Shake Shack Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Shake Shack is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 38.4% and 12.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 37.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.8% in 3 years.

Key information

38.4%

Earnings growth rate

37.9%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth22.8%
Revenue growth rate12.1%
Future return on equity10.8%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated09 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

A Look At The Fair Value Of Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK)

Jan 07
A Look At The Fair Value Of Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK)

Pinning Down Shake Shack Inc.'s (NYSE:SHAK) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

Dec 25
Pinning Down Shake Shack Inc.'s (NYSE:SHAK) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

Does Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Dec 12
Does Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Why Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK) Could Be Worth Watching

Nov 28
Why Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK) Could Be Worth Watching

Shake Shack: Proving Premium Is 'Worth It' In Fast Food's Exodus

Nov 19

Is Now The Time To Put Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) On Your Watchlist?

Nov 14
Is Now The Time To Put Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) On Your Watchlist?

Shake Shack: Operational Excellence Is Shining Through

Nov 04

Shake Shack: Surfing The Wave Of Fast-Food Inflation

Oct 16

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Returns On Capital

Oct 06
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Returns On Capital

After Leaping 31% Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Aug 22
After Leaping 31% Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Shake Shack: Set To Thrive Under New Leadership

Aug 22

Shake Shack: A Solid Performance Outlook For The Business

Aug 16

Shake Shack: Poor Business Fundamentals Indicate Overvaluation

Jul 14

Is Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) A Risky Investment?

Jul 12
Is Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) A Risky Investment?

Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Jun 17
Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Shake Shack: Priced With Too Much Growth Anticipation

May 06

Shake Shack: Reiterate Buy Rating As Margin Improvement Initiatives Are Working Well

Feb 27

Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest

Feb 22
Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest

Shake Shack: Upgrading To Buy On Expansion And Marketing Plans

Feb 01

The Price Is Right For Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK)

Jan 27
The Price Is Right For Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK)

Shake Shack: Rating Upgrade As Profitability Shows Great Improvement

Nov 20

Shake Shack: A Decent Quarter, But Traffic Declines Persist

Nov 03

Shake Shack: Combating Revenue Growth And Rising Cost Challenges

Oct 03

Shake Shack: Long-Term Story Is Attractive, But Some Near-Term Headwinds

Aug 30

Shake Shack: Growth Potential, But Margin Issues Remain

Jun 23

Shake Shack: Remain As A Hold Until Further Signs Of Margin Improvement

Jun 13

Shake Shack: Margin Movement Is A Concern

Feb 22

Shake Shack Q4 2022 Earnings Preview

Feb 15

Shake Shack: Margins Remain Under Pressure

Jan 30

Shake Shack Q4 revenue surpasses consensus

Jan 10

Shake Shack: Beginning Of A Margin Expansion Story

Oct 24

Shake Shack: Don't Chase The Stock Here

Aug 15

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:SHAK - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20271,85290N/AN/A3
12/31/20261,634667022615
12/31/20251,433502819122
12/31/20241,24981317422
9/25/20241,210934168N/A
6/26/20241,1692717154N/A
3/27/20241,12524-2143N/A
12/27/20231,08820-14132N/A
9/27/20231,0405-48113N/A
6/28/2023991-4-58104N/A
3/29/2023950-13-6089N/A
12/28/2022900-21-6677N/A
9/28/2022865-23-5869N/A
6/29/2022831-23-5557N/A
3/30/2022788-20-5056N/A
12/29/2021740-5-4358N/A
9/29/2021694-18-3853N/A
6/30/2021631-22-2056N/A
3/31/2021535-40-3340N/A
12/30/2020523-42-3237N/A
9/23/2020517-25-2745N/A
6/24/2020544-9-1672N/A
3/25/202060516-2180N/A
12/25/201959520-1790N/A
9/25/201956721-1396N/A
6/26/201952916-2780N/A
3/27/201949314-1183N/A
12/26/201845915-285N/A
9/26/20184314-180N/A
6/27/20184064N/A78N/A
3/28/20183811N/A80N/A
12/27/20173590N/A71N/A
9/27/201733616N/A68N/A
6/28/201731615N/A64N/A
3/29/201729113N/A55N/A
12/28/201626812N/A54N/A
9/28/201624610N/A51N/A
6/29/20162258N/A48N/A
3/30/20162075N/A45N/A
12/30/2015191-9N/A41N/A
9/30/2015174-11N/A33N/A
7/1/2015153-12N/A23N/A
4/1/2015132-12N/A17N/A
12/31/20141192N/A14N/A
9/24/20141075N/A14N/A
6/25/2014984N/A15N/A
3/26/2014885N/A11N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SHAK's forecast earnings growth (38.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: SHAK's earnings (38.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SHAK's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SHAK's revenue (12.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SHAK's revenue (12.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SHAK's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.8%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/10 16:07
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/08 00:00
Earnings2024/09/25
Annual Earnings2023/12/27

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Shake Shack Inc. is covered by 32 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David TarantinoBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays