Jiayin Group Valuation

Is JFIN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JFIN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JFIN ($5.84) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($60.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JFIN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JFIN?

Key metric: As JFIN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for JFIN. This is calculated by dividing JFIN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is JFIN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio1.9x
EarningsCN¥1.20b
Market CapCN¥2.61b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JFIN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JFIN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.3x
XYF X Financial
1.7xn/aUS$309.0m
RM Regional Management
12.7x41.5%US$303.9m
MFIN Medallion Financial
5.3x16.6%US$212.6m
YRD Yiren Digital
1.5xn/aUS$515.5m
JFIN Jiayin Group
1.9xn/aUS$360.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JFIN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (5.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JFIN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Finance Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.12.2x13.2%
JFIN Jiayin Group
1.9xn/aUS$360.62m
YRD Yiren Digital
1.5xn/aUS$515.52m
XYF X Financial
1.7xn/aUS$308.99m
No more companies available in this PE range
JFIN 1.9xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies4PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.12.2x13.2%
JFIN Jiayin Group
1.9xn/aUS$360.62m
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JFIN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.9x) compared to the US Consumer Finance industry average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JFIN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JFIN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio1.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate JFIN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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