An Intrinsic Calculation For Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:FEMSAUBD) Suggests It's 38% Undervalued
Feb 10
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Mexican (IPC) Market Analysis & Valuation
UpdatedFeb 13, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies118
- 7D3.5%
- 3M3.5%
- 1Y-8.5%
- YTD5.4%
The market has climbed 2.3% in the last 7 days, lead by the Consumer Staples sector with a gain of 3.0%. On the other hand, with a decline of 4.6%, the Energy sector is lagging behind. Longer term the market is actually down 8.6% over the past year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 12% annually.
Market Valuation and Performance
Has the Mexican Market valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 13 Feb 2025 | Mex$8.9t | Mex$7.5t | Mex$626.7b | 11.6x | 14.2x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 11 Jan 2025 | Mex$8.6t | Mex$7.6t | Mex$615.2b | 11.3x | 13.9x | 1.1x |
| Mon, 09 Dec 2024 | Mex$8.7t | Mex$7.5t | Mex$602.5b | 12x | 14.4x | 1.2x |
| Wed, 06 Nov 2024 | Mex$8.6t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$596.1b | 11.6x | 14.5x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 04 Oct 2024 | Mex$9.1t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$588.4b | 12.1x | 15.4x | 1.2x |
| Sun, 01 Sep 2024 | Mex$9.1t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$590.2b | 11.8x | 15.4x | 1.2x |
| Tue, 30 Jul 2024 | Mex$9.0t | Mex$7.2t | Mex$581.9b | 12.1x | 15.5x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 27 Jun 2024 | Mex$9.0t | Mex$7.1t | Mex$583.6b | 12.8x | 15.4x | 1.3x |
| Sat, 25 May 2024 | Mex$9.4t | Mex$7.0t | Mex$560.9b | 13.5x | 16.7x | 1.3x |
| Mon, 22 Apr 2024 | Mex$9.3t | Mex$7.1t | Mex$574.7b | 13.6x | 16.2x | 1.3x |
| Wed, 20 Mar 2024 | Mex$9.5t | Mex$7.1t | Mex$585.5b | 13.3x | 16.3x | 1.3x |
| Fri, 16 Feb 2024 | Mex$9.6t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$623.5b | 13.7x | 15.4x | 1.3x |
| Sun, 14 Jan 2024 | Mex$9.6t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$655.8b | 12.9x | 14.7x | 1.3x |
| Tue, 12 Dec 2023 | Mex$9.4t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$658.6b | 12.3x | 14.3x | 1.3x |
| Thu, 09 Nov 2023 | Mex$8.8t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$656.9b | 11.8x | 13.4x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 07 Oct 2023 | Mex$8.8t | Mex$7.5t | Mex$665.8b | 12.4x | 13.2x | 1.2x |
| Mon, 04 Sep 2023 | Mex$9.2t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$657.7b | 13x | 14x | 1.2x |
| Wed, 02 Aug 2023 | Mex$9.5t | Mex$7.4t | Mex$661.7b | 13.3x | 14.3x | 1.3x |
| Fri, 30 Jun 2023 | Mex$9.2t | Mex$7.3t | Mex$638.4b | 13.1x | 14.4x | 1.3x |
| Sun, 28 May 2023 | Mex$9.3t | Mex$7.3t | Mex$639.2b | 13.3x | 14.5x | 1.3x |
| Tue, 25 Apr 2023 | Mex$9.5t | Mex$7.2t | Mex$658.9b | 12.8x | 14.4x | 1.3x |
| Thu, 23 Mar 2023 | Mex$8.8t | Mex$6.9t | Mex$614.1b | 12.7x | 14.3x | 1.3x |
| Sat, 18 Feb 2023 | Mex$9.4t | Mex$7.2t | Mex$664.1b | 11.9x | 14.2x | 1.3x |
| Mon, 16 Jan 2023 | Mex$9.5t | Mex$7.2t | Mex$658.5b | 11.8x | 14.4x | 1.3x |
| Wed, 14 Dec 2022 | Mex$9.0t | Mex$7.3t | Mex$650.0b | 11.9x | 13.9x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 11 Nov 2022 | Mex$9.1t | Mex$8.3t | Mex$2.6t | 11.2x | 3.5x | 1.1x |
| Sun, 09 Oct 2022 | Mex$8.4t | Mex$7.2t | Mex$627.1b | 10.7x | 13.3x | 1.2x |
| Tue, 06 Sep 2022 | Mex$8.4t | Mex$7.2t | Mex$626.2b | 11.2x | 13.4x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 04 Aug 2022 | Mex$8.6t | Mex$7.2t | Mex$632.4b | 11.8x | 13.6x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 02 Jul 2022 | Mex$8.6t | Mex$6.9t | Mex$631.9b | 12x | 13.6x | 1.2x |
| Mon, 30 May 2022 | Mex$9.0t | Mex$6.8t | Mex$617.7b | 12.1x | 14.6x | 1.3x |
| Wed, 27 Apr 2022 | Mex$8.9t | Mex$6.8t | Mex$602.8b | 13.8x | 14.8x | 1.3x |
| Fri, 25 Mar 2022 | Mex$9.6t | Mex$6.7t | Mex$574.6b | 14.7x | 16.7x | 1.4x |
| Sun, 20 Feb 2022 | Mex$9.0t | Mex$6.5t | Mex$578.8b | 14x | 15.6x | 1.4x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
15.6x
Current Market PE
- Investors are relatively neutral on the Mexican market at the moment, indicating that they expect earnings will grow in line with historical growth rates.
- The market is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 14.5x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for Mexican listed companies have grown 2.7% per year over the last three years.
- Revenues for these companies have grown 4.9% per year.
- This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.
Sector Trends
Which sectors have driven the changes within the Mexican Market?
| MX Market | 3.55% | |
| Consumer Staples | 4.70% | |
| Industrials | 4.19% | |
| Telecom | 3.95% | |
| Materials | 3.01% | |
| Financials | 2.82% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 2.46% | |
| Healthcare | 1.89% | |
| Real Estate | 0.65% | |
| Tech | 0% | 0 |
| Information Technology | 0% | 0 |
| Financials | 0% | 0 |
| Health Care | 0% | 0 |
| Industrials | 0% | 0 |
| Utilities | -0.16% | |
| Energy | -3.06% | |
Sector PE
- Investors favour the Telecom sector the most for future growth, which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 19.3x.
- The market's confidence is likely because analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 32.6% which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 13.8% per year.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Utilities sector, expecting annual earnings growth of 52% over the next 5 years.
- In contrast, the Real Estate sector is expected to see its earnings decline by 25% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | Sector | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WALMEX * Wal-Mart de México. de | Mex$57.97 | 5.9% +Mex$56.0b | -18.1% | PE18.9x | Consumer Staples | |
| AMX B América Móvil. de | Mex$15.21 | 4.2% +Mex$37.1b | 1.3% | PE25.1x | Telecom | |
| AC * Arca Continental. de | Mex$213.50 | 8.9% +Mex$29.7b | 11.3% | PE19.2x | Consumer Staples | |
| FEMSA UBD Fomento Económico Mexicano. de | Mex$182.47 | 4.2% +Mex$26.1b | -25.0% | PE21.1x | Consumer Staples | |
| GMEXICO B Grupo México. de | Mex$104.93 | 2.8% +Mex$22.3b | 22.4% | PE11x | Materials |
