Novavax, Inc.

NasdaqGS:NVAX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.6b

Novavax Management

Management criteria checks 2/4

Novavax's CEO is John Jacobs, appointed in Jan 2023, has a tenure of 3.42 years. total yearly compensation is $8.86M, comprised of 9% salary and 91% bonuses, including company stock and options. directly owns 0.19% of the company’s shares, worth $2.91M. The average tenure of the management team and the board of directors is 3.4 years and 5.5 years respectively.

Key information

John Jacobs

Chief executive officer

US$8.9m

Total compensation

CEO salary percentage8.95%
CEO tenure3.4yrs
CEO ownership0.2%
Management average tenure3.4yrs
Board average tenure5.5yrs

Recent management updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 17

NVAX: Bearish View Will Hinge On Matrix Licensing Delivering Sustainable Revenue

Analysts have raised their consolidated price target for Novavax stock to $9, an increase of $1 from the previous target of $8. They cite recent research updates that reassess the company's outlook and valuation assumptions.
Narrative Update Jun 02

NVAX: Bearish View Will Hinge On Sustained COVID Vaccine Demand Beyond XFG Update

Analysts have lifted their Novavax price target to $9 from $8, citing updated assumptions around slower revenue declines, higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more cautious tone around Novavax, even as price targets are adjusted.
Seeking Alpha May 30

Novavax: The Pivot To A Royalty Model Is Working, But It's Still A Hold

Summary Novavax maintains a Hold rating as it transitions to a royalty-driven model, with shrinking direct product sales and a focus on partner revenue. NVAX's COVID-19/flu vaccine partnership with Sanofi is operationally ready, but the seasonal COVID-19 market remains niche and unlikely to drive significant upside. Q1 2026 revenue was $140 million, with guidance reaffirmed at $230–$270 million for the year, mostly from royalties; cash runway extends into 2028. Pipeline catalysts, including C. diff vaccine progress and milestone inflows, are largely priced in; meaningful upside requires clinical and financial differentiation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 26

NVAX: Bearish View Will Hinge On Sustained COVID Vaccination Demand

Analysts have raised their blended price targets for Novavax by about $1 per share to a range of around $7 to $8, citing updated assumptions for COVID demand, refreshed 2026 revenue and expense forecasts, and the contribution from recent partnership agreements. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Novavax reflects a mix of caution and tempered expectations, even as price targets move slightly higher into the mid single digit range.
Narrative Update Apr 11

NVAX: Bearish View Will Hinge On Future COVID Demand Execution

Analysts have modestly lifted their average price targets on Novavax shares, with several moving from the $6 to $7 range toward $8 as they update COVID demand assumptions and incorporate new guidance on future revenue, operating expenses, and licensing income. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Novavax reflects a cautious tone, even as some targets edge higher.
Narrative Update Mar 28

NVAX: Bearish Outlook Will Depend On Pfizer Royalty And COVID Demand Assumptions

Novavax's average analyst price target has edged higher by about $1, as analysts refine their COVID assumptions, update revenue and expense forecasts for future years, and factor recent partnership economics into their models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Novavax points to a cautious tone, even as price targets move slightly higher.
Narrative Update Mar 14

NVAX: Cautious Outlook Will Hinge On Future Pfizer Royalty Execution

Narrative Update on Novavax The analyst price target for Novavax has increased by about $1 to a new consensus of $7, as analysts adjust their models for updated COVID demand assumptions, refreshed 2026 revenue and expense forecasts, and the impact of recent partnership and licensing agreements. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Novavax points to a mixed but generally cautious stance.
Narrative Update Feb 27

NVAX: Licensing And Royalty Streams Will Drive Future Cash Generation

Analysts have lifted their average price target on Novavax to about $13.78 from roughly $13.11, citing updated COVID demand assumptions, refreshed revenue and expense forecasts, and revised P/E expectations that incorporate recent guidance and licensing agreements. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mix of cautious optimism and ongoing concern, with several firms adjusting their price targets and underlying models around Novavax's COVID franchise, expense profile, and licensing income.
Analysis Article Jan 14

Improved Revenues Required Before Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Stock's 32% Jump Looks Justified

Novavax, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NVAX ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 32% in the last...
Narrative Update Nov 08

NVAX: Shifting To Licensing Will Drive Royalties And Upfront Payments

Novavax's analyst price target has been modestly reduced from $13.21 to $13.11 per share. This change reflects analysts' cautious optimism about the company's new licensing model, expected royalties, and commercial partnership opportunities.
Narrative Update Oct 24

Confidence In Licensing Shift And Partnerships Will Drive Opportunities Ahead

The analyst price target for Novavax has been raised from $12.50 to $13.21. This reflects analyst confidence in the company’s transition to a licensing model as well as opportunities for revenue from new partnerships and technology platforms.
Narrative Update Sep 04

Global Vaccine Market Will Unlock Upside Despite Execution Risks

Novavax’s consensus price target was modestly reduced, primarily due to a slight decline in its future P/E ratio, bringing fair value down from $12.86 to $12.50. What's in the News Reports indicate that the Trump administration and Robert F.
Analysis Article May 20

Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Shares Fly 29% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Novavax, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NVAX ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 29% in the last...
Seeking Alpha Apr 28

Novavax: Grandiose Ambitions, Smart Strategy, But FDA Decision Adds To Challenges

Summary Novavax's recent performance shows improvement, but significant challenges persist, impacting long-term growth and stability. The company's financials have strengthened due to strategic moves, yet uncertainties in its COVID-19 vaccine remain. NVAX stock's rating maintained at "Hold" despite ongoing hurdles based on improved cash position and potential future opportunities. Investors should remain cautious, balancing optimism with awareness of persistent risks and market volatility. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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New Narrative Apr 22

Sanofi Partnership And Pipeline Programs Will Expand Future Markets

Strategic partnerships and new vaccine programs could significantly boost Novavax's future revenue and market expansion efforts.
Seeking Alpha Apr 11

Novavax: Regulatory Uncertainty Creates Risk And Opportunity For Beaten-Down Vaccine Developer

Summary Novavax's $500M Sanofi partnership with a potential $700M in milestones provides stability as the company transitions to a partnership-focused strategy. Health Secretary Kennedy's claim that single-antigen vaccines don't work for respiratory diseases caused Novavax stock to plummet 20%. FDA approval delay for Nuvaxovid jeopardizes a crucial $175M milestone payment, though Novavax has the financial flexibility to survive this setback. Despite significant regulatory and competitive risks, NVAX stock maintains a "Hold" rating as a speculative component for barbell portfolios. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Apr 02

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Novavax, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NVAX) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 28%

Novavax, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NVAX ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28...
Analysis Article Mar 12

Some Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Year's Estimates

Today is shaping up negative for Novavax, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NVAX ) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a substantial...
Seeking Alpha Jan 16

Novavax Cashes In On Its COVID Albatross -- Challenges Remain (Rating Upgrade)

Summary I have been warning about Novavax's risks since 2016, highlighting its ongoing struggles with the FDA. Novavax's Q3 2024 earnings call and 10-Q reveal a collaboration negotiated from a position of relative weakness. The partnership with Sanofi offers significant benefits but does not assure it of ongoing success. My analysis remains cautious, emphasizing the need for careful consideration of Novavax's long-term viability and strategic moves. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Dec 17

Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Shares Fly 26% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Novavax, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NVAX ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last...
Analysis Article Nov 15

Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$16.67 Price Target

Novavax, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NVAX ) defied analyst predictions to release its third-quarter results, which were ahead of...
Seeking Alpha Nov 13

Novavax Q3 Earnings Disappoint, But A Turnaround May Be Underway

Summary Novavax reported a net loss of $0.76/share and $84.5M in revenue, beating estimates but cutting guidance due to lower COVID-19 vaccine sales. Revenue has declined since 2022, prompting a substantial cost reduction program set to refocus the company on 4 key value drivers. A collaboration with Sanofi offers flexibility and potential growth, allowing Novavax to focus on developing a COVID-19/influenza combination (CIC) and seasonal influenza vaccines. Despite effective products, reduced guidance and restructuring uncertainty make NVAX stock a hold, with the Sanofi partnership and upcoming milestones as a potential bullish catalyst. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Nov 01

Novavax, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NVAX) 35% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

Novavax, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NVAX ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...
Seeking Alpha Oct 31

Novavax Q3 Earnings A Week Away - Time To Accept A New Reality

Summary Novavax' Q3 earnings are due on 6th November. The vaccine developer was part of Operation Warp Speed, receiving $1.8bn of funding from the US government to develop a COVID vaccine. Novavax succeeded, but Nuvaxovid came to the market too late to build market share and the company ended up making heavy losses. Sanofi has acquired the rights to nuvaxovid, paying Novavax $500m upfront, and will look to develop a COVID / Influenza combo vaccine using Novavax' technology. Unfortunately, Sanofi milestones and revenues aside, that leaves Novavax with few opportunities to generate revenue, which likely means its valuation will fall over time. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 01

Novavax's Future Hinges On Sanofi Deal And Upcoming Milestones

Summary Novavax has secured a transformative partnership with Sanofi, which includes $1.2 billion in potential payments and critical commercial support. The company’s COVID-19 vaccine targets the JN.1 variant, but newer Omicron variants have outpaced it, limiting competitive advantage. Financial stability hinges on achieving key milestones in the Sanofi partnership and successful commercialization of new vaccines. Despite the Sanofi deal, maintaining a "hold" position is prudent given the high-risk nature of Novavax's future prospects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Aug 14

Novavax, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NVAX) Shares Lagging The Industry But So Is The Business

Novavax, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:NVAX ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2x might make it look like a strong buy right now...
Seeking Alpha Aug 13

Novavax: Staying Long Despite Coming Up Short In Q2

Summary Novavax reported Q2 earnings with a miss on EPS and revenue, causing a drop in share price, but recovered after the earnings call. Novavax is making progress with internal vaccine candidates, Sanofi partnership, and potential market opportunities, despite disappointing Q2 earnings. I provide my thoughts on the quarter, and will highlight a few downside risks that investors should consider. I discuss my updated NVAX strategy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

CEO Compensation Analysis

How has John Jacobs's remuneration changed compared to Novavax's earnings?
DateTotal CompensationSalaryCompany Earnings
Mar 31 2026n/an/a

-US$88m

Dec 31 2025US$9mUS$793k

US$440m

Sep 30 2025n/an/a

US$342m

Jun 30 2025n/an/a

US$423m

Mar 31 2025n/an/a

US$479m

Dec 31 2024US$5mUS$753k

-US$187m

Sep 30 2024n/an/a

-US$285m

Jun 30 2024n/an/a

-US$294m

Mar 31 2024n/an/a

-US$399m

Dec 31 2023US$7mUS$663k

-US$545m

Compensation vs Market: John's total compensation ($USD8.86M) is above average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD5.30M).

Compensation vs Earnings: John's compensation has increased whilst the company is unprofitable.


CEO

John Jacobs (59 yo)

3.4yrs
Tenure
US$8,856,015
Compensation

Mr. John Charles Jacobs, M.B.A., serves as Chief Executive Officer and Director of Novavax, Inc. since January 23, 2023 and serves as its President from January 23, 2023. He was Director of Life Sciences P...


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
John Jacobs
President3.4yrsUS$8.86m0.19%
$ 2.9m
James Kelly
Executive VP4.8yrsUS$2.99m0.079%
$ 1.2m
Mark Casey
Executive VP2.5yrsUS$2.81m0.055%
$ 855.6k
Elaine O'Hara
Executive VP & Chief Strategy Officer3.3yrsUS$3.69m0.082%
$ 1.3m
Richard Crowley
Executive VP & COO3.4yrsno datano data
Luis Sanay
Vice President of Investor Relationsno datano datano data
Troy Morgan
Senior VPno datano datano data
Erika Trahan
Associate Director of Investor & Public Relations8.2yrsno datano data
Ian Watkins
Executive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer2.9yrsno datano data
Silvia Taylor
Executive VP4.4yrsno datano data
Robert Walker
Executive VP and Head of Research & Development1.6yrsno data0.021%
$ 326.6k
3.4yrs
Average Tenure
60yo
Average Age

Experienced Management: NVAX's management team is considered experienced (3.4 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
John Jacobs
President3.4yrsUS$8.86m0.19%
$ 2.9m
David Mott
Chairman of the Board of Directors6yrsUS$365.59k0.049%
$ 757.8k
Richard Douglas
Independent Director16.4yrsUS$364.46k0.045%
$ 695.6k
Margaret McGlynn
Independent Vice Chairman of the Board of Directors5.5yrsUS$402.28k0.027%
$ 422.4k
Gregg Alton
Independent Director5.7yrsUS$355.09k0.029%
$ 453.0k
Rachel King
Independent Director7.6yrsUS$353.09k0.027%
$ 418.7k
Richard Rodgers
Independent Director3.7yrsUS$375.45k0.029%
$ 450.1k
John Shiver
Independent Director1.3yrsUS$516.55k0.0048%
$ 75.5k
Charles Newton
Independent Director1.4yrsUS$491.95k0.0058%
$ 90.4k
5.5yrs
Average Tenure
61yo
Average Age

Experienced Board: NVAX's board of directors are considered experienced (5.5 years average tenure).


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/18 21:30
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/18 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Novavax, Inc. is covered by 23 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alec StranahanBofA Global Research
David LebowitzBrean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery)
Mayank MamtaniB. Riley Securities, Inc.