China Tobacco International (HK) Company Limited

SEHK:6055 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$16.1b

China Tobacco International (HK) Valuation

Is 6055 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6055 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6055 (HK$23.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$30.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6055 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6055?

Key metric: As 6055 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6055. This is calculated by dividing 6055's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6055's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.5x
EarningsHK$785.16m
Market CapHK$16.12b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6055's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6055 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.6x
693 Tan Chong International
20xn/aHK$2.4b
186 Nimble Holdings
11.2xn/aHK$1.5b
1957 MBV International
5.7xn/aHK$191.5m
2031 Ausupreme International Holdings
5.5xn/aHK$169.2m
6055 China Tobacco International (HK)
20.5x12.3%HK$16.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6055 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the peer average (10.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6055's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Retail Distributors Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
6055 20.5xIndustry Avg. 18.6xNo. of Companies28PE01632486480+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6055 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the Asian Retail Distributors industry average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6055's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6055 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.5x
Fair PE Ratio10.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6055 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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