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Novavax, Inc. Stock Price

NasdaqGS:NVAX Community·US$1.7b Market Cap
  • 3 Narratives written by author
  • 0 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 119 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

NVAX Share Price Performance

US$9.49
2.04 (27.38%)
US$13.78
Fair Value
US$9.49
2.04 (27.38%)
31.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$13.78
Fair Value
Price US$9.49
AnalystConsensusTarget US$13.78
AnalystLowTarget US$7.00
AnalystHighTarget US$25.00

NVAX Community Narratives

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Fair Value US$13.78 31.1% undervalued intrinsic discount

Confidence In Licensing Shift And Partnerships Will Drive Opportunities Ahead

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Fair Value US$7 35.6% overvalued intrinsic discount

Heightened Regulation And A Narrow Portfolio Will Shrink Margins

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Fair Value US$25 62.0% undervalued intrinsic discount

Pandemic Preparedness Will Drive Next-Generation Vaccine Opportunities Amid Challenges

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US$13.78
31.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
-35.05% p.a.
Profit Margin
18.72%
Future PE
48.8x
Price in 2029
US$16.95

Trending Discussion

Updated Narratives

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NVAX: Bearish View Will Hinge On Sustained COVID Vaccine Demand Beyond XFG Update

Fair Value: US$7 35.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
1 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
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NVAX: Licensing And Royalty Streams Will Drive Future Cash Generation

Fair Value: US$13.78 31.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
56 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
NVAX logo

Pandemic Preparedness Will Drive Next-Generation Vaccine Opportunities Amid Challenges

Fair Value: US$25 62.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
6 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Snowflake Analysis

Good value with moderate growth potential.

1 Risk
2 Rewards

Novavax, Inc. Key Details

US$596.3m

Revenue

US$432.4m

Cost of Revenue

US$164.0m

Gross Profit

US$251.8m

Other Expenses

-US$87.8m

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
-0.53
27.49%
-14.73%
-201.0%
View Full Analysis

About NVAX

Founded
1987
Employees
749
CEO
John Jacobs
WebsiteView website
www.novavax.com

Novavax, Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of vaccines to prevent serious infectious diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company commercializes Nuvaxovid, a COVID-19 vaccine; and R21 Matrix-M adjuvant malaria vaccine. It has license and collaboration agreements with Sanofi, Pfizer Inc., Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited, and Serum Life Sciences Limited for the to develop, manufacture, and commercialize the COVID-19 vaccine. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland.

Recent NVAX News & Updates

Narrative Update Jun 02

NVAX: Bearish View Will Hinge On Sustained COVID Vaccine Demand Beyond XFG Update

Analysts have lifted their Novavax price target to $9 from $8, citing updated assumptions around slower revenue declines, higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more cautious tone around Novavax, even as price targets are adjusted.
Seeking Alpha May 30

Novavax: The Pivot To A Royalty Model Is Working, But It's Still A Hold

Summary Novavax maintains a Hold rating as it transitions to a royalty-driven model, with shrinking direct product sales and a focus on partner revenue. NVAX's COVID-19/flu vaccine partnership with Sanofi is operationally ready, but the seasonal COVID-19 market remains niche and unlikely to drive significant upside. Q1 2026 revenue was $140 million, with guidance reaffirmed at $230–$270 million for the year, mostly from royalties; cash runway extends into 2028. Pipeline catalysts, including C. diff vaccine progress and milestone inflows, are largely priced in; meaningful upside requires clinical and financial differentiation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

No updates