Upstart Holdings (UPST) Stock Overview
Operates a cloud-based artificial intelligence (AI) lending platform in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 6/6 |
| Past Performance | 3/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
UPST Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Upstart Holdings, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$32.74 |
| 52 Week High | US$87.30 |
| 52 Week Low | US$23.97 |
| Beta | 2.27 |
| 1 Month Change | 8.05% |
| 3 Month Change | 20.10% |
| 1 Year Change | -56.70% |
| 3 Year Change | -29.64% |
| 5 Year Change | -71.23% |
| Change since IPO | 11.10% |
Recent News & Updates
Seeking Alpha • Jul 03
Upstart: Promising Recovery Set Up Despite Potentially Lumpy Q2 2026; Reiterate Buy
Summary Upstart benefits from moderating macro risks, strong loan origination growth, and expanding funding partnerships, with the automated originations at 91% improving margins. The management reiterates strong FY2026/FY2028 guidance, with it underscoring a multi-year, profitable growth cadence despite the mixed FQ1'26 performance metrics. Readers are well advised to temper their expectations entering UPST's FQ2'26 earnings call, attributed to the likely lumpy loan originations during the prior Iran conflict. Otherwise, the stock remains compelling at a P/E of 14.95x and a 3Y PEG ratio of 0.40x against historical levels/peers, despite the recently outsized recovery from the March 2026 bottom. UPST remains a compelling Buy for the contrarian, despite the prolonged macroeconomic normalization, the high short interest at 28.03%, and the potentially lumpy FQ2'26 performance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jul 02
UPST: Bank Charter And AI Underwriting Are Expected To Unlock Funding Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average fair value estimate for Upstart Holdings to about $40 from roughly $44. This reflects a mix of modestly higher revenue growth assumptions, slightly lower profit margin expectations, and updated P/E and discount rate inputs following recent price target changes across the Street.Analysis Article • Jun 19
Upstart Holdings (UPST) Stock Could Be 26% Undervalued After Needham Reaffirms Buy
A Needham analyst reaffirmed a positive rating on Upstart Holdings (UPST) after meetings with senior management, pointing to the company’s emphasis on near-prime personal loans and AI-driven underwriting as key themes drawing investor attention. See our latest analysis for Upstart Holdings. The Needham commentary dropped into a stock that has been volatile, with a 1 day share price return of 6.47% and a 30 day share price return of 15.49% helping to counter a year to date share price decline...
Narrative Update • Jun 18
UPST: Securities Lawsuit And Bank Charter Funding Risks Will Persist
Analysts have modestly increased their average price target for Upstart Holdings stock, with recent moves such as Jefferies raising its target to $30 and BofA lifting its target to $37. These changes cite updated views on the company’s focus on non-prime lending, new product verticals, bank charter progress, operating expense trends, and recent origination data.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jul 03
Upstart: Promising Recovery Set Up Despite Potentially Lumpy Q2 2026; Reiterate Buy
Summary Upstart benefits from moderating macro risks, strong loan origination growth, and expanding funding partnerships, with the automated originations at 91% improving margins. The management reiterates strong FY2026/FY2028 guidance, with it underscoring a multi-year, profitable growth cadence despite the mixed FQ1'26 performance metrics. Readers are well advised to temper their expectations entering UPST's FQ2'26 earnings call, attributed to the likely lumpy loan originations during the prior Iran conflict. Otherwise, the stock remains compelling at a P/E of 14.95x and a 3Y PEG ratio of 0.40x against historical levels/peers, despite the recently outsized recovery from the March 2026 bottom. UPST remains a compelling Buy for the contrarian, despite the prolonged macroeconomic normalization, the high short interest at 28.03%, and the potentially lumpy FQ2'26 performance. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jul 02
UPST: Bank Charter And AI Underwriting Are Expected To Unlock Funding Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average fair value estimate for Upstart Holdings to about $40 from roughly $44. This reflects a mix of modestly higher revenue growth assumptions, slightly lower profit margin expectations, and updated P/E and discount rate inputs following recent price target changes across the Street.Analysis Article • Jun 19
Upstart Holdings (UPST) Stock Could Be 26% Undervalued After Needham Reaffirms Buy
A Needham analyst reaffirmed a positive rating on Upstart Holdings (UPST) after meetings with senior management, pointing to the company’s emphasis on near-prime personal loans and AI-driven underwriting as key themes drawing investor attention. See our latest analysis for Upstart Holdings. The Needham commentary dropped into a stock that has been volatile, with a 1 day share price return of 6.47% and a 30 day share price return of 15.49% helping to counter a year to date share price decline...Narrative Update • Jun 18
UPST: Securities Lawsuit And Bank Charter Funding Risks Will Persist
Analysts have modestly increased their average price target for Upstart Holdings stock, with recent moves such as Jefferies raising its target to $30 and BofA lifting its target to $37. These changes cite updated views on the company’s focus on non-prime lending, new product verticals, bank charter progress, operating expense trends, and recent origination data.Narrative Update • Jun 04
UPST: Funding Risks From Bank Charter And Lawsuit Are Likely To Persist
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Upstart Holdings by around $10 to $15 per share, citing broader cuts across consumer finance stocks and reassessments of funding and macro risks, even as some highlight potential upside from the company's bank charter application. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Upstart Holdings shows a clear tilt toward more conservative assumptions, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets in response to macro uncertainty and sector wide pressure across consumer finance stocks.Narrative Update • May 18
UPST: Funding Strains Will Likely Persist Despite Planned Bank Charter Pursuit
Analysts have lowered their price targets on Upstart Holdings by $3 to $15 to reflect reduced assumed revenue growth, a slightly lower discount rate, and a decreased future P/E multiple, while maintaining fair value at around $20 and making modest adjustments to long-term profit margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Upstart Holdings shows a cluster of price target cuts across several firms, with only a few more supportive voices highlighting potential upside tied to specific catalysts such as the bank application and new product launches.Narrative Update • Apr 30
UPST: Bank Charter Pursuit And GenAI Underwriting Are Expected To Drive Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Upstart Holdings, with fair value estimates moving from about $56.64 to $43.93 as several firms cut targets by $4 to $15 while highlighting mixed views on funding risk, earnings potential, and the impact of the company's bank charter ambitions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Upstart shows a split between analysts who see improving risk and earnings potential and those who remain cautious on funding, macro sensitivity, and valuation.Narrative Update • Apr 15
UPST: Bank Charter Effort Will Likely Fail To Offset Mounting Funding Risks
Analysts have reset the fair value estimate for Upstart Holdings to $20.00 from $40.17, reflecting lower price targets across several firms while still noting possible earnings upside and reduced funding risk tied to the company's bank charter efforts and new product launches. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Upstart reflects a split view, with some firms flagging upside tied to the bank charter effort and new products, while others are trimming price targets and staying cautious on execution and funding.
Narrative Update • Apr 01
UPST: Bank Charter Pursuit Will Reset Perceived Credit Cycle Risk
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Upstart Holdings from $76.84 to $74.12. This reflects a lower average price target across recent research that factors in mixed rating changes, reduced targets tied to market multiples, and ongoing discussion around funding risk and the potential impact of a bank charter.Narrative Update • Mar 18
UPST: Bank Charter And GenAI Underwriting Will Reset Perceived Credit Cycle Risk
Analysts have trimmed the blended price target for Upstart Holdings to reflect a fair value estimate of about $76.84, compared with $80.00 previously, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E in light of recent rating changes and mixed price target moves across the Street. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are starting to frame Upstart as a higher conviction idea for investors who are comfortable with its credit cycle exposure and funding profile.Narrative Update • Mar 04
UPST: GenAI Credit Model And New Access Product Will Reprice Risk
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price targets on Upstart Holdings toward the low to mid $30 range, reflecting mixed views that balance the launch of the Cash Line earned wage access product with tempered assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed but more constructive picture for Upstart Holdings, as several firms reassess both rating and valuation in light of new products and updated long term forecasts.Narrative Update • Feb 18
UPST: GenAI Underwriting And Rate Easing Are Expected To Reprice Risk
Analysts have nudged their price targets on Upstart higher toward $30, reflecting updated views that its GenAI driven underwriting model and ambitious long term outlook could justify current valuations if execution stays on track. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed but incrementally more constructive picture, with several bullish analysts highlighting how Upstart's GenAI centric underwriting model and long term plans could eventually line up with current valuation levels if management hits its targets.Analysis Article • Feb 05
Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UPST) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 25%
The Upstart Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UPST ) share price has softened a substantial 25% over the previous 30 days...Narrative Update • Feb 03
UPST: GenAI Underwriting And Easing Rates Are Expected To Drive Upside
Narrative Update: Upstart Holdings (UPST) The analyst price target for Upstart Holdings has edged higher to about $56.64 from $56.29. Analysts attribute this to its GenAI-centered underwriting model and recent research updates, including a new US$59 target and a revised US$65 target.Narrative Update • Jan 20
UPST: GenAI Credit Model And New Partnerships Will Support Share Recovery
Narrative Update: Upstart Holdings Analysts have nudged their implied fair value estimate for Upstart Holdings higher from about US$55.38 to roughly US$56.29 per share, citing Street research that highlights the company's GenAI-focused underwriting model, mixed but closely watched recent results, and updated price targets in the range of US$59 to US$65. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Upstart highlights a split view, with some bullish analysts focusing on the company’s GenAI-driven underwriting model and others stressing its sensitivity to credit conditions and recent mixed quarterly results.Narrative Update • Jan 06
UPST: GenAI Underwriting And Easing Rates Will Support Medium-Term Earnings Power
Analysts have adjusted their price targets on Upstart Holdings to around $59 to $65 per share. This reflects their view that the company's GenAI driven underwriting model offers material improvements over traditional credit models, while still being closely tied to the credit cycle and interest rate trends.Narrative Update • Dec 14
UPST: Improving Margins Will Support Medium-Term Earnings Power Despite Credit Headwinds
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Upstart Holdings to $80.00 from $105.00, citing lower expected revenue growth, a higher discount rate, and concerns about rising delinquencies that have led to Street price target cuts, even as profit margin expectations improve. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Upstart Holdings reflects a nuanced but increasingly constructive stance among bullish analysts, who argue that the pullback in the stock has created a more attractive risk reward profile despite near term macro and credit headwinds.Analysis Article • Dec 11
Optimistic Investors Push Upstart Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPST) Shares Up 25% But Growth Is Lacking
Those holding Upstart Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UPST ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in...Narrative Update • Nov 29
UPST: Continued Partnerships Will Drive Share Recovery Despite Delinquency Concerns
Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Upstart Holdings, now expecting shares to reach approximately $65. They cite a mixed quarterly report along with increasing delinquencies seen in recent loan performance data.Narrative Update • Nov 15
UPST: Mixed Financials Will Be Offset By Expanding Personal Loan Partnerships
Upstart Holdings’ analyst price target has been revised downward from approximately $75 to $55. Analysts cite mixed quarterly results and rising delinquency trends as key factors in the reassessment.Narrative Update • Nov 01
UPST: Raised Guidance And Credit Union Partnerships Will Drive Momentum Ahead
The consensus analyst price target for Upstart Holdings has been slightly decreased by less than $1 as analysts weigh accelerating delinquencies in older loan vintages against a recent quarterly beat and raised guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research presents a mixed outlook for Upstart Holdings, reflecting both optimism and caution among analysts as they assess the company's latest financial results and developing loan trends.Narrative Update • Oct 18
Model 19 And HELOC Expansion Will Strengthen Underwriting And Funding
Analysts have lowered their fair value estimate for Upstart Holdings from $79.54 to $75.46. They cite concerns over increasing delinquency rates in older loan vintages, as well as a slight adjustment in projected revenue growth and discount rate metrics.Narrative Update • Oct 04
Model 19 And HELOC Expansion Will Strengthen Underwriting And Funding
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Upstart Holdings from approximately $80.85 to $79.54. They cite concerns about rising delinquencies in recent loan vintages and possible risks to future transaction volume.Analysis Article • Sep 30
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPST) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 28% Price Plummet
The Upstart Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UPST ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...Narrative Update • Aug 07
Model 19 And HELOC Expansion Will Strengthen Underwriting And Funding
Despite a reduction in consensus revenue growth forecasts, a notable improvement in net profit margin has driven the consensus analyst price target for Upstart Holdings up from $67.36 to $76.86. What's in the News Upstart provided Q3 2025 guidance of $280 million revenue with a GAAP net loss of $9 million; full-year 2025 guidance is $1.055 billion revenue and $35 million GAAP net income.Analysis Article • Jul 08
Investors Appear Satisfied With Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UPST) Prospects As Shares Rocket 41%
Upstart Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UPST ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 41% gain in the last month...Analysis Article • May 04
Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UPST) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 44% Share Price Bounce
Upstart Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UPST ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 44% in...Seeking Alpha • Apr 30
Upstart: Revisiting The Bull Case Amid Macroeconomic Uncertainties
Summary After investing in Upstart stock in early 2021, I enjoyed the stellar stock market rally that pushed the stock over $400 before it crashed to just $15. 2024 marked a strong year for Upstart as the company made notable progress on the back of interest rate stability and AI model enhancements. New features introduced by Model 19 should help Upstart achieve consistent model calibration in addition to better risk separation. As discussed in this analysis, UPST needs to tick three boxes to ensure long-term growth. Encouragingly, the company has made progress on all these fronts. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| UPST | US Consumer Finance | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -5.9% | -1.1% | 0.7% |
| 1Y | -56.7% | 2.3% | 20.6% |
Return vs Industry: UPST underperformed the US Consumer Finance industry which returned 2.3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: UPST underperformed the US Market which returned 20.6% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| UPST volatility | |
|---|---|
| UPST Average Weekly Movement | 9.7% |
| Consumer Finance Industry Average Movement | 6.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.6% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: UPST has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: UPST's weekly volatility (10%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 1,405 | Paul Gu | www.upstart.com |
Upstart Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a cloud-based artificial intelligence (AI) lending platform in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Personal Lending, Auto Lending, and Other. Its platform includes unsecured personal loans, small dollar loans, auto refinance, auto retail loans, and auto secured personal loan, and home equity lines of credit.
Upstart Holdings, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| UPST fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$3.18b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$49.40m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$1.17b |
63.4x
P/E Ratio2.7x
P/S RatioIs UPST overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| UPST income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$1.17b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$202.97m |
| Gross Profit | US$970.74m |
| Other Expenses | US$921.34m |
| Earnings | US$49.40m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
Aug 04, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.52 |
| Gross Margin | 82.71% |
| Net Profit Margin | 4.21% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 267.5% |
How did UPST perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/10 10:36 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/10 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Upstart Holdings, Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Ramsey El-Assal | Barclays |
| Mihir Bhatia | BofA Global Research |
| Harold Goetsch | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |