Duolingo, Inc.

NasdaqGS:DUOL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.8b

Duolingo Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Duolingo's earnings are forecast to decline at 32.2% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 13.4% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 40.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 16.8% in 3 years.

Key information

-32.2%

Earnings growth rate

-40.86%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Services earnings growth14.6%
Revenue growth rate13.4%
Future return on equity16.76%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated04 Mar 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Duolingo: Billion Dollar Business Hiding in Plain Sight

Duolingo just crossed $1 billion in revenue and delivered a 367% surge in net earnings — yet the stock trades at a trailing P/E of just 11x. For a market-leading EdTech platform with 50 million daily active users, that’s a number you’d normally associate with a slow-moving industrial company, not one of the most recognisable consumer brands on the planet.

Duolingo (DUOL): The AI Learning Architect – Trading Profits for a 100M User Vision

Duolingo (DUOL) is currently undergoing its most significant strategic shift since its IPO, transitioning from a monetization-heavy model to a "user-growth first" strategy. This pivot was punctuated by its Q4 2025 earnings report on Thursday, February 26, 2026 , where the company beat expectations with $282.9 million in revenue (up 35% YoY) but issued guidance that sparked a massive sell-off.

AI Is Rocket Fuel For Duolingo

Feb 12

Earnings Working Against Duolingo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DUOL) Share Price Following 37% Dive

Feb 05
Earnings Working Against Duolingo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DUOL) Share Price Following 37% Dive

Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL) Looks Just Right With A 27% Price Jump

Oct 09
Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL) Looks Just Right With A 27% Price Jump

Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

Jul 11
Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

Is Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL) Potentially Undervalued?

Jun 13
Is Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL) Potentially Undervalued?

Is Now The Time To Put Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL) On Your Watchlist?

May 29
Is Now The Time To Put Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL) On Your Watchlist?

Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL) Looks Just Right With A 44% Price Jump

May 03
Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL) Looks Just Right With A 44% Price Jump

Duolingo: Love The Business, Don't Love The Valuation

Apr 28

Duolingo: Still A Bargain At 35x FCF? I Think So

Apr 10

Is There An Opportunity With Duolingo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DUOL) 36% Undervaluation?

Apr 07
Is There An Opportunity With Duolingo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DUOL) 36% Undervaluation?

Duolingo: AI Concerns Are Overblown, But Stock Is Already Overpriced Anyway

Feb 28

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Duolingo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DUOL) 26% Share Price Surge

Feb 11
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Duolingo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DUOL) 26% Share Price Surge

Duolingo: Despite Being A High-Quality Company, Market Expectations Are Too High

Jan 15

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL)

Dec 19
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL)

Duolingo: Stellar Stock With Stretched Valuation (Rating Downgrade)

Dec 10

Duolingo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DUOL) 26% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

Nov 23
Duolingo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DUOL) 26% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

Duolingo Keeps Shattering Investors' And Users' Expectations, But Don't Succumb To Euphoria

Nov 09

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:DUOL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20281,55520046840710
12/31/20271,38616847444619
12/31/20261,21014835939621
12/31/20251,038414360388N/A
9/30/2025964386348364N/A
6/30/2025885117321336N/A
3/31/202581197289308N/A
12/31/202474889264286N/A
9/30/202468987229251N/A
6/30/202463466210233N/A
3/31/202458346190208N/A
12/31/202353116140154N/A
9/30/2023484-10106116N/A
6/30/2023442-317887N/A
3/31/2023404-505463N/A
12/31/2022369-604454N/A
9/30/2022339-633242N/A
6/30/2022306-743038N/A
3/31/2022277-591825N/A
12/31/2021251-6039N/A
9/30/2021226-53612N/A
6/30/2021208-2739N/A
3/31/2021189-271418N/A
12/31/2020162-161418N/A
12/31/201971-14-32N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: DUOL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-32.2% per year).

Earnings vs Market: DUOL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-32.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: DUOL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: DUOL's revenue (13.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (10.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: DUOL's revenue (13.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: DUOL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/06 14:56
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/06 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Duolingo, Inc. is covered by 30 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Vikram KesavabhotlaBaird
Ross SandlerBarclays
X. LuBarclays