Stock Analysis

With EPS Growth And More, Marriott Vacations Worldwide (NYSE:VAC) Makes An Interesting Case

NYSE:VAC
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Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up.

So if this idea of high risk and high reward doesn't suit, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Marriott Vacations Worldwide (NYSE:VAC). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Marriott Vacations Worldwide with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Marriott Vacations Worldwide

How Fast Is Marriott Vacations Worldwide Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

Investors and investment funds chase profits, and that means share prices tend rise with positive earnings per share (EPS) outcomes. Which is why EPS growth is looked upon so favourably. It's an outstanding feat for Marriott Vacations Worldwide to have grown EPS from US$3.16 to US$11.41 in just one year. Even though that growth rate may not be repeated, that looks like a breakout improvement.

It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. Our analysis has highlighted that Marriott Vacations Worldwide's revenue from operations did not account for all of their revenue in the previous 12 months, so our analysis of its margins might not accurately reflect the underlying business. The music to the ears of Marriott Vacations Worldwide shareholders is that EBIT margins have grown from 20% to 24% in the last 12 months and revenues are on an upwards trend as well. That's great to see, on both counts.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:VAC Earnings and Revenue History June 29th 2023

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Marriott Vacations Worldwide's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are Marriott Vacations Worldwide Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It should give investors a sense of security owning shares in a company if insiders also own shares, creating a close alignment their interests. Shareholders will be pleased by the fact that insiders own Marriott Vacations Worldwide shares worth a considerable sum. Indeed, they have a considerable amount of wealth invested in it, currently valued at US$103m. Investors will appreciate management having this amount of skin in the game as it shows their commitment to the company's future.

It's good to see that insiders are invested in the company, but are remuneration levels reasonable? Our quick analysis into CEO remuneration would seem to indicate they are. For companies with market capitalisations between US$2.0b and US$6.4b, like Marriott Vacations Worldwide, the median CEO pay is around US$6.8m.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide's CEO took home a total compensation package worth US$4.1m in the year leading up to December 2022. That comes in below the average for similar sized companies and seems pretty reasonable. While the level of CEO compensation shouldn't be the biggest factor in how the company is viewed, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. Generally, arguments can be made that reasonable pay levels attest to good decision-making.

Does Marriott Vacations Worldwide Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Marriott Vacations Worldwide's earnings per share growth have been climbing higher at an appreciable rate. An added bonus for those interested is that management hold a heap of stock and the CEO pay is quite reasonable, illustrating good cash management. The sharp increase in earnings could signal good business momentum. Big growth can make big winners, so the writing on the wall tells us that Marriott Vacations Worldwide is worth considering carefully. However, before you get too excited we've discovered 2 warning signs for Marriott Vacations Worldwide (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of.

The beauty of investing is that you can invest in almost any company you want. But if you prefer to focus on stocks that have demonstrated insider buying, here is a list of companies with insider buying in the last three months.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Marriott Vacations Worldwide is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.