Stock Analysis

3 Stocks That May Be Trading Below Estimated Fair Value

As the U.S. stock market navigates through a government shutdown and unexpected private-sector job losses, major indices like the Nasdaq and S&P 500 continue to show resilience, with recent gains bringing them near record highs. In this fluctuating environment, identifying stocks that may be trading below their estimated fair value can offer investors potential opportunities to capitalize on market inefficiencies.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United States

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Udemy (UDMY)$7.01$13.6848.8%
Trade Desk (TTD)$49.01$96.4949.2%
Northwest Bancshares (NWBI)$12.39$24.4149.2%
HCI Group (HCI)$191.93$376.1349%
Glaukos (GKOS)$81.55$161.6049.5%
GeneDx Holdings (WGS)$107.74$214.8049.8%
First Busey (BUSE)$23.15$45.3048.9%
Customers Bancorp (CUBI)$65.37$130.4349.9%
Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC)$19.77$38.7649%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)$456.00$896.0849.1%

Click here to see the full list of 203 stocks from our Undervalued US Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Below we spotlight a couple of our favorites from our exclusive screener.

HCI Group (HCI)

Overview: HCI Group, Inc. operates in the United States through its subsidiaries, offering property and casualty insurance, insurance management, reinsurance, real estate, and information technology services with a market cap of $2.42 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include $726.94 million from insurance operations, $49.26 million from reciprocal exchange operations, and $11.12 million from real estate.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 49%

HCI Group is trading at US$191.93, significantly below its estimated fair value of US$376.13, suggesting it is undervalued based on cash flows. The company's earnings are forecast to grow 25.5% annually, outpacing the broader US market's growth rate of 15.4%. Recent financial results show a strong performance with Q2 revenue rising to US$221.92 million and net income increasing to US$66.16 million compared to the previous year.

HCI Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
HCI Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Mirion Technologies (MIR)

Overview: Mirion Technologies, Inc. offers radiation detection, measurement, analysis, and monitoring products and services across North America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific with a market cap of $5.23 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from two main segments: Medical, contributing $309.50 million, and Nuclear & Safety, generating $576.50 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 11.8%

Mirion Technologies is trading at US$23.26, slightly below its fair value estimate of US$26.36, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company's earnings are projected to grow significantly at 103.5% annually, surpassing the broader US market's growth rate of 15.4%. Recent developments include a partnership with the IAEA and successful equity and fixed-income offerings totaling nearly $695 million, which may bolster its financial position and future growth prospects in radiation detection technology.

MIR Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
MIR Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

RLX Technology (RLX)

Overview: RLX Technology Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells e-vapor products in China and internationally, with a market cap of approximately $3.06 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segment primarily consists of Personal Products, generating CN¥2.92 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 32.2%

RLX Technology, trading at $2.63, is undervalued based on discounted cash flow with an estimated fair value of $3.88. The company's earnings grew by 11.3% last year and are forecast to grow 16.36% annually, outpacing the US market's growth rate of 15.4%. Recent earnings results show significant revenue and net income increases compared to the previous year, suggesting robust financial health despite a low future return on equity forecast of 7.6%.

RLX Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
RLX Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NYSE:HCI

HCI Group

Engages in the property and casualty insurance, insurance management, reinsurance, real estate, and information technology businesses in the United States.

Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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