South32 Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

South32 is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 73% and 6.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 49.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.3% in 3 years.

Key information

73.0%

Earnings growth rate

49.8%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	13.4%
Revenue growth rate	6.9%
Future return on equity	10.3%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	23 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

South32 Limited's (ASX:S32) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 89% Above Its Share Price

May 10

Is South32 (ASX:S32) A Risky Investment?

Apr 24

Does South32 (ASX:S32) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Feb 15

Estimating The Fair Value Of South32 Limited (ASX:S32)

Jan 24

South32 (ASX:S32) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Nov 06

South32 Limited's (ASX:S32) CEO Will Probably Have Their Compensation Approved By Shareholders

Oct 20

Is There An Opportunity With South32 Limited's (ASX:S32) 46% Undervaluation?

Oct 04

Here's Why South32 (ASX:S32) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Sep 16

Are Investors Undervaluing South32 Limited (ASX:S32) By 34%?

Jun 28

Is South32 (ASX:S32) Using Too Much Debt?

Jun 07

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of South32 Limited (ASX:S32)

Mar 29

South32 (ASX:S32) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Mar 08

Are Investors Undervaluing South32 Limited (ASX:S32) By 50%?

Dec 04

Is South32 (ASX:S32) Using Too Much Debt?

Nov 07

We Think South32's (ASX:S32) Solid Earnings Are Understated

Aug 25

Investors Could Be Concerned With South32's (ASX:S32) Returns On Capital

Aug 19

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:S32 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2026	8,473	1,239	598	2,210	11
6/30/2025	8,105	921	691	1,774	12
6/30/2024	7,541	403	-17	1,171	15
12/31/2023	6,982	-805	-283	802	N/A
9/30/2023	7,260	-489	14	997	N/A
6/30/2023	7,537	-173	311	1,191	N/A
3/31/2023	8,310	1,075	1,045	1,840	N/A
12/31/2022	9,082	2,322	1,779	2,489	N/A
9/30/2022	9,229	2,496	2,127	2,780	N/A
6/30/2022	9,375	2,669	2,474	3,070	N/A
3/31/2022	8,228	1,842	1,985	2,565	N/A
12/31/2021	7,081	1,014	1,496	2,059	N/A
9/30/2021	6,330	578	1,155	1,732	N/A
6/30/2021	5,578	142	814	1,405	N/A
12/31/2020	4,326	219	506	1,142	N/A
9/30/2020	4,730	189	549	1,254	N/A
6/30/2020	5,133	158	592	1,365	N/A
3/31/2020	6,587	-106	619	1,441	N/A
12/31/2019	6,928	-147	645	1,517	N/A
9/30/2019	7,224	121	853	1,667	N/A
6/30/2019	7,519	389	1,061	1,817	N/A
3/31/2019	7,788	907	1,458	2,122	N/A
12/31/2018	8,057	1,424	1,854	2,426	N/A
9/30/2018	7,901	1,378	1,549	2,072	N/A
6/30/2018	7,744	1,332	1,243	1,717	N/A
3/31/2018	7,600	1,243	1,308	1,750	N/A
12/31/2017	7,456	1,154	1,373	1,783	N/A
9/30/2017	7,326	1,193	N/A	1,958	N/A
6/30/2017	7,195	1,231	N/A	2,132	N/A
3/31/2017	6,765	993	N/A	1,690	N/A
12/31/2016	6,334	754	N/A	1,247	N/A
9/30/2016	6,227	-430	N/A	1,139	N/A
6/30/2016	6,119	-1,615	N/A	1,030	N/A
3/31/2016	6,288	-2,100	N/A	955	N/A
12/31/2015	6,457	-2,585	N/A	879	N/A
9/30/2015	5,265	-1,755	N/A	775	N/A
6/30/2015	4,072	-926	N/A	670	N/A
12/31/2014	-3,825	-407	N/A	-77	N/A
9/30/2014	-1,486	-203	N/A	42	N/A
6/30/2014	853	N/A	N/A	160	N/A
6/30/2013	12,195	-1,467	N/A	1,426	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: S32 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: S32 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: S32 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: S32's revenue (6.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (4.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: S32's revenue (6.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: S32's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.3%).

South32 Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

South32 Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 39%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Recent updates

Now 24% overvalued

A Look At The Fair Value Of South32 Limited (ASX:S32)

Benign Growth For South32 Limited (ASX:S32) Underpins Its Share Price

Now 25% overvalued

Golden Energy and Resources Limited and M Resources Pty Ltd agreed to acquire Illawarra Metallurgical Coal from South32 Limited (ASX:S32) for $1.6 billion.

Golden Energy and Resources Limited and M Resources Pty Ltd agreed to acquire Illawarra Metallurgical Coal from South32 Limited (ASX:S32) for $1.6 billion.

First half dividend of US$0.004 announced

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.012 (vs US$0.15 in 1H 2023)

South32 Limited Declarers an Interim Dividend for the Half Year Ended 31 December 2023, Payable on 4 April 2024

Stanmore Resources Limited (ASX:SMR) entered into definitive agreement to acquire 50% stake in Eagle Downs Metallurgical Coal Joint Venture Project from South32 Limited (ASX:S32).

South32 Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 24, 2024

South32 Limited to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Jul 22, 2024

Is There An Opportunity With South32 Limited's (ASX:S32) 46% Undervaluation?

South32 Limited Announces the Appointment of Sharon Warburton as Independent Non-Executive Director

South32 Limited Announces the Appointment of Sharon Warburton as Independent Non-Executive Director

Here's Why South32 (ASX:S32) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

South32 Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

Upcoming dividend of US$0.032 per share at 3.7% yield

Coronado Reportedly in Talks with South32 on Coal Asset

South32 Limited Reports First Time Mineral Resource Estimate for the Sierra Gorda Copper Mine

Is South32 (ASX:S32) Using Too Much Debt?

South32 Limited Announces Ordinary Fully Paid Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2023, Payment Date of October 12, 2023

Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Suitors Reportedly Prepare to Lob Bids for Chalice

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 39%

South32 Limited Announces Resignation of Guy Lansdown as Director

South32 Limited Provides Hermosa Project Update

South32 Limited's (ASX:S32) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 89% Above Its Share Price

South32 Reportedly Eyeing $3bn Copper Buy

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Is South32 (ASX:S32) A Risky Investment?

Upcoming dividend of US$0.049 per share at 10% yield

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.15 (vs US$0.22 in 1H 2022)

South32 Limited Resolves to Pay Interim Dividend for the Half Year Ended 31 December 2022, Payable 6 April 2023

Does South32 (ASX:S32) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Estimating The Fair Value Of South32 Limited (ASX:S32)

Now 21% undervalued

South32 (ASX:S32) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

South32 Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 26, 2023

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

South32 Limited's (ASX:S32) CEO Will Probably Have Their Compensation Approved By Shareholders

Consensus forecasts updated

Is There An Opportunity With South32 Limited's (ASX:S32) 46% Undervaluation?

Here's Why South32 (ASX:S32) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Upcoming dividend of US$0.17 per share

CEO, MD & Executive Director exercised options and sold AU$563k worth of stock

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

South32 Limited Resolves to Pay Final Dividend for the Year Ended 30 June 2022, Payable on 13 October 2022

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 47%

Are Investors Undervaluing South32 Limited (ASX:S32) By 34%?

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Is South32 (ASX:S32) Using Too Much Debt?

South32 Limited completed the acquisition of an additional 16.6% stake in Mozal Aluminium from MCA Metals Holding Gmbh for $200 million.

South32 Limited (ASX:S32) completed the acquisition of additional 18.2% stake in MRN Bauxite Mine from Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA).

Insufficient new directors

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of South32 Limited (ASX:S32)

Now 22% undervalued

South32 (ASX:S32) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Upcoming dividend of US$0.087 per share

South32 Limited to Report Q4, 2022 Final Results on Jul 25, 2022

South32 Limited (ASX:S32) completed the acquisition of 31.5% stake in Sierra Gorda S.C.M. from Sumitomo Metal Mining Co., Ltd. (TSE:5713).

First half 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

South32 Limited Declares Ordinary Franked Dividend for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2021, Payable on April 7, 2022

South32 Limited Announces Hermosa Project Update

South32 Limited with Joint Venture Partner Alcoa Corporation Announces Restart of Brazil Aluminium Using Renewable Power

Insufficient new directors

Are Investors Undervaluing South32 Limited (ASX:S32) By 50%?