Yiren Digital Valuation

Is YRD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YRD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YRD ($4.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($29.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YRD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YRD?

Key metric: As YRD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for YRD. This is calculated by dividing YRD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is YRD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	1.7x
Earnings	CN¥1.82b
Market Cap	CN¥3.05b

YRD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YRD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YRD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	7x
RM Regional Management	12.9x	41.5%	US$305.2m
LX LexinFintech Holdings	5x	31.1%	US$557.4m
XYF X Financial	1.7x	n/a	US$311.5m
EZPW EZCORP	8.3x	10.3%	US$686.3m
YRD Yiren Digital	1.7x	n/a	US$421.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YRD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.7x) compared to the peer average (7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YRD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Finance Industry?

3 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	12.4x	13.1%
YRD Yiren Digital	1.7x	n/a	US$421.63m
XYF X Financial	1.7x	n/a	US$311.46m
JFIN Jiayin Group	2x	n/a	US$311.30m

No more companies available in this PE range

3 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	12.4x	13.1%
YRD Yiren Digital	1.7x	n/a	US$421.63m

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YRD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.7x) compared to the US Consumer Finance industry average (12.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YRD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YRD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	1.7x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate YRD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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