Novavax, Inc.

NasdaqGS:NVAX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.0b

Novavax Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Novavax's revenue is forecast to decline at 13.8% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 41.7% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 43% per annum.

Key information

41.7%

Earnings growth rate

43.0%

EPS growth rate

Biotechs earnings growth23.6%
Revenue growth rate-13.8%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated02 May 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Novavax: Grandiose Ambitions, Smart Strategy, But FDA Decision Adds To Challenges

Apr 28
author-image

Sanofi Partnership And Pipeline Programs Will Expand Future Markets

Apr 22 Strategic partnerships and new vaccine programs could significantly boost Novavax's future revenue and market expansion efforts.

Novavax: Regulatory Uncertainty Creates Risk And Opportunity For Beaten-Down Vaccine Developer

Apr 11

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Novavax, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NVAX) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 28%

Apr 02
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Novavax, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NVAX) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 28%

Some Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Year's Estimates

Mar 12
Some Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Year's Estimates

Novavax Cashes In On Its COVID Albatross -- Challenges Remain (Rating Upgrade)

Jan 16

Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Shares Fly 26% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Dec 17
Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Shares Fly 26% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$16.67 Price Target

Nov 15
Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$16.67 Price Target

Novavax Q3 Earnings Disappoint, But A Turnaround May Be Underway

Nov 13

Novavax, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NVAX) 35% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

Nov 01
Novavax, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NVAX) 35% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

Novavax Q3 Earnings A Week Away - Time To Accept A New Reality

Oct 31

Novavax's Future Hinges On Sanofi Deal And Upcoming Milestones

Sep 01

Novavax, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NVAX) Shares Lagging The Industry But So Is The Business

Aug 14
Novavax, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NVAX) Shares Lagging The Industry But So Is The Business

Novavax: Staying Long Despite Coming Up Short In Q2

Aug 13

Novavax Ahead Of Q2 Earnings - Picking Apart The Sanofi Deal

Jul 26

Novavax: New Chapter, Questions Remain

Jun 20

Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Surges 206% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

May 14
Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Surges 206% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Just Reported First-Quarter Earnings And Analysts Are Lifting Their Estimates

May 13
Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Just Reported First-Quarter Earnings And Analysts Are Lifting Their Estimates

Novavax Q1 2024 Earnings Preview: Success In New Commercial COVID Markets Unlikely

May 07

Novavax: Another Day Older And Deeper In

Mar 02

Novavax, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NVAX) Shares Bounce 35% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

Mar 02
Novavax, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NVAX) Shares Bounce 35% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Price Target To US$22.00

Mar 01
Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Price Target To US$22.00

Novavax Q4 Earnings Preview: Settlement With Gavi Doesn't Solve Problems

Feb 23

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:NVAX - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027302-2821-685
12/31/202651249182-566
12/31/2025642117155-2387
12/31/2024682-187-102-87N/A
9/30/2024885-285-112-91N/A
6/30/2024988-294-2414N/A
3/31/2024997-399-514-472N/A
12/31/2023984-545-773-714N/A
9/30/20231,050-549-727-655N/A
6/30/20231,597-587-737-654N/A
3/31/20231,359-1,155-753-653N/A
12/31/20221,982-658-509-416N/A
9/30/20221,847-1,322-728-641N/A
6/30/20221,291-1,476-814-744N/A
3/31/20221,403-1,318-489-429N/A
12/31/20211,146-1,744265323N/A
9/30/20211,204-1,075454537N/A
6/30/20211,182-950593672N/A
3/31/2021919-615575644N/A
12/31/2020476-418-97-43N/A
9/30/2020205-2734962N/A
6/30/202050-933237N/A
3/31/202018-115-110-109N/A
12/31/201919-133-138-137N/A
9/30/201916-150-160-158N/A
6/30/201921-177-162-159N/A
3/31/201929-182-171-169N/A
12/31/201834-185-186-185N/A
9/30/201839-186N/A-183N/A
6/30/201839-186N/A-194N/A
3/31/201835-186N/A-166N/A
12/31/201731-184N/A-144N/A
9/30/201726-190N/A-162N/A
6/30/201721-212N/A-181N/A
3/31/201717-247N/A-230N/A
12/31/201615-280N/A-259N/A
9/30/201616-302N/A-249N/A
6/30/201619-269N/A-215N/A
3/31/201631-210N/A-165N/A
12/31/201536-157N/A-126N/A
9/30/201537-110N/A-91N/A
6/30/201539-96N/A-78N/A
3/31/201533-94N/A-77N/A
12/31/201431-83N/A-67N/A
9/30/201433-65N/A-60N/A
6/30/201429-61N/A-59N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NVAX is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: NVAX is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: NVAX is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: NVAX's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-13.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NVAX's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-13.8% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if NVAX's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/04 02:45
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/02 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Novavax, Inc. is covered by 25 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alec StranahanBofA Global Research
George ZavoicoB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Mayank MamtaniB. Riley Securities, Inc.