Woodworth Contrarian Fund | Oregon-based, contrarian value research. We publish clear, data-driven write-ups on mispricings and market narratives. Deep Roots. Stubborn Growth. Oregon Based.
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THE KINGDOM OF BROWN GOODS: WHY MGPI IS BEING CRUSHED BY INVENTORY & PRIMED FOR RESURRECTION
Originally Posted Dec 5 on the Woodworth Contrarian News Page Brought to you by Quinn Millegan & The Woodworth Contrarian Fund A Deep Dive Into Why the Market Is Pricing MGPI for Permanent Decline When Cyclical Recovery Is Lurking in Plain Sight MGP Ingredient’s factories in Atchison, KS & Lawrenceburg, IN - MGP Ingredients Corporate THE SETUP: MEET THE STOCK THAT FELL 75% AND NOBODY NOTICED MGP Ingredients closed at $24.70 yesterday (with a 3–6% increase intraday today). Two years ago—December 4, 2023—it traded at $91.53.Read more
Helen of Troy (HELE): A $70 Balance Sheet in a $26 Dress
Helen of Troy remains an oversold gem. A seller of a variety of home and cleaning products, the company has pulled back over the course of 2025 from the $60 range to less than $26 per share.Read more
BETTING AGAINST MATH? PERFECT. I’LL BE BUYING MORE STELLANTIS (STLA)
Stellantis is an underappreciated gem in an out-of-favor market. Recent layoffs at their Michigan plant unrelated to tariffs have only compounded the malaise brought on by recent whiplash trade policy changes.Read more
MODERNA (MRNA): WALLSTREET THREW IT OUT - I’LL PICK IT UP AND CASH THE CHECK
Despite the defunding of US governmental research and health services, Moderna remains in a commanding fundamental position. The company that made its name during the COVID-19 pandemic developing and manufacturing vaccines for the disease at breakneck pace also happened to have bagged a historic windfall in exchange for its performance.Read more
KOHL’S HARD CASH: DIGGING UP VALUE IN $KSS - Long term price target of $34
Long term price target of $34 Originally published on 3/31/25 in The Millegan Memo https://www.woodworth.fund/news/the-millegan-memo-march-2025 KOHL’S HARD CASH: DIGGING UP VALUE IN $KSS Kohl’s continues to drop despite a relatively rosy reported earnings and balance sheet. In what appears to be an overreaction to broader uncertainties in the US economy, consumer sentiment, and possibly disappointing performance of certain internal segments, Kohl’s has declined over 30% since it reported earnings earlier this month.Read more
ALL ABOARD THE VALUE TRAIN: WHY $RAIL MIGHT BE HEADED NORTH - FREIGHTCAR AMERICA - Long term price target of $25
Long term price target of $25 Originally published on 3/31/25 in The Millegan Memo https://www.woodworth.fund/news/the-millegan-memo-march-2025 ALL ABOARD THE VALUE TRAIN: WHY $RAIL MIGHT BE HEADED NORTH - FREIGHTCAR AMERICA Freightcar America continues to deliver on operational results. Freightcar America, which despite the name has no actual manufacturing operations in the US, reported its four quarter and full year 2024 earnings results earlier this March.Read more