South32 Limited

ASX:S32 Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$18.0b

South32 Management

Management criteria checks 3/4

South32's CEO is Graham Kerr, appointed in Oct 2014, has a tenure of 11.58 years. total yearly compensation is $4.31M, comprised of 30.9% salary and 69.1% bonuses, including company stock and options. directly owns 0.074% of the company’s shares, worth A$13.32M. The average tenure of the management team and the board of directors is 4.8 years and 2.8 years respectively.

Key information

Graham Kerr

Chief executive officer

US$4.3m

Total compensation

CEO salary percentage30.86%
CEO tenure11.6yrs
CEO ownership0.07%
Management average tenure4.8yrs
Board average tenure2.8yrs

Recent management updates

Recent updates

S32: Citi Upgrade And West Musgrave Option Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their A$ price target for South32 slightly, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, discount rate and future P/E after recent supportive research. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on how revised assumptions for fair value, revenue trajectories, discount rate and future P/E feed into South32's updated price targets.

S32: Recent Upgrades And West Musgrave Option Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price target for South32 to A$4.84 from A$4.78, citing slightly higher assumed profit margins and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. Together, these factors offset a more cautious revenue growth outlook and an updated discount rate.

S32: UBS Upgrade And West Musgrave Option Will Shape Bullish Outlook

South32's updated analyst price target has moved from A$4.69 to A$4.78, with analysts pointing to refreshed fair value estimates and slightly adjusted discount rate and P/E assumptions following recent target hikes and upgrades from the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more refined view of South32, with target changes and an upgrade reflecting how analysts are reassessing valuation, execution risks and growth options rather than reacting to a single catalyst.

S32: UBS Upgrade And Mozal Power Shift Will Guide Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for South32 slightly higher to A$4.69 from A$4.67, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and forward P/E following recent price target and rating changes at major brokers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a mix of optimism and caution around South32, with valuation adjustments and rating changes reflecting differing views on how the company may execute on its plans and how that might flow through to earnings and cash flow.

S32: UBS Upgrade And Mozal Power Move Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted their A$ fair value estimate for South32 from about A$4.37 to roughly A$4.67, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, margins and future P/E after recent price target revisions and upgrades from the Street. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the recent upgrade and higher price target as support for the revised A$ fair value estimate, suggesting that current pricing assumptions for South32 may be too conservative relative to their outlook.

S32: UBS Upgrade And Mozal Power Transition Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted their price target on South32 by about A$0.22, citing updated views on fair value, discount rate, expected revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions following recent research, including the latest UBS upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent research, including the latest UBS upgrade, highlights a mix of supportive and cautious views on South32's outlook and valuation.

S32: Mozal Power Uncertainty And Improved Margins Will Shape Steady Outlook

Analysts have lifted their price target on South32 to around A$4.15 from about A$3.50, pointing to updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the key drivers of this change. What's in the News South32 plans to place the Mozal Aluminium operation on care and maintenance on or around 15 March 2026 after not securing a new electricity supply agreement beyond the expiry of the current deal in March 2026 (Key Developments).

S32: Mozal Suspension And Cannington Sale Prospects Will Shape Steady Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target for South32 slightly higher to A$3.50 from about A$3.48, reflecting updated views on the company’s fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News South32 plans to place the Mozal Aluminium operation in Mozambique on care and maintenance on or around 15 March 2026, as it has not secured a new electricity supply agreement beyond the expiry of the current deal in March 2026 (Key Developments).

S32: Cannington Sale Prospects Will Shape Outlook Amid Steady Earnings Expectations

Narrative Update on South32 The analyst price target for South32 has been raised from $3.38 to $3.48 as analysts factor in slightly stronger long term revenue growth and higher future valuation multiples. This is partially offset by modestly lower profit margin expectations and a marginally higher discount rate.

S32: Outlook Will Balance Cannington Sale Process And Consistent Earnings Performance

Analysts have slightly increased their price target for South32, raising the estimated fair value from $3.32 to $3.38 per share. This adjustment reflects updated discount rate assumptions.

S32: Outlook Will Reflect Mine Sale Talks And Stable Operations Into 2026

South32’s analyst price target has been modestly raised from $3.30 to $3.32, as analysts cite improved revenue growth forecasts. This increase is partially offset by a slightly higher discount rate and a marginally lower profit margin outlook.

S32: Upcoming Asset Sale And Production Outlook Will Affect Future Returns

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for South32, raising the fair value estimate from $3.26 to $3.30. They cite updated views on discount rates as well as the outlook for growth and profitability.

Base Metals Expansion Will Unlock Opportunities In Decarbonization

Analysts have raised their price target for South32 from $3.11 to $3.26. This change reflects improved expectations based on higher forecast revenue growth and profit margins.

Base Metals Expansion Will Unlock Opportunities In Decarbonization

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for South32, increasing it from $3.05 to $3.11 per share. They cited slightly improved revenue growth expectations, along with minor adjustments to forecast discount rates and profit margins.

Statutory Profit Doesn't Reflect How Good South32's (ASX:S32) Earnings Are

Sep 04
Statutory Profit Doesn't Reflect How Good South32's (ASX:S32) Earnings Are

Worsley Approvals And GEMCO Restart Will Strengthen Mining Operations

A significant reduction in expected revenue growth and a sharp rise in the future P/E multiple have driven a slight downward revision in South32’s consensus analyst price target, now at A$3.27. What's in the News South32 has signaled significant uncertainty over securing sufficient and affordable electricity for the Mozal Aluminium smelter beyond March 2026, triggering halted investment, pot relining stoppage, and contractor stand-downs; Mozal is likely to be placed on care and maintenance once the current agreement expires.
User avatar

Worsley Approvals And GEMCO Restart Will Strengthen Mining Operations

The Worsley Mine Project and GEMCO restart promise future revenue growth and improved operating margins, backed by recent approvals and phased mining activities.

CEO Compensation Analysis

How has Graham Kerr's remuneration changed compared to South32's earnings?
DateTotal CompensationSalaryCompany Earnings
Dec 31 2025n/an/a

US$394m

Sep 30 2025n/an/a

US$356m

Jun 30 2025US$4mUS$1m

US$318m

Mar 31 2025n/an/a

US$119m

Dec 31 2024n/an/a

-US$63m

Sep 30 2024n/an/a

-US$254m

Jun 30 2024US$5mUS$1m

-US$446m

Dec 31 2023n/an/a

-US$1b

Sep 30 2023n/an/a

-US$973m

Jun 30 2023US$4mUS$1m

-US$618m

Mar 31 2023n/an/a

US$1b

Dec 31 2022n/an/a

US$2b

Sep 30 2022n/an/a

US$2b

Jun 30 2022US$4mUS$1m

US$3b

Mar 31 2022n/an/a

US$2b

Dec 31 2021n/an/a

US$1b

Sep 30 2021n/an/a

US$578m

Jun 30 2021US$5mUS$1m

US$142m

Dec 31 2020n/an/a

US$219m

Sep 30 2020n/an/a

US$189m

Jun 30 2020US$5mUS$1m

US$158m

Mar 31 2020n/an/a

-US$106m

Dec 31 2019n/an/a

-US$147m

Sep 30 2019n/an/a

US$121m

Jun 30 2019US$5mUS$1m

US$389m

Compensation vs Market: Graham's total compensation ($USD4.31M) is about average for companies of similar size in the Australian market ($USD3.88M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Graham's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


CEO

Graham Kerr (54 yo)

11.6yrs
Tenure
US$4,314,203
Compensation

Mr. Graham Kerr, BBus, FCPA, has been the Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director of South32 Limited since August 2014 and December 9, 2015 respectively. He is responsible for running all facets of t...


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Graham Kerr
CEO, MD & Executive Director11.6yrsUS$4.31m0.074%
A$ 13.3m
Sandy Sibenaler
Chief Financial Officer3.1yrsUS$1.57m0.0013%
A$ 231.0k
Noel Pillay
Chief Operating Officer of Africa & Colombiano dataUS$1.44m0.011%
A$ 1.9m
Erwin Schaufler
Chief Commercial & Technical Of?cer2.2yrsno datano data
Ben Baker
Vice President of Investor Relationsno datano datano data
Kelly O'Rourke
Chief Legal4.8yrsno datano data
Simon Collins
Chief Development Officer7.6yrsno datano data
Matthew Daley
Deputy Chief Executive Officerless than a yearno datano data
Claire Tolcon
Company Secretary5.6yrsno datano data
4.8yrs
Average Tenure
49yo
Average Age

Experienced Management: S32's management team is considered experienced (4.8 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Graham Kerr
CEO, MD & Executive Director11.3yrsUS$4.31m0.074%
A$ 13.3m
Stephen Pearce
Independent Non-Executive Chair1.3yrsUS$75.03k0.0029%
A$ 523.3k
Wayne Osborn
Independent Non-Executive Director11yrsUS$204.69k0.0039%
A$ 701.9k
Carlos Augusto Mesquita
Independent Non-Executive Director3yrsUS$189.55k0.0040%
A$ 714.5k
Sharon Warburton
Independent Non-Executive Director2.5yrsUS$163.88k0.0015%
A$ 274.3k
Xiaoling Liu
Independent Non-Executive Director8.5yrsUS$194.16k0.0015%
A$ 265.2k
Jane Nelson
Independent Non-Executive Director3yrsUS$179.02k0.00089%
A$ 160.6k
Geoff Healy
Independent Non-Executive Directorless than a yearno datano data
Sinead Kaufman
Independent Non-Executive Directorless than a yearno datano data
Mandlesilo Lambase Msimang
Independent Non-Executive Director1.3yrsUS$78.98kno data
2.8yrs
Average Tenure
61yo
Average Age

Experienced Board: S32's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.8 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/01 14:59
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

South32 Limited is covered by 39 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ayan GhoshAvior Capital Markets
Izak RossouwBarclays
Izak RossouwBarclays