Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In MeridianLink, Inc.'s (NYSE:MLNK) P/S

NYSE:MLNK
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There wouldn't be many who think MeridianLink, Inc.'s (NYSE:MLNK) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Software industry in the United States is similar at about 4.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for MeridianLink

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:MLNK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 11th 2024

What Does MeridianLink's Recent Performance Look Like?

MeridianLink could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on MeridianLink will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

MeridianLink's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 5.4% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 52% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 8.0% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 15% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that MeridianLink's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Given that MeridianLink's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for MeridianLink that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether MeridianLink is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.