Stock Analysis

Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

NasdaqGS:ALRM
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If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Alarm.com Holdings is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.053 = US$64m ÷ (US$1.4b - US$166m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

So, Alarm.com Holdings has an ROCE of 5.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Software industry average of 9.3%.

Check out our latest analysis for Alarm.com Holdings

roce
NasdaqGS:ALRM Return on Capital Employed August 17th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Alarm.com Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Alarm.com Holdings here for free.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Alarm.com Holdings Tell Us?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Alarm.com Holdings doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 5.3% from 16% five years ago. However it looks like Alarm.com Holdings might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

The Bottom Line

In summary, Alarm.com Holdings is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 5.3% to shareholders over the last five years. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

One more thing to note, we've identified 1 warning sign with Alarm.com Holdings and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.