Stock Analysis

3 Noteworthy Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Below Intrinsic Value By Up To 47.8%

SEHK:1821
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In a week marked by significant economic reports and fluctuating market indices, global markets have shown mixed performance, with major U.S. indexes mostly lower amid busy earnings announcements and cautious investor sentiment. As growth stocks lagged behind value shares and manufacturing activity continued to decline, investors are increasingly focused on identifying opportunities in undervalued stocks that may offer potential upside when trading below their intrinsic value. In such an environment, a good stock is often characterized by strong fundamentals and the potential for growth despite broader market volatility.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Provident Financial Services (NYSE:PFS)US$18.85US$37.4849.7%
Proya CosmeticsLtd (SHSE:603605)CN¥97.24CN¥194.4750%
Arteche Lantegi Elkartea (BME:ART)€6.10€12.2050%
Elica (BIT:ELC)€1.725€3.4449.8%
Beyout Investment Group Holding Company - K.S.C. (Holding) (KWSE:BEYOUT)KWD0.395KWD0.7950%
Bangkok Genomics Innovation (SET:BKGI)THB2.68THB5.3549.9%
BayCurrent Consulting (TSE:6532)¥4902.00¥9762.9349.8%
Redcentric (AIM:RCN)£1.20£2.3949.8%
Beijing LeiKe Defense Technology (SZSE:002413)CN¥4.72CN¥9.3949.8%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (NasdaqGS:ALNY)US$273.91US$546.1449.8%

Click here to see the full list of 958 stocks from our Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Below we spotlight a couple of our favorites from our exclusive screener.

ESR Group (SEHK:1821)

Overview: ESR Group Limited operates in logistics real estate development, leasing, and management across various regions including Hong Kong, China, Japan, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand, Southeast Asia, India, Europe and internationally with a market cap of HK$45.60 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include Fund Management at $627.98 million and New Economy Development at $113.33 million, while Investment reported a negative revenue of -$106.44 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 32.9%

ESR Group is trading at HK$10.96, significantly below its estimated fair value of HK$16.33, suggesting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite recent financial challenges, including a net loss of US$218.72 million for H1 2024 due to non-cash asset revaluations and market conditions, the company's revenue is projected to grow faster than the Hong Kong market at 15.9% annually. However, interest payments are not well covered by earnings currently.

SEHK:1821 Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024
SEHK:1821 Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024

China Tobacco International (HK) (SEHK:6055)

Overview: China Tobacco International (HK) Company Limited operates in the tobacco industry and has a market capitalization of approximately HK$17.15 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from several segments, including the Tobacco Leaf Products Import Business at HK$8.43 billion, the Tobacco Leaf Products Export Business at HK$1.82 billion, the Cigarettes Export Business at HK$1.52 billion, the Brazil Operation Business at HK$884.06 million, and the New Tobacco Products Export Business at HK$139.60 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 18.4%

China Tobacco International (HK) is trading at HK$24.9, below its estimated fair value of HK$30.5, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Recent earnings for H1 2024 showed a net income increase to HKD 643.34 million from the previous year's HKD 456.95 million, reflecting solid growth prospects with forecasted annual earnings growth of 12.3%. However, debt coverage by operating cash flow remains a concern despite robust revenue projections exceeding market averages at 11.4% annually.

SEHK:6055 Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024
SEHK:6055 Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024

Akeso (SEHK:9926)

Overview: Akeso, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company engaged in the research, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of antibody drugs with a market cap of HK$61.21 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of CN¥1.87 billion from its activities in researching, developing, producing, and selling biopharmaceutical products.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 47.8%

Akeso is currently trading at HK$69.65, significantly below its estimated fair value of HK$133.51, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company's revenue is expected to grow at 33.4% annually, outpacing the Hong Kong market's growth rate of 7.7%. Although Akeso has diluted shareholders recently and reported a net loss for H1 2024, its forecasted earnings growth of 53.31% per year suggests improving profitability prospects in the coming years.

SEHK:9926 Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024
SEHK:9926 Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About SEHK:1821

ESR Group

Engages in the logistics real estate development, leasing, and management activities in Hong Kong, China, Japan, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand, Southeast Asia, India, Europe, and internationally.

Reasonable growth potential and slightly overvalued.