With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.4x nCino, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.4x and even P/S lower than 1.6x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for nCino
What Does nCino's Recent Performance Look Like?
There hasn't been much to differentiate nCino's and the industry's revenue growth lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to improve, justifying the currently elevated P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on nCino will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is nCino's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, nCino would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 133% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 18% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 15% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that nCino's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of nCino's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware nCino is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:NCNO
nCino
A software-as-a-service company, provides cloud-based software applications to financial institutions in the United States and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.