Stock Analysis

3 Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Below Intrinsic Value In January 2025

SEHK:6055
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As global markets navigate a mix of moderate gains and economic uncertainties, highlighted by fluctuating consumer confidence and manufacturing data in the U.S., investors are increasingly attentive to stocks that may be trading below their intrinsic value. In this environment, identifying undervalued stocks can offer potential opportunities for those looking to capitalize on market inefficiencies and secure assets at a price lower than their estimated worth.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Globetronics Technology Bhd (KLSE:GTRONIC)MYR0.585MYR1.1749.8%
Wasion Holdings (SEHK:3393)HK$7.13HK$14.1949.7%
First Solar (NasdaqGS:FSLR)US$176.24US$350.7149.7%
Strike CompanyLimited (TSE:6196)¥3655.00¥7309.5350%
S Foods (TSE:2292)¥2737.00¥5472.3550%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$14.35A$28.7050%
Cettire (ASX:CTT)A$1.51A$3.0249.9%
Medley (TSE:4480)¥3835.00¥7652.9649.9%
Ally Financial (NYSE:ALLY)US$36.01US$71.7149.8%
ASMPT (SEHK:522)HK$74.90HK$149.6650%

Click here to see the full list of 872 stocks from our Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's dive into some prime choices out of the screener.

Alfen (ENXTAM:ALFEN)

Overview: Alfen N.V. operates through its subsidiaries to design, engineer, develop, produce, and service smart grids, energy storage systems, and electric vehicle charging equipment with a market cap of €261.52 million.

Operations: The company's revenue segments consist of Smart Grid Solutions (€196.32 million), EV Charging Equipment (€153.59 million), and Energy Storage Systems (€176.37 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 49.2%

Alfen is trading at €12.03, significantly below its estimated fair value of €23.69, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Despite a volatile share price recently, Alfen's earnings are forecast to grow significantly at 42.6% annually over the next three years, outpacing the Dutch market's growth rate of 15.7%. However, recent profit margins have decreased to 1.8% from last year's 8.3%, indicating potential profitability challenges ahead.

ENXTAM:ALFEN Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025
ENXTAM:ALFEN Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025

China Tobacco International (HK) (SEHK:6055)

Overview: China Tobacco International (HK) Company Limited operates in the tobacco industry and has a market capitalization of HK$16.32 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from several segments: Brazil Operation Business (HK$884.06 million), Cigarettes Export Business (HK$1.52 billion), New Tobacco Products Export Business (HK$139.60 million), Tobacco Leaf Products Export Business (HK$1.82 billion), and Tobacco Leaf Products Import Business (HK$8.43 billion).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 21.8%

China Tobacco International (HK) is trading at HK$23.75, over 20% below its estimated fair value of HK$30.37, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company forecasts a profit increase of at least 30% for 2024 due to optimized business structures and enhanced profitability across various segments. Despite slower revenue growth projections compared to significant benchmarks, its earnings are expected to grow faster than the Hong Kong market average, supported by strategic improvements in gross profit margins.

SEHK:6055 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025
SEHK:6055 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025

Lifedrink Company (TSE:2585)

Overview: Lifedrink Company, Inc. manufactures and sells beverages in Japan with a market cap of ¥118.84 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from its Beverage and Leaf Business, which generated ¥41.86 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 14.1%

Lifedrink Company is trading at ¥2274, slightly below its estimated fair value of ¥2647.58, suggesting potential undervaluation in terms of cash flows. Earnings are projected to grow 15.9% annually, outpacing the JP market's average growth rate. However, the company faces high debt levels and a volatile share price history. Revenue growth is expected at 9% per year, exceeding the market average but remaining moderate overall.

TSE:2585 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025
TSE:2585 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025

Where To Now?

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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