Marriott Vacations Worldwide Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Marriott Vacations Worldwide is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 24.1% and 17.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 19.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.6% in 3 years.
Key information
24.1%
Earnings growth rate
19.1%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality earnings growth | 24.9% |
| Revenue growth rate | 17.2% |
| Future return on equity | 10.6% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 15 Jan 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Marriott Vacations Worldwide's (NYSE:VAC) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Dec 12
Is It Time To Consider Buying Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:VAC)?
Dec 07Marriott Vacations: Business Normalizing As Delinquencies Stabilize
Nov 26There May Be Reason For Hope In Marriott Vacations Worldwide's (NYSE:VAC) Disappointing Earnings
Nov 14A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation's (NYSE:VAC) 30% Share Price Climb
Nov 10Returns On Capital At Marriott Vacations Worldwide (NYSE:VAC) Have Stalled
Oct 29Investors Continue Waiting On Sidelines For Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:VAC)
Aug 24Marriott Vacations Worldwide (NYSE:VAC) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
Jul 29Should You Investigate Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:VAC) At US$88.19?
Jul 12Marriott Vacations Worldwide: Consumer Credit Concerns Remain A Headwind
Jun 22Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation's (NYSE:VAC) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 86% Above Its Share Price
Jun 12Potential Upside For Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:VAC) Not Without Risk
Apr 17At US$108, Is Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:VAC) Worth Looking At Closely?
Apr 01Marriott Vacations: Still Cheap Due To Conservative Valuation, Debts Under Control
Mar 25Are Investors Undervaluing Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:VAC) By 50%?
Feb 27Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Marriott Vacations Worldwide (NYSE:VAC)
Feb 12Benign Growth For Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:VAC) Underpins Its Share Price
Jan 02Marriott Vacations Worldwide's (NYSE:VAC) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Dec 12Marriott Vacations Worldwide: I'm A Buyer At Less Than 8x Free Cash Flow
Nov 30Marriott Vacations: An Ugly Q3 With Problems Likely To Persist
Nov 02Marriott Vacations: Riding The Leisure Sector Rollercoaster
Aug 25With EPS Growth And More, Marriott Vacations Worldwide (NYSE:VAC) Makes An Interesting Case
Jun 29Is There An Opportunity With Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation's (NYSE:VAC) 36% Undervaluation?
Jun 08Does Marriott Vacations Worldwide (NYSE:VAC) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
Mar 17An Intrinsic Calculation For Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:VAC) Suggests It's 35% Undervalued
Feb 24Marriott Vacations declares $0.72 dividend
Feb 17Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 5,291 | 305 | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,119 | 300 | 12 | 453 | 9 |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,872 | 224 | 11 | 286 | 9 |
| 9/30/2024 | 3,194 | 203 | 69 | 188 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 3,105 | 161 | 105 | 238 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 3,166 | 214 | 139 | 285 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 3,166 | 254 | 114 | 232 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3,202 | 307 | 170 | 291 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 3,340 | 374 | 226 | 331 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 3,357 | 420 | 250 | 343 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 3,289 | 391 | 457 | 522 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3,256 | 364 | 356 | 420 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 3,129 | 265 | 354 | 413 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 2,994 | 135 | 483 | 532 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,762 | 49 | 296 | 343 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,435 | -49 | 420 | 444 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,075 | -121 | 502 | 520 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 1,656 | -197 | 330 | 361 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 1,844 | -275 | 258 | 299 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,199 | -164 | 310 | 360 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 2,591 | -111 | 192 | 253 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,096 | 8 | 179 | 232 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,151 | 138 | 336 | 382 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,103 | 108 | 155 | 210 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,833 | 81 | 43 | 95 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,435 | 43 | 55 | 102 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,043 | 55 | 57 | 97 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 1,637 | 130 | 116 | 138 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1,474 | 206 | N/A | 186 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 1,457 | 243 | N/A | 119 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1,433 | 235 | N/A | 142 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 1,497 | 166 | N/A | 121 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 1,447 | 153 | N/A | 134 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 1,396 | 141 | N/A | 177 | N/A |
| 12/30/2016 | 1,280 | 122 | N/A | 141 | N/A |
| 9/9/2016 | 1,349 | 121 | N/A | 99 | N/A |
| 6/17/2016 | 1,360 | 115 | N/A | 51 | N/A |
| 3/25/2016 | 1,366 | 113 | N/A | 87 | N/A |
| 1/1/2016 | 1,405 | 123 | N/A | 118 | N/A |
| 9/11/2015 | 1,395 | 90 | N/A | 186 | N/A |
| 6/19/2015 | 1,401 | 94 | N/A | 272 | N/A |
| 3/27/2015 | 1,390 | 96 | N/A | 275 | N/A |
| 1/2/2015 | 1,319 | 81 | N/A | 291 | N/A |
| 9/12/2014 | 1,345 | 86 | N/A | 245 | N/A |
| 6/20/2014 | 1,352 | 86 | N/A | 226 | N/A |
| 3/28/2014 | 1,369 | 80 | N/A | 221 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: VAC's forecast earnings growth (24.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: VAC's earnings (24.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.9% per year).
High Growth Earnings: VAC's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: VAC's revenue (17.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: VAC's revenue (17.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: VAC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.6%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/01/21 23:10 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/01/21 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation is covered by 24 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Fred Lowrance | Avondale Partners |
| Ishan Majumdar | Baptista Research |
| Brandt Montour | Barclays |