Stock Analysis

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Trip.com Group Limited's (NASDAQ:TCOM) Price

NasdaqGS:TCOM
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When close to half the companies in the Hospitality industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.3x, you may consider Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Trip.com Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:TCOM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2024

What Does Trip.com Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Trip.com Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Trip.com Group.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Trip.com Group would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 99% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 81% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 18% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 13% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Trip.com Group's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Trip.com Group's P/S

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Trip.com Group maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Hospitality industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Trip.com Group that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Trip.com Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:TCOM

Trip.com Group

Through its subsidiaries, operates as a travel service provider for accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, packaged tours and in-destination, corporate travel management, and other travel-related services in China and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.