
- The market is trading at a PE ratio of 64.8x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 28.0x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for New Zealander listed companies have declined 34% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues for these companies have grown 4.7% per year.
- This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.
Sector Trends
Which sectors have driven the changes within the New Zealand Market?
| NZ Market | -2.52% | |
| Consumer Staples | 4.46% | |
| Information Technology | 0% | 0 |
| Financials | 0% | 0 |
| Health Care | 0% | 0 |
| Industrials | 0% | 0 |
| Industrials | -0.69% | |
| Financials | -0.75% | |
| Materials | -1.51% | |
| Energy | -2.02% | |
| Real Estate | -2.24% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | -2.59% | |
| Tech | -2.66% | |
| Utilities | -3.03% | |
| Healthcare | -4.39% | |
| Telecom | -14.45% | |
Sector PE
- Investors favour the Industrials sector the most for future growth, which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 37.7x.
- The market's confidence is likely because analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 22.9% which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 40.5% per year.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Financials sector, expecting annual earnings growth of 68% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings growth rate of 4.2% per year.
- In contrast, the Energy sector is expected to see its earnings grow by 16% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | Sector | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATM a2 Milk | NZ$8.84 | 3.9% +NZ$238.9m | 44.4% | PE36.8x | Consumer Staples | |
| VGL Vista Group International | NZ$3.81 | 18.0% +NZ$137.9m | 141.1% | PS6.3x | Tech | |
| AIA Auckland International Airport | NZ$8.18 | 1.0% +NZ$134.5m | 0.6% | PE185.6x | Industrials | |
| CEN Contact Energy | NZ$9.25 | 1.4% +NZ$103.7m | 14.1% | PE33x | Utilities | |
| POT Port of Tauranga | NZ$6.85 | 2.2% +NZ$102.0m | 27.3% | PE51.3x | Industrials |
