Stock Analysis

Three Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Below Intrinsic Value In October 2025

As the United States stock market grapples with renewed trade tensions with China, overshadowing robust bank earnings, investors are keenly observing market movements for opportunities. In this environment of uncertainty and volatility, identifying stocks that may be trading below their intrinsic value can offer potential avenues for strategic investment.

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Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United States

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Trade Desk (TTD)$50.73$96.4947.4%
Peapack-Gladstone Financial (PGC)$28.58$56.1649.1%
Metropolitan Bank Holding (MCB)$79.01$152.3048.1%
McGraw Hill (MH)$12.60$25.0449.7%
Investar Holding (ISTR)$22.905$45.3949.5%
Horizon Bancorp (HBNC)$15.95$31.4649.3%
First Busey (BUSE)$23.75$45.9148.3%
e.l.f. Beauty (ELF)$132.49$252.8047.6%
Comstock Resources (CRK)$19.21$37.9549.4%
AGNC Investment (AGNC)$10.01$19.6149%

Click here to see the full list of 181 stocks from our Undervalued US Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Below we spotlight a couple of our favorites from our exclusive screener.

Atlassian (TEAM)

Overview: Atlassian Corporation offers collaboration software designed to enhance productivity across organizations globally, with a market cap of approximately $39.19 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of $5.22 billion from its Software & Programming segment.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 44.2%

Atlassian appears undervalued based on cash flow analysis, trading at US$156.37, significantly below its estimated fair value of US$280.33. Despite a net loss of US$256.69 million for the year ended June 2025, Atlassian's earnings are expected to grow by 52.97% annually and become profitable within three years, outpacing average market growth rates. However, recent insider selling could be a concern for potential investors evaluating its long-term prospects amidst strategic partnerships like the one with Google Cloud.

TEAM Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
TEAM Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Apollo Global Management (APO)

Overview: Apollo Global Management, Inc. is a private equity firm that specializes in investments across credit, private equity, infrastructure, secondaries and real estate markets with a market cap of $70.04 billion.

Operations: Apollo Global Management generates revenue through three primary segments: Asset Management ($5.24 billion), Principal Investing ($1.15 billion), and Retirement Services ($21.40 billion).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 26.5%

Apollo Global Management is trading at US$127.64, notably below its estimated fair value of US$173.61, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Despite a decline in net profit margins from 20.9% to 12.5%, earnings are projected to grow significantly at 28.7% annually over the next three years, outpacing market averages. However, significant insider selling and an unstable dividend track record could pose risks for investors considering long-term commitments amidst ongoing M&A discussions and strategic expansions.

APO Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
APO Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

HubSpot (HUBS)

Overview: HubSpot, Inc. offers a cloud-based customer relationship management (CRM) platform for businesses across the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific, with a market capitalization of approximately $23.71 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue from its Internet Software & Services segment, totaling $2.85 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 20.4%

HubSpot is trading at US$456.58, below its estimated fair value of US$573.9, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company forecasts a strong revenue growth rate of 14.5% annually and expects to become profitable within three years, surpassing market averages in profitability growth. Recent integrations with partners like Talkdesk and CallRail enhance HubSpot's platform capabilities, streamlining customer interactions and data management for improved operational efficiency amidst ongoing product innovations in AI-driven marketing strategies.

HUBS Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
HUBS Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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