Alarm.com Holdings (ALRM) Stock Overview
Operates a platform for connected properties in North America and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 2/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
ALRM Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$55.36 |
| 52 Week High | US$58.15 |
| 52 Week Low | US$41.49 |
| Beta | 0.76 |
| 1 Month Change | -0.18% |
| 3 Month Change | 18.67% |
| 1 Year Change | -0.57% |
| 3 Year Change | -6.96% |
| 5 Year Change | -32.03% |
| Change since IPO | 227.96% |
Recent News & Updates
Seeking Alpha • Sep 05
Alarm.com: Poised To Benefit From The Rise In Millennial Homeownership
Summary Alarm.com delivered a quarterly revenue beat of nearly 10%, yet Wall Street largely overlooked the performance. The stock's strong top-line surprise highlights potential disconnects between fundamentals and market attention. Millennials have embraced home security systems more than previous generations, and this presents a growth opportunity for Alarm.com. The distribution network that Alarm.com has created also represents a competitive advantage over others. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Aug 08
ALRM: Raised Outlook And New Commercial Offerings Will Shape Future Earnings Power
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Alarm.com Holdings from $59 to $63, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower projected P/E multiple that together support a higher long-term price target. What’s in the News for Alarm.com Holdings Alarm.com Holdings reported Q2 2026 SaaS and license revenue of US$188.8 million, which was 11% higher year over year, and adjusted EBITDA of US$57.7 million, up 15.7%.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Sep 05
Alarm.com: Poised To Benefit From The Rise In Millennial Homeownership
Summary Alarm.com delivered a quarterly revenue beat of nearly 10%, yet Wall Street largely overlooked the performance. The stock's strong top-line surprise highlights potential disconnects between fundamentals and market attention. Millennials have embraced home security systems more than previous generations, and this presents a growth opportunity for Alarm.com. The distribution network that Alarm.com has created also represents a competitive advantage over others. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Aug 08
ALRM: Raised Outlook And New Commercial Offerings Will Shape Future Earnings Power
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Alarm.com Holdings from $59 to $63, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower projected P/E multiple that together support a higher long-term price target. What’s in the News for Alarm.com Holdings Alarm.com Holdings reported Q2 2026 SaaS and license revenue of US$188.8 million, which was 11% higher year over year, and adjusted EBITDA of US$57.7 million, up 15.7%.Narrative Update • Jun 23
ALRM: New Security Products And Guidance Raises Will Support Future Earnings Power
Analysts have modestly adjusted their target for Alarm.com Holdings, raising fair value guidance from $58 to $59, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples. What’s in the News for Alarm.com Holdings Alarm.com launched the ADC-V530 indoor Wi-Fi camera, which offers 4MP HDR video, color night vision via an integrated spotlight, and a physical privacy shutter.Analysis Article • Jun 16
Alarm.com Holdings (ALRM) Stock Could Be 22% Undervalued on Recurring Revenue Strength
Alarm.com Holdings (ALRM) has drawn investor attention after recent trading left the stock at $45.47, with mixed short and longer term returns that together create a nuanced picture of how the market currently values the business. See our latest analysis for Alarm.com Holdings. Over the past year, Alarm.com Holdings has seen short term share price strength give way to a weaker longer term picture. The 30 day share price return of 6.94% contrasts with a 1 year total shareholder return that...
Narrative Update • Jun 05
ALRM: AI Security Expansion Will Confront Sector Repricing Risk
Analysts have kept their $40.00 price target on Alarm.com Holdings unchanged, citing only slight adjustments in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions that do not materially change their overall valuation view. What's in the News Shooter Detection Systems, an Alarm.com company, reported that its SDS Perimeter Outdoor Gunshot Detection System received the Fire/Life Safety category award in the 2026 Security Sales & Integration Most Valuable Product Awards, highlighting its multi mode sensing technology designed to support accurate outdoor gunshot detection and situational awareness.Narrative Update • May 19
ALRM: AI Proliferation And Sector Repricing Will Shape Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Alarm.com Holdings, with cuts such as $56 to $50 and $55 to $40 contributing to a refreshed valuation framework. This framework holds fair value at $40.00 and reflects updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples.Narrative Update • Apr 26
ALRM: AI Disruption Concerns Will Test But Not Break Future Earnings Power
Alarm.com Holdings' latest analyst price targets have shifted lower, with recent cuts such as $56 to $50 and $55 to $40 reflecting updated models after the Q4 report and wider concerns about software sector competitive moats in light of rapid AI adoption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alarm.com highlights a mix of company specific considerations and broader sector questions, with price targets reset to $50 and $40 after the Q4 report and a relook at vertical software valuations.Narrative Update • Apr 10
ALRM: AI Proliferation And Reset Expectations Will Shape Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have lowered Alarm.com Holdings' average price target significantly. Recent revisions to $50 and $40 reflect updated Q4 modeling and broader concerns about vertical software valuations and competitive moats as AI adoption accelerates.Narrative Update • Mar 27
ALRM: AI Proliferation And Fair Value Outlook Will Shape Sector Multiple
Alarm.com Holdings' analyst price targets have been reset lower, with recent cuts to $50 and $40. These changes reflect updated models after the Q4 report and broader concern from analysts about vertical software valuations and the impact of rapid AI adoption on competitive moats.Narrative Update • Mar 12
ALRM: Future Earnings Power Will Be Tested By AI Moat Concerns
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Alarm.com Holdings to $58.00 from $68.71, reflecting updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following recent price target cuts from $56 to $50 and from $55 to $40 in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a mix of caution and recalibration around Alarm.com Holdings, with price targets reset following the latest Q4 report and broader reassessments in software valuations.Narrative Update • Feb 25
ALRM: AI Moat Uncertainty Will Pressure Vertical Software Multiple
Narrative Update: Alarm.com Holdings Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Alarm.com Holdings to $40 from $55, pointing to updated sector views, revised P/E assumptions, and recent research that includes reduced price targets of $40 and $50 following the latest Q4 report. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more cautious stance on Alarm.com Holdings, with multiple bearish analysts trimming price targets after the latest Q4 report and sector review.Narrative Update • Feb 11
ALRM: Expanding Connected Security Offerings Will Support Constructive Long Term Outlook
Analysts have maintained their price target for Alarm.com Holdings at $55.00, noting that only minor adjustments to assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E were made, which do not materially change their overall view. What's in the News Alarm.com released a low cost Video Intercom Mobile Directory that replaces traditional intercom hardware with a mobile based, QR code enabled visitor management system for multi-tenant residential and commercial properties, using the company’s existing professionally installed and monitored infrastructure (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Feb 10
Is Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Narrative Update • Jan 27
ALRM: Expanding Security Platform And Disciplined Guidance Will Support Balanced Outlook
Analysts kept their price target for Alarm.com Holdings steady at US$55.00, citing only small model adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions rather than any major change in the outlook. What's in the News Launched the ADC-V730, the company's first Wi-Fi spotlight camera.Narrative Update • Jan 11
ALRM: Expanding Security Platform And Steady Guidance Will Support Balanced Outlook
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Alarm.com Holdings at $55.00. This reflects only slight adjustments in inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions, rather than a change in their overall price view.Analysis Article • Jan 08
Is There Now An Opportunity In Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)?
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price...Narrative Update • Dec 27
ALRM: Expanded Security Offerings And Buybacks Will Support Steady Outlook
Narrative Update Analysts have maintained their price target for Alarm.com Holdings at 55.00 dollars, with only marginal model refinements to discount rates, revenue growth, profit margin, and future valuation multiples. These refinements support a steady outlook rather than a material reassessment of the company’s fair value.Narrative Update • Dec 12
ALRM: Product Expansion And Share Buybacks Will Support Balanced Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Alarm.com Holdings by 10.0 percent, from 50 dollars to 55 dollars, citing slightly higher long term profit margin and valuation assumptions despite somewhat slower projected revenue growth. What's in the News Launched a low cost Video Intercom Mobile Directory that modernizes multi tenant visitor management with QR code access, mobile video calling, and remote door control, reducing the need for in unit hardware (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Oct 08
Is Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Jul 17
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)?
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price...Analysis Article • Jul 04
Some Investors May Be Worried About Alarm.com Holdings' (NASDAQ:ALRM) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'll...Analysis Article • Jun 14
Is There An Opportunity With Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) 24% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Alarm.com Holdings fair value estimate is US$74.34 Alarm.com...Analysis Article • May 29
Most Shareholders Will Probably Agree With Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) CEO Compensation
Key Insights Alarm.com Holdings to hold its Annual General Meeting on 4th of June Salary of US$238.3k is part of CEO...Analysis Article • May 13
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.2x Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ) may be sending bearish...Seeking Alpha • Apr 21
Alarm.com: Strong Financials And Solid Results, But Rising Market Competition Poses Risks
Summary Alarm.com Holdings is a market leader in cloud-based IoT security solutions, with strong financials and a revenue CAGR of 11.05% from FY20 to FY24. Despite growth, Alarm faces challenges from tech giants like Google and Amazon, and high revenue concentration from top ten customers. Management's growth strategy focuses on commercial surveillance, smart energy, and international expansion, but ADT's partnership with Google poses significant risks. A DCF analysis indicates a potential downside of over 10%, leading to a "Hold" rating due to rising competition and valuation concerns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Apr 16
What Does Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) Share Price Indicate?
While Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of...Analysis Article • Mar 21
Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM)
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Analysis Article • Mar 04
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Alarm.com Holdings is US$64.51 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...Analysis Article • Feb 19
These 4 Measures Indicate That Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Is Using Debt Safely
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Analysis Article • Dec 19
Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to...Analysis Article • Dec 05
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) Shares Climb 28% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...Analysis Article • Nov 26
Calculating The Fair Value Of Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Alarm.com Holdings is US$57.23 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...Analysis Article • Nov 14
We Think Alarm.com Holdings' (NASDAQ:ALRM) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:ALRM ) strong earnings report was rewarded with a positive stock price move. We...Analysis Article • Nov 13
These 4 Measures Indicate That Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Is Using Debt Safely
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Nov 01
Is There Now An Opportunity In Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)?
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price...Seeking Alpha • Sep 11
Alarm.com: There Are Likely Better Entry Points On The Horizon
Summary Alarm.com is expanding internationally and into commercial markets, but its EPS and revenue growth rates are currently a contraction from historical levels. Despite a contraction in top-line and bottom-line growth, its PE and PS ratios have not contracted enough. Therefore, I consider the stock to have a vulnerable valuation at the moment. I expect we could see a near-term stock price decline, but I believe the consensus estimates could begin to expand long-term as management consolidates its position in new markets. My conclusion is that there are better entry points for buying into Alarm.com, but it is certainly a strong company with robust long-term prospects if management continues to operate well. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Sep 09
There's Reason For Concern Over Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) Price
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may...
New Narrative • Sep 05
Cloud Expansion And Generative AI Propel Growth Amid Market And Profit Margin Challenges
Expansion through cloud-based solutions and generative AI adoption indicates growth in the commercial segment and operational efficiency.Shareholder Returns
| ALRM | US Software | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -2.0% | -4.3% | -2.2% |
| 1Y | -0.6% | -9.5% | 13.1% |
Return vs Industry: ALRM exceeded the US Software industry which returned -9.5% over the past year.
Return vs Market: ALRM underperformed the US Market which returned 13.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| ALRM volatility | |
|---|---|
| ALRM Average Weekly Movement | 4.0% |
| Software Industry Average Movement | 9.3% |
| Market Average Movement | 6.9% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 15.4% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 2.9% |
Stable Share Price: ALRM has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: ALRM's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 2,051 | Steve Trundle | www.alarm.com |
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. operates a platform for connected properties in North America and internationally. It operates in two segments, Alarm.com and Other. The company offers residential solutions, such as alarm transmission, smart signal, smart arming, and personal safety and awareness, as well as real-time alerts and always-on monitoring; video monitoring solutions, including video analytics, remote video monitoring, AI deterrence, video doorbell, intelligent integration, and cell connector; scenes, video analytics triggers, smart thermostat schedules, responsive savings, precision comfort, HVAC monitoring service, places feature, whole home water safety solution, and energy usage and solar monitoring solution.
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| ALRM fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$2.71b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$117.90m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$1.06b |
23.1x
P/E Ratio2.6x
P/S RatioIs ALRM overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| ALRM income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$1.06b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$362.76m |
| Gross Profit | US$698.22m |
| Other Expenses | US$580.32m |
| Earnings | US$117.90m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 2.40 |
| Gross Margin | 65.81% |
| Net Profit Margin | 11.11% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 53.9% |
How did ALRM perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/11 21:59 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. is covered by 10 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Saket Kalia | Barclays |
| Adam Hotchkiss | Goldman Sachs |
| Samad Samana | Jefferies LLC |