Stock Analysis

3 US Stocks Estimated To Be 14.6% To 47.8% Below Intrinsic Value

NasdaqGS:INCY
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As the U.S. stock market edges close to record highs, buoyed by positive wholesale inflation data and a stable tariff environment, investors are increasingly on the lookout for opportunities that may be trading below their intrinsic value. In this context, identifying undervalued stocks becomes crucial as these investments can offer potential upside in a market where major indices have recently posted weekly gains.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United States

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Provident Financial Services (NYSE:PFS)$18.65$36.9949.6%
Atour Lifestyle Holdings (NasdaqGS:ATAT)$30.80$58.9047.7%
Old National Bancorp (NasdaqGS:ONB)$23.89$45.7147.7%
Sandy Spring Bancorp (NasdaqGS:SASR)$33.65$64.4947.8%
Incyte (NasdaqGS:INCY)$70.42$134.8947.8%
Array Technologies (NasdaqGM:ARRY)$6.79$13.5349.8%
Constellium (NYSE:CSTM)$9.34$18.3149%
First Advantage (NasdaqGS:FA)$19.93$38.1247.7%
Fluence Energy (NasdaqGS:FLNC)$6.43$12.6149%
Kyndryl Holdings (NYSE:KD)$41.79$82.1049.1%

Click here to see the full list of 160 stocks from our Undervalued US Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's review some notable picks from our screened stocks.

Duolingo (NasdaqGS:DUOL)

Overview: Duolingo, Inc. is a mobile learning platform that operates in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally with a market cap of $19.03 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of $689.46 million from its educational software segment.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 14.6%

Duolingo is trading at US$432.69, approximately 14.6% below its estimated fair value of US$506.64, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company's earnings are expected to grow significantly at 35.5% annually over the next three years, outpacing the broader U.S. market's growth rate of 14.5%. Recent product enhancements and a strategic board appointment bolster Duolingo's innovative edge and leadership capabilities in the education technology sector.

NasdaqGS:DUOL Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2025
NasdaqGS:DUOL Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2025

Incyte (NasdaqGS:INCY)

Overview: Incyte Corporation is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics across the United States, Europe, Canada, and Japan with a market cap of approximately $13.63 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily from its biotechnology segment, amounting to approximately $4.24 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 47.8%

Incyte is trading at US$70.42, significantly below its estimated fair value of US$134.89, suggesting undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite a decline in net profit margins from 16.2% to 0.8%, earnings are projected to grow at 23.8% annually over the next three years, surpassing the U.S. market's growth rate of 14.5%. Recent strategic shifts and FDA approvals for treatments like Niktimvo enhance Incyte's potential for future profitability and market positioning.

NasdaqGS:INCY Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2025
NasdaqGS:INCY Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2025

Inspire Medical Systems (NYSE:INSP)

Overview: Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. is a medical technology company that develops and commercializes minimally invasive solutions for obstructive sleep apnea, with a market cap of approximately $5.51 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from its Patient Monitoring Equipment segment, which generated $802.80 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 18.1%

Inspire Medical Systems is trading at US$185.61, about 18.1% below its estimated fair value of US$226.59, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company reported a net income of US$53.51 million for 2024, transitioning from a prior loss and achieving significant earnings growth with projections of 26% annually over the next three years, outpacing the U.S. market's expected growth rate of 14.5%.

NYSE:INSP Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2025
NYSE:INSP Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2025

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NasdaqGS:INCY

Incyte

A biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics in the United States, Europe, Canada, and Japan.

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.