Shake Shack Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Shake Shack is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 32.2% and 11.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 31.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.9% in 3 years.
Key information
32.2%
Earnings growth rate
31.2%
EPS growth rate
Hospitality earnings growth | 20.6% |
Revenue growth rate | 11.8% |
Future return on equity | 11.9% |
Analyst coverage | Good |
Last updated | 23 Apr 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Revenues Not Telling The Story For Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK)
Apr 25These 4 Measures Indicate That Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Apr 04Shake Shack: Finally, The Drop I Was Waiting For
Apr 01Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
Mar 14Shake Shack: Not Shaken By Higher Restaurant Prices
Feb 20Should You Be Adding Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) To Your Watchlist Today?
Feb 17Shake Shack: Bigger Bites, Bigger Challenges
Jan 24A Look At The Fair Value Of Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK)
Jan 07Pinning Down Shake Shack Inc.'s (NYSE:SHAK) P/S Is Difficult Right Now
Dec 25Does Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Dec 12Why Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK) Could Be Worth Watching
Nov 28Shake Shack: Proving Premium Is 'Worth It' In Fast Food's Exodus
Nov 19Is Now The Time To Put Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) On Your Watchlist?
Nov 14Shake Shack: Operational Excellence Is Shining Through
Nov 04Shake Shack: Surfing The Wave Of Fast-Food Inflation
Oct 16There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Returns On Capital
Oct 06Global Expansion And Critical Investments Propel Brand Growth And Profitability
Aug 30 Shake Shack's premium positioning and focus on innovation and technology suggest a strong potential for increased revenue through differentiated products and pricing strategies.After Leaping 31% Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
Aug 22Shake Shack: Set To Thrive Under New Leadership
Aug 22Shake Shack: A Solid Performance Outlook For The Business
Aug 16Shake Shack: Poor Business Fundamentals Indicate Overvaluation
Jul 14Is Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) A Risky Investment?
Jul 12Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
Jun 17Shake Shack: Priced With Too Much Growth Anticipation
May 06Shake Shack: Reiterate Buy Rating As Margin Improvement Initiatives Are Working Well
Feb 27Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest
Feb 22Shake Shack: Upgrading To Buy On Expansion And Marketing Plans
Feb 01The Price Is Right For Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK)
Jan 27Is Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) Using Too Much Debt?
Dec 15Shake Shack: Rating Upgrade As Profitability Shows Great Improvement
Nov 20Shake Shack: A Decent Quarter, But Traffic Declines Persist
Nov 03Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
Nov 03Shake Shack: Combating Revenue Growth And Rising Cost Challenges
Oct 03Shake Shack: Long-Term Story Is Attractive, But Some Near-Term Headwinds
Aug 30Is Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) A Risky Investment?
Jul 13Shake Shack: Growth Potential, But Margin Issues Remain
Jun 23Shake Shack: Remain As A Hold Until Further Signs Of Margin Improvement
Jun 13At US$55.25, Is Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK) Worth Looking At Closely?
Apr 18Shake Shack Inc.'s (NYSE:SHAK) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 22% Below Its Share Price
Mar 28Shake Shack: Margin Movement Is A Concern
Feb 22Shake Shack Q4 2022 Earnings Preview
Feb 15Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/31/2027 | 1,853 | 87 | 63 | 247 | 9 |
12/31/2026 | 1,641 | 68 | 36 | 205 | 21 |
12/31/2025 | 1,455 | 55 | 35 | 188 | 21 |
12/25/2024 | 1,253 | 10 | 36 | 171 | N/A |
9/25/2024 | 1,210 | 9 | 34 | 168 | N/A |
6/26/2024 | 1,169 | 27 | 17 | 154 | N/A |
3/27/2024 | 1,125 | 24 | -2 | 143 | N/A |
12/27/2023 | 1,088 | 20 | -14 | 132 | N/A |
9/27/2023 | 1,040 | 5 | -48 | 113 | N/A |
6/28/2023 | 991 | -4 | -58 | 104 | N/A |
3/29/2023 | 950 | -13 | -60 | 89 | N/A |
12/28/2022 | 900 | -21 | -66 | 77 | N/A |
9/28/2022 | 865 | -23 | -58 | 69 | N/A |
6/29/2022 | 831 | -23 | -55 | 57 | N/A |
3/30/2022 | 788 | -20 | -50 | 56 | N/A |
12/29/2021 | 740 | -5 | -43 | 58 | N/A |
9/29/2021 | 694 | -18 | -38 | 53 | N/A |
6/30/2021 | 631 | -22 | -20 | 56 | N/A |
3/31/2021 | 535 | -40 | -33 | 40 | N/A |
12/30/2020 | 523 | -42 | -32 | 37 | N/A |
9/23/2020 | 517 | -25 | -27 | 45 | N/A |
6/24/2020 | 544 | -9 | -16 | 72 | N/A |
3/25/2020 | 605 | 16 | -21 | 80 | N/A |
12/25/2019 | 595 | 20 | -17 | 90 | N/A |
9/25/2019 | 567 | 21 | -13 | 96 | N/A |
6/26/2019 | 529 | 16 | -27 | 80 | N/A |
3/27/2019 | 493 | 14 | -11 | 83 | N/A |
12/26/2018 | 459 | 15 | -2 | 85 | N/A |
9/26/2018 | 431 | 4 | N/A | 80 | N/A |
6/27/2018 | 406 | 4 | N/A | 78 | N/A |
3/28/2018 | 381 | 1 | N/A | 80 | N/A |
12/27/2017 | 359 | 0 | N/A | 71 | N/A |
9/27/2017 | 336 | 16 | N/A | 68 | N/A |
6/28/2017 | 316 | 15 | N/A | 64 | N/A |
3/29/2017 | 291 | 13 | N/A | 55 | N/A |
12/28/2016 | 268 | 12 | N/A | 54 | N/A |
9/28/2016 | 246 | 10 | N/A | 51 | N/A |
6/29/2016 | 225 | 8 | N/A | 48 | N/A |
3/30/2016 | 207 | 5 | N/A | 45 | N/A |
12/30/2015 | 191 | -9 | N/A | 41 | N/A |
9/30/2015 | 174 | -11 | N/A | 33 | N/A |
7/1/2015 | 153 | -12 | N/A | 23 | N/A |
4/1/2015 | 132 | -12 | N/A | 17 | N/A |
12/31/2014 | 119 | 2 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
9/24/2014 | 107 | 5 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
6/25/2014 | 98 | 4 | N/A | 15 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: SHAK's forecast earnings growth (32.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).
Earnings vs Market: SHAK's earnings (32.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.1% per year).
High Growth Earnings: SHAK's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: SHAK's revenue (11.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: SHAK's revenue (11.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: SHAK's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.9%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
---|---|
Company Analysis | 2025/04/24 17:43 |
End of Day Share Price | 2025/04/24 00:00 |
Earnings | 2024/12/25 |
Annual Earnings | 2024/12/25 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
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Company Financials | 10 years |
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Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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Market Prices | 30 years |
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Ownership | 10 years |
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Management | 10 years |
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Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Shake Shack Inc. is covered by 33 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
Analyst | Institution |
---|---|
David Tarantino | Baird |
Ishan Majumdar | Baptista Research |
Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |