Stock Analysis

Radware Ltd. (NASDAQ:RDWR) Stock Catapults 28% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

NasdaqGS:RDWR
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Radware Ltd. (NASDAQ:RDWR) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 35% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Radware may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.6x and even P/S higher than 11x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Radware

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:RDWR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 20th 2024

How Has Radware Performed Recently?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Radware's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Radware will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Radware?

Radware's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.3% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 3.4% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 7.9% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 24% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Radware's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Radware's P/S?

Radware's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Radware maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Radware with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.