Stock Analysis

3 Stocks Trading At Estimated Discounts Up To 49.3% Below Intrinsic Value

In recent weeks, the U.S. stock market has experienced volatility, with technology stocks under pressure due to concerns about an AI bubble, even as the Dow Jones Industrial Average reached new highs before pulling back. Amidst these fluctuations, identifying undervalued stocks can be crucial for investors seeking opportunities that may offer potential value in a turbulent market environment. Understanding intrinsic value and recognizing discounts in stock prices can help investors make informed decisions during such times of economic uncertainty.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United States

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
UMB Financial (UMBF)$119.88$232.8148.5%
Sportradar Group (SRAD)$23.14$46.1849.9%
Sotera Health (SHC)$16.90$33.6349.7%
Schrödinger (SDGR)$18.13$35.3548.7%
QXO (QXO)$22.12$43.1248.7%
Perfect (PERF)$1.77$3.4148.1%
Pattern Group (PTRN)$12.75$25.4349.9%
Newsmax (NMAX)$10.03$19.7349.2%
FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN)$37.83$73.3248.4%
Columbia Banking System (COLB)$29.26$57.6949.3%

Click here to see the full list of 206 stocks from our Undervalued US Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

We're going to check out a few of the best picks from our screener tool.

Columbia Banking System (COLB)

Overview: Columbia Banking System, Inc. is a bank holding company for Columbia Bank, offering banking, private banking, mortgage, and other financial services in the United States with a market cap of $8.69 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily from its banking segment, which accounts for $1.92 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 49.3%

Columbia Banking System is trading at US$29.26, significantly below its estimated fair value of US$57.69, highlighting its potential as an undervalued stock based on cash flows. Despite recent executive changes and a share repurchase program worth US$700 million, the company faces challenges like past shareholder dilution and large one-off items impacting earnings. Nevertheless, forecasted earnings growth of 29.7% annually outpaces the broader market, suggesting robust future cash flow potential amidst ongoing strategic adjustments.

COLB Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025
COLB Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025

UMB Financial (UMBF)

Overview: UMB Financial Corporation is a bank holding company offering banking services and asset servicing both in the United States and internationally, with a market cap of $8.99 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from three segments: Personal Banking ($386.78 million), Commercial Banking ($1.15 billion), and Institutional Banking, including Healthcare Services ($680.53 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 48.5%

UMB Financial is trading at US$119.88, significantly below its estimated fair value of US$232.81, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Despite substantial insider selling and increased net charge-offs to US$18.38 million in Q3 2025, the company shows robust earnings growth potential with forecasts of 22.6% annually over the next three years, surpassing market averages. Recent dividend increases further underscore its commitment to returning value to shareholders amidst these challenges.

UMBF Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025
UMBF Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025

MGM Resorts International (MGM)

Overview: MGM Resorts International operates as a gaming and entertainment company through its subsidiaries in the United States, China, and internationally, with a market cap of approximately $10.17 billion.

Operations: MGM Resorts International generates revenue from several segments, including MGM China ($4.24 billion), MGM Digital ($605.80 million), Regional Operations ($3.75 billion), and Las Vegas Strip Resorts ($8.50 billion).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 44.9%

MGM Resorts International, trading at US$37.44, is significantly undervalued compared to its estimated fair value of US$67.98. Despite a high debt level and recent net losses, its earnings are forecast to grow substantially at 49.3% annually over the next three years, outpacing market averages. However, insider selling and a drop from the FTSE All-World Index raise cautionary flags amid these positive growth prospects based on cash flows.

MGM Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025
MGM Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NasdaqGS:COLB

Columbia Banking System

Operates as the Bank holding company of Columbia Bank that provides banking, private banking, mortgage, and other financial services in the United States.

Flawless balance sheet 6 star dividend payer.

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