Duolingo Future Growth
Future criteria checks 6/6
Duolingo is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 34.6% and 20.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 31.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 30% in 3 years.
Key information
34.6%
Earnings growth rate
31.1%
EPS growth rate
| Consumer Services earnings growth | 24.5% |
| Revenue growth rate | 20.9% |
| Future return on equity | 30.0% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 19 Dec 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL)
Dec 19
Duolingo: Stellar Stock With Stretched Valuation (Rating Downgrade)
Dec 10Duolingo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DUOL) 26% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
Nov 23Duolingo Keeps Shattering Investors' And Users' Expectations, But Don't Succumb To Euphoria
Nov 09Duolingo: Priced To Perfection
Oct 31Is Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL) Trading At A 39% Discount?
Oct 28Duolingo: Too Rich To Be Excited About
Oct 09Duolingo: I Expect Strong Adoption For Max Tier
Sep 26Duolingo: Great For The Watch List, But Don't Buy Until The $170s
Sep 09Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL) Stocks Shoot Up 31% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable
Sep 01Duolingo: Q2 2024 Offers More Compelling Reasons To Buy Now
Aug 14Duolingo Earnings Preview: Downgrading To 'Hold' As Risk From OpenAI Is Unknown
Aug 04Duolingo: A Leading E-Learning Innovator
Jul 26Duolingo, The Language Learning Market Leader Is Worth Buying
Jun 29Duolingo Stock Is A Buy After Stellar Q1
Jun 10Duolingo: OpenAI Disruption Risk
Jun 03Duolingo: The Post-Earnings Crash Makes This Stock More Appealing
May 10Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL) Shares Could Be 48% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Apr 24Duolingo: Rating Upgrade As Accelerated Innovation Will Produce Outsized Revenue And Margin Growth
Apr 01Duolingo: Caution Is The Best Approach Here (Rating Upgrade)
Mar 23Duolingo Earnings: Delivering Hyper-Growth, Still Priced At 40x FCF
Feb 29Duolingo: Navigating The Language Of Growth
Feb 21Market Participants Recognise Duolingo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DUOL) Revenues
Feb 11Duolingo: Navigating Growth And Innovation In The Dynamic Edtech Landscape
Feb 10Duolingo's Product Innovation Is Exciting, But Not Its Stock Price
Jan 30Duolingo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DUOL) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 24% Below Its Share Price
Jan 12Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 1,197 | 216 | 462 | 467 | 14 |
| 12/31/2025 | 962 | 146 | 330 | 361 | 19 |
| 12/31/2024 | 744 | 98 | 266 | 284 | 18 |
| 9/30/2024 | 689 | 87 | 229 | 251 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 634 | 66 | 210 | 233 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 583 | 46 | 190 | 208 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 531 | 16 | 140 | 154 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 484 | -10 | 106 | 116 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 442 | -31 | 78 | 87 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 404 | -50 | 54 | 63 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 369 | -60 | 44 | 54 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 339 | -63 | 32 | 42 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 306 | -74 | 30 | 38 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 277 | -59 | 18 | 25 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 251 | -60 | 3 | 9 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 226 | -53 | 6 | 12 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 208 | -27 | 3 | 9 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 189 | -27 | 14 | 18 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 162 | -16 | 14 | 18 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 71 | -14 | -3 | 2 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: DUOL's forecast earnings growth (34.6% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: DUOL's earnings (34.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).
High Growth Earnings: DUOL's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: DUOL's revenue (20.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: DUOL's revenue (20.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: DUOL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (30%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2024/12/22 01:49 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2024/12/20 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Duolingo, Inc. is covered by 29 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Ishan Majumdar | Baptista Research |
| Ross Sandler | Barclays |
| X. Lu | Barclays |