Stock Analysis

At US$55.25, Is Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK) Worth Looking At Closely?

NYSE:SHAK
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While Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the NYSE over the last few months. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Shake Shack’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Shake Shack

What Is Shake Shack Worth?

Shake Shack appears to be overvalued by 35% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at US$55.25 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of $40.97. This means that the opportunity to buy Shake Shack at a good price has disappeared! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Shake Shack’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Shake Shack generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:SHAK Earnings and Revenue Growth April 17th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 98% over the next year, the near-term future seems bright for Shake Shack. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in SHAK’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe SHAK should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on SHAK for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for SHAK, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

It can be quite valuable to consider what analysts expect for Shake Shack from their most recent forecasts. At Simply Wall St, we have the analysts estimates which you can view by clicking here.

If you are no longer interested in Shake Shack, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:SHAK

Shake Shack

Owns, operates, and licenses Shake Shack restaurants (Shacks) in the United States and internationally.

Reasonable growth potential with proven track record.

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