ESR Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

ESR Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 26.3% and 9.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 27.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.8% in 3 years.

Key information

26.3%

Earnings growth rate

27.3%

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth	13.8%
Revenue growth rate	9.1%
Future return on equity	6.8%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	28 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

ESR Group (HKG:1821) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.125

Apr 26

ESR Group (HKG:1821) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.125

Apr 10

ESR Group's (HKG:1821) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Mar 28

ESR Group Limited (HKG:1821) Stocks Pounded By 27% But Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

Mar 23

ESR Group Limited (HKG:1821) Shares Could Be 35% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Oct 09

ESR Group's (HKG:1821) Dividend Will Be $0.125

Aug 28

An Intrinsic Calculation For ESR Group Limited (HKG:1821) Suggests It's 40% Undervalued

May 03

These 4 Measures Indicate That ESR Group (HKG:1821) Is Using Debt Extensively

Mar 23

ESR Group Limited (HKG:1821) Shares Could Be 24% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Jan 23

These 4 Measures Indicate That ESR Group (HKG:1821) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Dec 02

Are Investors Undervaluing ESR Group Limited (HKG:1821) By 38%?

Oct 14

Here's Why ESR Group (HKG:1821) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Aug 27

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:1821 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	1,121	619	624	604	6
12/31/2025	990	516	744	609	12
12/31/2024	906	411	1,001	631	12
12/31/2023	851	204	71	143	N/A
9/30/2023	928	336	-19	76	N/A
6/30/2023	1,005	469	-108	10	N/A
3/31/2023	1,026	522	-85	44	N/A
12/31/2022	1,048	574	-61	79	N/A
9/30/2022	957	545	15	119	N/A
6/30/2022	867	516	91	159	N/A
3/31/2022	720	433	80	117	N/A
12/31/2021	572	349	70	75	N/A
9/30/2021	554	358	63	71	N/A
6/30/2021	535	367	57	68	N/A
3/31/2021	514	327	66	77	N/A
12/31/2020	493	286	75	86	N/A
9/30/2020	506	294	73	77	N/A
6/30/2020	518	302	72	68	N/A
3/31/2020	484	274	61	62	N/A
12/31/2019	451	245	51	56	N/A
9/30/2019	410	231	60	84	N/A
6/30/2019	385	217	43	70	N/A
3/31/2019	352	210	48	75	N/A
12/31/2018	320	203	54	79	N/A
9/30/2018	278	198	20	34	N/A
12/31/2017	190	187	28	34	N/A
12/31/2016	133	88	N/A	20	N/A
12/31/2015	52	9	N/A	29	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 1821's forecast earnings growth (26.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.2%).

Earnings vs Market: 1821's earnings (26.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (11.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 1821's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 1821's revenue (9.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (8.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 1821's revenue (9.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 1821's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.8%).

ESR Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 10%

Analysts update estimates

Recent updates

ESR Group (HKG:1821) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.125

ESR Group (HKG:1821) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.125

ESR Group's (HKG:1821) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

ESR Group Limited (HKG:1821) Stocks Pounded By 27% But Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

ESR Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 31, 2024

ESR Group Limited Proposes Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2023, Payable on 28 June 2024

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 22%

ESR Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 21, 2024

Are Investors Undervaluing ESR Group Limited (HKG:1821) By 47%?

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With ESR Group Limited's (HKG:1821) Price

ESR Group Limited Announces Appointment of Joanne Sarah McNamara as Non-Executive Director, Effective 1 January 2024

Is ESR Group (HKG:1821) Using Too Much Debt?

ESR Group Limited (HKG:1821) Shares Could Be 35% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.13 per share at 2.1% yield

ESR Group's (HKG:1821) Dividend Will Be $0.125

ESR Group Limited Declares Interim Dividend for the Financial Year Ending 31 December 2023, Payable on 29 September 2023

ESR Group Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 23, 2023

Paceline Equity Partners, LLC and ESR Group acquired Renaissance Dallas at Plano Legacy West Hotel from SAM Moon Trading, Inc.

ESR Group Limited Announces Retirement of Wei Hu as A Non-Executive Director

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.13 per share at 1.9% yield

An Intrinsic Calculation For ESR Group Limited (HKG:1821) Suggests It's 40% Undervalued

Insider recently bought HK$54k worth of stock

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 10%

These 4 Measures Indicate That ESR Group (HKG:1821) Is Using Debt Extensively

ESR Group Limited (HKG:1821) Shares Could Be 24% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought HK$2.4m worth of stock

These 4 Measures Indicate That ESR Group (HKG:1821) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

UBS Group AG on behalf of its clients acquired 13-storey office block from ESR Group Limited (SEHK:1821) and Partners Group Holding AG (SWX:PGHN).

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Insider recently bought HK$56k worth of stock

Are Investors Undervaluing ESR Group Limited (HKG:1821) By 38%?

Now 22% undervalued

ESR Group Limited Announces Change of Chief Financial Officer

Here's Why ESR Group (HKG:1821) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

ESR Group Limited Declares Maiden Interim Dividend for the Year Ending December 31, 2022, Payable on September 30, 2022

ESR Group Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 25, 2022

ESR Group Limited (SEHK:1821) acquired additional 25% stake in ESR Funds Management (S) Limited from Shanghai Summit Pte Ltd.

ESR Group Limited Board Establishes Dividend Policy

EG Phoenix IX Limited entered into the SPA to acquire 100% issued shares in ABM Capital Limited from ESR Group Limited (SEHK:1821) for approximately CNY 390 million.

EG Phoenix IX Limited entered into the SPA to acquire 100% issued shares in ABM Capital Limited from ESR Group Limited (SEHK:1821) for approximately CNY 390 million.

ESR Cayman Limited Announces Board Changes

ESR Cayman Limited Appoints Wei-Lin Kwee as an Independent Non-Executive Director

An unknown buyer agreed to acquire 18.16% stake in China Logistics Property Holdings Co., Ltd (SEHK:1589) from ESR Cayman Limited (SEHK:1821) for HKD 2.7 billion.

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

ESR Cayman Limited Announces Appointment of Ms. Serene Siew Noi Nah as Independent Non-Executive Directorx

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

ESR Cayman Limited (SEHK:1821) and an unknown investor acquired Portfolio of 11 logistics properties in China.

ESR Cayman Limited (SEHK:1821) (ESR) completed the acquisition of ARA Asset Management Limited (ARA) from a group of investors.

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought HK$466k worth of stock

GIC Pte. Ltd. and ESR Cayman Limited (SEHK:1821) completed the acquisition of Australian logistics property portfolio from The Blackstone Group Inc. (NYSE:BX).

ESR Cayman Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Mar 25, 2021

New 90-day low: HK$23.05

LOGOS Reportedly Taps Moelis in Bid for Milestone Logistics

ESR Cayman Limited Announces Appointment of Hu Wei as Non-Executive Director

New 90-day high: HK$28.35

ESR Cayman Limited Announces Zhenhui Wang Has Resigned as A Non-Executive Director

New 90-day high: HK$25.75

ESR Cayman Limited Announces Resignation of Ho Jeong Lee as Non-Executive Director and Member of the Audit Committee

New 90-day high: HK$25.50

ESR-REIT (SGX:J91U) completed the acquisition of Sabana Shari'ah Compliant Industrial Real Estate Investment Trust (SGX:M1GU) from ESR Cayman Limited, Maybank Kim Eng Securities Pte. Ltd., Tong Jinquan and others.

Analysts update estimates

ESR Cayman Limited to Report First Half, 2020 Results on Aug 27, 2020

New 90-day high - HK$22.05

ESR Cayman Limited (SEHK:1821) acquired Three prime properties in East China Jiangsu province.

Manulife Financial Corporation (TSX:MFC) and ESR Cayman Limited (SEHK:1821) acquired four institutional-grade logistics properties from Redwood China Logistics Fund, fund managed by Redwood Group Asia Pte. Ltd. for approximately CNY 1.7 billion.