HighPeak Energy (HPK) Stock Overview
Operates as an independent crude oil and natural gas exploration and production company. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 3/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 1/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
HPK Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 11 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
HighPeak Energy, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$5.82 |
| 52 Week High | US$12.00 |
| 52 Week Low | US$3.85 |
| Beta | 0.34 |
| 1 Month Change | -8.20% |
| 3 Month Change | 25.16% |
| 1 Year Change | -41.45% |
| 3 Year Change | -57.92% |
| 5 Year Change | -34.16% |
| Change since IPO | -39.94% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Apr 30
HPK: Future Upside Will Rely On Brent Decks And Margin Resilience
Analysts now see HighPeak Energy's fair value holding at $7.88 per share, with recent price target adjustments reflecting updated oil price assumptions and revised expectations for discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see room for upside to HighPeak Energy's valuation as higher long term Brent oil price assumptions, such as the US$77.50 forecast for 2026, filter into discounted cash flow models and price targets.Narrative Update • Apr 16
HPK: Future Upside Will Depend On Oil Decks And Margin Discipline
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on HighPeak Energy to around $7.88 from $8.50, reflecting updated views on fair value, a lower discount rate, softer revenue expectations, sharply reduced profit margin assumptions, and a much higher future P/E estimate following recent research moves, including mixed target revisions tied to changing oil price forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent research on HighPeak Energy shows a split view, with some analysts adjusting targets upward on changing oil assumptions while others are cutting targets to reflect more conservative expectations for profits and value.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 30
HPK: Future Upside Will Rely On Brent Decks And Margin Resilience
Analysts now see HighPeak Energy's fair value holding at $7.88 per share, with recent price target adjustments reflecting updated oil price assumptions and revised expectations for discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see room for upside to HighPeak Energy's valuation as higher long term Brent oil price assumptions, such as the US$77.50 forecast for 2026, filter into discounted cash flow models and price targets.Narrative Update • Apr 16
HPK: Future Upside Will Depend On Oil Decks And Margin Discipline
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on HighPeak Energy to around $7.88 from $8.50, reflecting updated views on fair value, a lower discount rate, softer revenue expectations, sharply reduced profit margin assumptions, and a much higher future P/E estimate following recent research moves, including mixed target revisions tied to changing oil price forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent research on HighPeak Energy shows a split view, with some analysts adjusting targets upward on changing oil assumptions while others are cutting targets to reflect more conservative expectations for profits and value.
Narrative Update • Mar 10
HPK: Higher Margins And Execution Will Support Future Re Rating Despite Trim
Analysts cut their price target on HighPeak Energy by $1.50, citing slightly softer projected revenue growth, modestly higher profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E as the main drivers of the revision. Analyst Commentary Even with the latest $1.50 trim to the price target, bullish analysts still point to several reasons they see room for upside in HighPeak Energy over the long run.
Narrative Update • Feb 23
HPK: Softer Revenue Outlook And Lower P/E Will Shape Future Upside
Analysts recently reduced their price target on HighPeak Energy by $1.50, citing updated assumptions that include softer revenue growth expectations, higher discount rates, and a lower future P/E multiple, partly offset by stronger projected profit margins. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are using the latest price target cut to flag that HighPeak Energy may offer less upside than previously thought, especially when they plug in more conservative revenue and margin assumptions.Narrative Update • Feb 09
HPK: Higher Margin Profile And Permian Execution Will Drive Future Re Rating
Analysts have reduced their price target on HighPeak Energy by $1.50, citing adjustments to discount rate assumptions, expectations for revenue contraction, a transition to a higher profit margin profile, and a reset to a more moderate forward P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge the lower headline price target, but still point to a thesis that leans on improved profitability, a cleaner valuation framework, and a clearer earnings path.Narrative Update • Jan 25
HPK: Future Returns Will Rely On Permian Execution And Margin Discipline
Analysts have reduced their price target on HighPeak Energy by $1.50 to $8.50 per share, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue expectations and profit margins reflected in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research behind the revised US$8.50 price target focuses on updated discount rate assumptions, revenue outlook and margin expectations.Narrative Update • Jan 11
HPK: Permian Execution And Debt Reduction Will Drive Future Re Rating Potential
Analysts have reset their fair value estimate for HighPeak Energy from US$31.50 to US$12.00, citing balance sheet concerns, drilling inventory quality and management changes. They still see room for multiple expansion as the company focuses on Permian execution and debt reduction.Narrative Update • Dec 25
HPK: Share Price Will Rise As Permian Execution Drives Multiple Expansion
Analysts have nudged their price target on HighPeak Energy modestly higher to $12.00, reflecting expectations that a focus on Permian execution and gradual debt reduction will help narrow the stock's valuation gap. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts argue the current valuation underestimates the company’s core Permian asset base and potential for improved well performance.Analysis Article • Dec 17
HighPeak Energy (NASDAQ:HPK) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Narrative Update • Dec 11
HPK: Share Price Will Rise As Debt Reduction Drives Multiple Expansion
Analysts have raised their price target on HighPeak Energy by $2.75 to $12.00, citing expectations for valuation multiple expansion as the company executes in the Permian and works to reduce debt, despite only minor tweaks to the discount rate and fundamental assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts argue the stock screens as undervalued relative to Permian focused peers, given its current discount to projected cash flow and net asset value.Narrative Update • Nov 26
HPK: Share Price Will Rise as Debt Reduction and Permian Focus Continue
Analysts have revised HighPeak Energy's fair value estimate downward from $9.50 to $9.25 per share. They cite investor concerns about leverage, drilling inventory quality, and leadership changes, but also express optimism that focused Permian execution and debt reduction could drive future valuation improvements.Seeking Alpha • Nov 18
HighPeak Energy: A Look At Development Plans With Various Oil Price Scenarios
Summary HighPeak has outlined its plans at various oil prices. It expects to maintain production at $60 to $70 oil. Lower oil prices would result in modest production declines, while higher oil prices would result in some production increases. HighPeak's private equity partnerships are expected to distribute their HighPeak shares to limited partners in 2026 and 2027. HighPeak expects those limited partners to hold onto most of their shares, but some selling pressure could still occur. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Nov 12
Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past HighPeak Energy's (NASDAQ:HPK) Soft Earnings
The most recent earnings report from HighPeak Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HPK ) was disappointing for shareholders. However...Narrative Update • Nov 12
HPK: Share Price Will Benefit as Permian Execution Accelerates
Analysts have raised their price target for HighPeak Energy from $9.50 to $12.00 per share. They cite improving operational execution and expectations that valuation could increase as the company addresses leverage and drilling quality concerns.Analysis Article • Nov 08
HighPeak Energy, Inc. Reported A Surprise Loss, And Analysts Have Updated Their Forecasts
There's been a notable change in appetite for HighPeak Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HPK ) shares in the week since its...Analysis Article • Nov 07
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By HighPeak Energy, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:HPK) 27% Share Price Plunge
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the HighPeak Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HPK ) share price has dived 27% in the last...Narrative Update • Oct 29
Permian Focus And Debt Reduction Will Drive Undervalued Shares Higher
Analysts have raised their price target for HighPeak Energy to $12 per share, citing the company’s renewed focus on Permian operations and debt reduction as key drivers of potential upside. This comes despite recent concerns weighing on the stock.Narrative Update • Oct 15
Low Breakevens And Volatile Markets Will Drive Future Production
Analysts have raised their price target for HighPeak Energy from $7.00 to $9.50 per share. They cite improved prospects as the company addresses investor concerns and focuses on execution in the Permian Basin.Analysis Article • Aug 28
Benign Growth For HighPeak Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:HPK) Underpins Stock's 27% Plummet
HighPeak Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HPK ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with...Narrative Update • Aug 20
Low Breakevens And Volatile Markets Will Drive Future Production
A sharp decline in HighPeak Energy's consensus price target, down from $19.25 to $7.00, reflects a substantial reduction in expected earnings valuation despite slight improvement in profit margins. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for HighPeak Energy The Consensus Analyst Price Target has significantly fallen from $19.25 to $7.00.Analysis Article • Jul 16
Does HighPeak Energy (NASDAQ:HPK) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Jun 20
Improved Earnings Required Before HighPeak Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:HPK) Stock's 27% Jump Looks Justified
HighPeak Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HPK ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in...Analysis Article • May 27
Increases to HighPeak Energy, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:HPK) CEO Compensation Might Cool off for now
Key Insights HighPeak Energy's Annual General Meeting to take place on 3rd of June Total pay for CEO Jack Hightower...Analysis Article • May 16
HighPeak Energy's (NASDAQ:HPK) Dividend Will Be $0.04
HighPeak Energy, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:HPK ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.04 per share on 25th of June. This...Analysis Article • Apr 13
Investors Give HighPeak Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:HPK) Shares A 27% Hiding
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the HighPeak Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HPK ) share price has dived 27% in the last...Analysis Article • Apr 04
These 4 Measures Indicate That HighPeak Energy (NASDAQ:HPK) Is Using Debt Extensively
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Feb 22
HighPeak Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:HPK) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...Seeking Alpha • Nov 29
HighPeak Energy: Strong Production Performance, But Free Cash Flow May Be Modest At Strip Prices
Summary HighPeak's Q3 2024 production exceeded expectations, resulting in improved full-year guidance. The company has been able to keep production at around 50,000 BOEPD with two rigs. HighPeak's 2025 free cash flow may be under $100 million though, if it wants to hold production flat at $67 WTI oil. HPK also has $120 million in term loan repayments to make in 2025, so it may use some of its cash on hand to help make those repayments. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Nov 19
Investors Don't See Light At End Of HighPeak Energy, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:HPK) Tunnel
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...Analysis Article • Oct 28
These 4 Measures Indicate That HighPeak Energy (NASDAQ:HPK) Is Using Debt Extensively
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Seeking Alpha • Oct 02
HighPeak Energy: Total Production Holding Up Well, Although With A Declining Oil Cut
Summary HighPeak's production hasn't declined as much as expected, dropping by 8% from Q3 2023 to Q2 2024. HighPeak's oil cut has gone down from 84% in Q3 2023 to 76% in Q2 2024 though, so its oil outperformance isn't as great. HPK is projected to generate $100 million in 2H 2024 free cash flow at current strip prices. Operating cost performance is in line with my expectations after making significant year-over-year improvements. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Oct 01
Is HighPeak Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:HPK) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, HighPeak Energy fair value estimate is US$10.87 HighPeak...Seeking Alpha • Sep 19
HighPeak Energy: A Low-Cost Producer
Summary Today, we circle back to HighPeak Energy after it posted solid Q2 results, beating earnings expectations, and has become a low-cost E&P concern. The company increased its FY2024 production guidance and continues to prioritize debt reduction and opportunistic share buybacks, supported by positive free cash flow. In the paragraphs below, we highlight on why HighPeak Energy seems a good E&P stock to accumulate over time on dips in the market. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Sep 11
Optimizing Operations And Reducing Costs To Amplify Shareholder Value And Propel Financial Health
HighPeak Energy's focus on optimizing daily operations and cost reduction is expected to continuously improve net margins by maintaining low expenses and enhancing output.Analysis Article • Jul 05
Sentiment Still Eluding HighPeak Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:HPK)
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.4x HighPeak Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HPK ) may be sending bullish signals...Analysis Article • Jun 17
HighPeak Energy (NASDAQ:HPK) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • May 29
It's Unlikely That HighPeak Energy, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:HPK) CEO Will See A Huge Pay Rise This Year
Key Insights HighPeak Energy will host its Annual General Meeting on 4th of June Salary of US$2.00m is part of CEO Jack...Seeking Alpha • May 17
HighPeak Energy Makes Significant Progress With Operating Cost Reductions
Summary HighPeak Energy's combined lease operating expense and workover expense ended up at $6.69 per BOE in Q1 2024. This was an 18% decrease from Q4 2023 and a 32% decrease from Q1 2023. HPK indicated that operating costs should be similar during the rest of 2024, which would be a large improvement over its original guidance. Production was roughly flat in Q1 2024 compared to Q4 2023, but is still likely to decline during the rest of 2024. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • May 14
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of HighPeak Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:HPK)
Key Insights HighPeak Energy's estimated fair value is US$15.58 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity HighPeak...Analysis Article • Mar 13
Why HighPeak Energy's (NASDAQ:HPK) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
Investors were disappointed by HighPeak Energy, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:HPK ) latest earnings release. Our analysis has found...Analysis Article • Mar 10
Earnings Update: HighPeak Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:HPK) Just Reported And Analysts Are Trimming Their Forecasts
There's been a notable change in appetite for HighPeak Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HPK ) shares in the week since its yearly...Seeking Alpha • Mar 08
HighPeak Energy Expects Production To Decline From H2 2023 Levels (Downgrade)
Summary HighPeak Energy, Inc.'s 2024 guidance suggests that its 2024 production may average 10% lower than its Q4 2023 sales volumes. HighPeak is expected to generate around $145 million in 2024 free cash flow, but at the cost of those production declines. HighPeak's reserve volumes and PV-10 were significantly reduced between its August 2023 estimates and its year-end report. HighPeak is also required to make $120 million in term loan repayments per year. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Mar 02
Further Upside For HighPeak Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:HPK) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 27% Bounce
HighPeak Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HPK ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period...Analysis Article • Jan 19
Is HighPeak Energy (NASDAQ:HPK) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Shareholder Returns
| HPK | US Oil and Gas | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -15.9% | -5.1% | 2.2% |
| 1Y | -41.4% | 29.3% | 31.1% |
Return vs Industry: HPK underperformed the US Oil and Gas industry which returned 29.3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: HPK underperformed the US Market which returned 31.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| HPK volatility | |
|---|---|
| HPK Average Weekly Movement | 12.4% |
| Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement | 6.1% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: HPK's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: HPK's weekly volatility (12%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 50 | Mike Hollis | www.highpeakenergy.com |
HighPeak Energy, Inc. operates as an independent crude oil and natural gas exploration and production company. It engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the Permian Basin in West Texas and Eastern New Mexico. The company was formerly known as HPK Energy, LP and changed its name to HighPeak Energy, Inc. in August 2020.
HighPeak Energy, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| HPK fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$735.40m |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$143.37m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$806.93m |
0.9x
P/S Ratio-5.1x
P/E RatioIs HPK overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| HPK income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$806.93m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$238.70m |
| Gross Profit | US$568.24m |
| Other Expenses | US$711.61m |
| Earnings | -US$143.37m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -1.13 |
| Gross Margin | 70.42% |
| Net Profit Margin | -17.77% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 80.9% |
How did HPK perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 06:55 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
HighPeak Energy, Inc. is covered by 4 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Noah Hungness | BofA Global Research |
| Nicholas Pope | Roth Capital Partners |
| Gabriele Sorbara | Siebert Williams Shank & Co., LLC |