HCI Group, Inc.

NYSE:HCI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.0b

HCI Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

HCI Group's earnings are forecast to decline at 9.6% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 4.8% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 14.1% per annum.

Key information

-9.6%

Earnings growth rate

-14.10%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth2.0%
Revenue growth rate4.8%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated07 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 16

HCI Group: Synchrony In Fundamentals And Valuation Ensures Security

Summary HCI Group, Inc. remains fundamentally strong despite recent stock price weakness and bearish technicals, presenting new buying opportunities. HCI delivered Q1 2026 operating revenue of $242.9M, up 12.2% YoY, with stable operating margins and resilient pricing power. Key risks include high Florida concentration, inflationary pressures, and a soft housing market, but disciplined underwriting and robust liquidity mitigate these concerns. Technological advancements through Exzeo and $2B+ in cash and liquid investments support HCI’s operational resilience and potential for future growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 28

HCI: Share Repurchase Plan And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have kept their $245.00 price target for HCI Group unchanged, making only slight tweaks to profit margin and forward P/E assumptions that guide the updated view. What's in the News The Board of Directors of HCI Group, Inc.
Narrative Update • Apr 11

HCI: Share Repurchase Plan And Steady Assumptions Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have held their price target for HCI Group steady at $245.00. This reflects updated views on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that leave their overall valuation stance unchanged.
Narrative Update • Mar 28

HCI: New Share Buyback Authorization Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have maintained their HCI Group price target at $245.00, indicating that their assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E in updated models remain largely unchanged. What's in the News Board of Directors authorizes a new share buyback plan for HCI Group, Inc.
Narrative Update • Mar 09

HCI: Share Buybacks Will Support Upside Despite More Cautious Assumptions

Analysts have maintained their $245.00 price target on HCI Group, with updated assumptions that now reflect a revenue growth outlook of 8.85%, a profit margin of 18.73% and a future P/E of 20.68x, supported by a consistent discount rate of 6.98%. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a new share buyback plan for HCI Group, Inc.
Narrative Update • Feb 23

HCI: Steady Assumptions And Undervalued Pricing Will Support Further Upside

Analysts have kept their HCI Group price target steady at $245.00, reflecting unchanged assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Model fair value remains at $245.00, with no change from the prior estimate.
Narrative Update • Feb 06

HCI: Stable Fair Value And P/E Assumptions Will Support Further Upside

Analysts have kept their HCI Group fair value estimate steady at $245.00, with only very small model tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions behind their updated target price rationale. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Kept steady at $245.00, indicating no change in the overall target level.
Analysis Article • Feb 05

HCI Group (NYSE:HCI) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.40

The board of HCI Group, Inc. ( NYSE:HCI ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 20th of March, with...
Narrative Update • Jan 23

HCI: Higher Assumed P/E Will Support Future Share Price Upside

Analysts now put their price target for HCI Group at $245, up from $234, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to refine their view on the stock. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Target fair value has been raised from $234 to $245, representing a modest upward adjustment in the modelled price level.
Narrative Update • Jan 08

HCI: Steady Cash Flow Assumptions Will Support Future Share Price Upside

Analysts have kept their HCI Group fair value estimate steady at $234, with only minimal tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. This signals that their overall view on the stock's valuation is essentially unchanged.
Narrative Update • Dec 22

HCI: Future Earnings Power Will Support Stronger Share Price Upside

Analysts have made a modest upward revision to their price target on HCI Group, now seeing fair value at approximately 234 dollars per share. This reflects fine tuned assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future earnings multiples.
Narrative Update • Dec 08

HCI: Future Margin Expansion Will Support Stronger Share Price Upside

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on HCI Group to approximately $234 from about $232, citing expectations for stronger revenue growth, improving profit margins, and a slightly lower valuation multiple outlook. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly from about $232 to approximately $234 per share.
Narrative Update • Nov 24

HCI: Future Profit Margin Improvement Will Drive Share Price Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for HCI Group from $213.75 to $231.67, citing improved profit margin projections and incremental adjustments to growth and risk assumptions. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Increased from $213.75 to $231.67.
Narrative Update • Nov 08

HCI: Upward Price Potential Expected Amid Updated Financial Forecasts

Analysts have revised HCI Group's fair value target upward from $202.50 to $213.75 per share, citing updated assumptions in their financial forecasts. Valuation Changes Fair Value per share increased from $202.50 to $213.75, reflecting an updated assessment of the company's prospects.
Analysis Article • Oct 28

HCI Group (NYSE:HCI) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.40

The board of HCI Group, Inc. ( NYSE:HCI ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 19th of December, with...
Analysis Article • Jul 15

HCI Group (NYSE:HCI) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.40

HCI Group, Inc.'s ( NYSE:HCI ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.40 per share on 19th of September...
Analysis Article • Feb 08

HCI Group (NYSE:HCI) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.40

The board of HCI Group, Inc. ( NYSE:HCI ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 21st of March, with...
Analysis Article • Jan 16

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving HCI Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:HCI) Low P/E

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...
Analysis Article • Dec 25

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, HCI Group (NYSE:HCI) Presents An Opportunity

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Analysis Article • Nov 09

HCI Group (NYSE:HCI) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.40

HCI Group, Inc. ( NYSE:HCI ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.40 per share on the 20th of December...
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New Narrative • Sep 16

A Balancing Act For Future Prosperity And Challenges

HCI Group's expansion and strategic policy acquisitions hint at a promising growth trajectory, impacting future revenues and market positions positively.
Analysis Article • Sep 10

It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With HCI Group, Inc. (NYSE:HCI)

It's not a stretch to say that HCI Group, Inc.'s ( NYSE:HCI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x right now seems...
Seeking Alpha • Aug 25

HCI Group: A Tech-Driven Home Run In Florida's Insurance Market

Summary HCI Group Inc. is a Tampa-based holding company overseeing operations in homeowners insurance, reinsurance, real estate, and IT. HCI Group's strong financial performance includes beating earnings expectations, significant revenue growth, and improved underwriting results due to advanced technology. HCI Group is undervalued with significant upside potential, showing strong profitability and growth prospects despite risks tied to operations in hurricane-prone Florida. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 03

HCI Group: A Growth Stock Trading At Reasonable Levels In The P&C Insurance Industry

Summary HCI Group has seen strong growth in written premiums and earnings, with in-force premiums reaching $1 billion in Q1 2024. The company has improved operational efficiency and experienced significant growth in net income and diluted EPS. HCI sees a positive outlook for the insurance industry and is expected to continue expanding its business and benefiting from market conditions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • May 10

Revenues Tell The Story For HCI Group, Inc. (NYSE:HCI)

When close to half the companies in the Insurance industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:HCI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20271,008244N/AN/A2
12/31/2026962240N/AN/A2
3/31/2026927291429431N/A
12/31/2025901287441444N/A
9/30/2025817198404408N/A
6/30/2025776140482486N/A
3/31/2025760126307312N/A
12/31/2024750106328332N/A
9/30/2024751144406410N/A
6/30/2024707151370378N/A
3/31/2024628108306314N/A
12/31/202355176222231N/A
9/30/2023505418896N/A
6/30/2023500-20-21-16N/A
3/31/2023498-413642N/A
12/31/2022496-55-100N/A
9/30/2022492-562030N/A
6/30/2022465-141222N/A
3/31/2022440-3109118N/A
12/31/202140829397N/A
9/30/202136644548N/A
6/30/2021334256163N/A
3/31/2021313325158N/A
12/31/2020273267177N/A
9/30/2020266308793N/A
6/30/202025921128135N/A
3/31/2020237199699N/A
12/31/201924225N/A54N/A
9/30/201923211N/A37N/A
6/30/201923414N/A30N/A
3/31/201923415N/A54N/A
12/31/201823118N/A29N/A
9/30/201824037N/A-5N/A
6/30/2018226-9N/A13N/A
3/31/2018234-8N/A-22N/A
12/31/2017244-6N/A17N/A
9/30/2017255-14N/A48N/A
6/30/201727535N/A49N/A
3/31/201726933N/A85N/A
12/31/201626227N/A88N/A
9/30/201625334N/A31N/A
6/30/201624730N/A38N/A
3/31/201626444N/A14N/A
12/31/201528662N/A45N/A
9/30/201528765N/A131N/A
6/30/201529371N/A107N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HCI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9.6% per year).

Earnings vs Market: HCI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HCI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: HCI's revenue (4.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HCI's revenue (4.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if HCI's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/24 07:48
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/22 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

HCI Group, Inc. is covered by 8 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Matthew CarlettiCitizens JMP Securities, LLC
Casey AlexanderLadenburg Thalmann & Company
Michael PhillipsOppenheimer & Co. Inc.