Stock Analysis

Codan And Two More ASX Stocks Considered Below Estimated Value

ASX:S32
Source: Shutterstock

The Australian stock market has shown modest activity recently, remaining flat over the last week but gaining 6.2% over the past year, with earnings projected to grow by 14% annually. In this context, identifying stocks that are trading below their estimated value could offer attractive opportunities for investors looking for potential growth in a steadily advancing market.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
LaserBond (ASX:LBL)A$0.695A$1.2142.4%
Smart Parking (ASX:SPZ)A$0.48A$0.9649.9%
COSOL (ASX:COS)A$1.25A$2.4348.6%
MaxiPARTS (ASX:MXI)A$1.88A$3.1340%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$12.44A$22.7945.4%
ReadyTech Holdings (ASX:RDY)A$3.22A$5.9645.9%
Mader Group (ASX:MAD)A$6.51A$12.6248.4%
hipages Group Holdings (ASX:HPG)A$1.035A$1.9446.7%
IPH (ASX:IPH)A$6.16A$11.3545.7%
Millennium Services Group (ASX:MIL)A$1.145A$2.2448.9%

Click here to see the full list of 49 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's take a closer look at a couple of our picks from the screened companies

Codan (ASX:CDA)

Overview: Codan Limited specializes in developing technology solutions for a diverse range of clients including United Nations organizations, mining companies, and security forces, with a market capitalization of approximately A$2.07 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily through its Communications and Metal Detection segments, earning A$291.50 million and A$212.20 million respectively.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 24.5%

Codan, currently priced at A$11.42, appears undervalued by over 20% compared to its estimated fair value of A$15.13 based on discounted cash flows. The company's return on equity is expected to be robust at 21.5% in three years, outpacing the Australian market forecast of 5.4%. With earnings projected to expand by 16.2% annually, Codan's growth trajectory exceeds the average market prediction of 13.7%, highlighting its potential despite not being significantly above a 20% growth threshold.

ASX:CDA Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2024
ASX:CDA Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2024

Mader Group (ASX:MAD)

Overview: Mader Group Limited is a contracting company offering specialist technical services in the mining, energy, and industrial sectors both in Australia and internationally, with a market capitalization of approximately A$1.30 billion.

Operations: The company generates its revenue primarily through staffing and outsourcing services, amounting to A$702.87 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 48.4%

Mader Group, priced at A$6.51, is significantly undervalued, with a DCF-based fair value estimate of A$12.62, indicating a 48.4% undervaluation. Its earnings growth is expected to be robust at 17.56% annually, surpassing the Australian market's average of 13.7%. Additionally, Mader's revenue growth forecast at 15.3% per year outstrips the broader market prediction of 5.4%, reinforcing its potential in a competitive landscape despite not reaching extremely high growth rates.

ASX:MAD Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2024
ASX:MAD Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2024

South32 (ASX:S32)

Overview: South32 Limited is a diversified metals and mining company with operations across multiple countries including Australia, India, and the United States, boasting a market cap of approximately A$16.52 billion.

Operations: South32's revenue is primarily derived from its Hillside Aluminium at A$1.72 billion, followed by Illawarra Metallurgical Coal at A$1.36 billion, Worsley Alumina at A$1.36 billion, and other segments including Mozal Aluminium (A$801 million), Sierra Gorda (A$649 million), Australia Manganese (A$651 million), Cannington (A$588 million), Cerro Matoso (A$541 million), South Africa Manganese (A$321 million), Brazil Alumina (A$443 million), and Brazil Aluminium (BA) at A$210 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 40%

South32, currently priced at A$3.66, trades 40% below its estimated fair value of A$6.1, suggesting substantial undervaluation based on discounted cash flows. Expected to turn profitable within three years, its forecasted revenue growth rate of 7.5% per year is higher than the Australian market average of 5.4%. However, its projected Return on Equity in three years is relatively low at 10.9%, tempering some optimism about its future financial performance.

ASX:S32 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2024
ASX:S32 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2024

Turning Ideas Into Actions

Interested In Other Possibilities?

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether South32 is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com