Alarm.com Holdings Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Alarm.com Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 7.7% and 4.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 0.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.9% in 3 years.
Key information
7.7%
Earnings growth rate
-0.5%
EPS growth rate
| Software earnings growth | 16.9% |
| Revenue growth rate | 4.3% |
| Future return on equity | 15.9% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 19 Dec 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return
Dec 19
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) Shares Climb 28% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Dec 05Calculating The Fair Value Of Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)
Nov 26We Think Alarm.com Holdings' (NASDAQ:ALRM) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
Nov 14These 4 Measures Indicate That Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Is Using Debt Safely
Nov 13Is There Now An Opportunity In Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)?
Nov 01Alarm.com: There Are Likely Better Entry Points On The Horizon
Sep 11There's Reason For Concern Over Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) Price
Sep 09Calculating The Fair Value Of Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)
Aug 21Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends
Aug 06Is Now The Time To Put Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) On Your Watchlist?
Jul 25Why Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM) Could Be Worth Watching
Jul 12Alarm.com Holdings: Strong Partnerships To Meet Demand For Security
Jul 09Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Could Easily Take On More Debt
Jun 10Earnings Not Telling The Story For Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)
May 02Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM)
Apr 17Should You Investigate Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM) At US$70.25?
Apr 03Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly
Feb 01Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 24% Below Its Share Price
Jan 14Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't
Dec 31Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM)
Dec 15At US$57.74, Is Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM) Worth Looking At Closely?
Oct 16These 4 Measures Indicate That Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Is Using Debt Safely
Oct 03A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)
Sep 15Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends
Aug 17Should You Think About Buying Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM) Now?
Jul 05Is Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Using Too Much Debt?
Jun 21Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM) Shares Could Be 23% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Jun 08Returns On Capital At Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Paint A Concerning Picture
May 09Should You Think About Buying Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM) Now?
Apr 05Does Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Mar 10Alarm.com Holdings' (NASDAQ:ALRM) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
Jan 19Why Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM) Could Be Worth Watching
Dec 15Is Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Using Too Much Debt?
Nov 29Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 1,016 | 150 | 163 | 189 | 5 |
| 12/31/2025 | 978 | 129 | 149 | 170 | 8 |
| 12/31/2024 | 935 | 125 | 144 | 176 | 8 |
| 9/30/2024 | 924 | 125 | 178 | 190 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 905 | 108 | 165 | 176 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 895 | 90 | 174 | 189 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 882 | 81 | 122 | 136 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 864 | 68 | 118 | 131 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 858 | 67 | 66 | 78 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 847 | 62 | 38 | 67 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 843 | 56 | 28 | 57 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 830 | 47 | 8 | 42 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 806 | 43 | 36 | 70 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 782 | 47 | 54 | 68 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 749 | 52 | 88 | 103 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 719 | 59 | 104 | 119 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 686 | 82 | 83 | 99 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 639 | 84 | 93 | 110 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 618 | 78 | 82 | 102 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 593 | 75 | 66 | 90 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 562 | 57 | 47 | 72 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 542 | 53 | 37 | 61 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 502 | 54 | 27 | 47 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 473 | 48 | 35 | 50 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 457 | 23 | 57 | 68 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 440 | 20 | 44 | 56 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 420 | 22 | 49 | 61 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 398 | 14 | 41 | 54 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 376 | 37 | N/A | 48 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 357 | 36 | N/A | 48 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 339 | 29 | N/A | 57 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 320 | 32 | N/A | 50 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 298 | 19 | N/A | 39 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 276 | 11 | N/A | 28 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 261 | 10 | N/A | 23 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 248 | 10 | N/A | 17 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 234 | 11 | N/A | 27 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 222 | -8 | N/A | 31 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 209 | -7 | N/A | 28 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 198 | -10 | N/A | 30 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 186 | -13 | N/A | 17 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 176 | 3 | N/A | 13 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 167 | 1 | N/A | 16 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 157 | 0 | N/A | 8 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 149 | 0 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 3/31/2014 | 139 | 3 | N/A | 13 | N/A |
| 12/31/2013 | 130 | 0 | N/A | 11 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ALRM's forecast earnings growth (7.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: ALRM's earnings (7.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.3% per year).
High Growth Earnings: ALRM's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: ALRM's revenue (4.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.2% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ALRM's revenue (4.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: ALRM's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.9%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2024/12/30 06:30 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2024/12/30 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Saket Kalia | Barclays |
| Michael Funk | BofA Global Research |
| Michael Nemeroff | Credit Suisse |