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Why We're Not Concerned About Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:HLT) Share Price
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE:HLT) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 44.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Recent times have been pleasing for Hilton Worldwide Holdings as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Hilton Worldwide Holdings
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Hilton Worldwide Holdings.Is There Enough Growth For Hilton Worldwide Holdings?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Hilton Worldwide Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Likewise, not much has changed from three years ago as earnings have been stuck during that whole time. So it seems apparent to us that the company has struggled to grow earnings meaningfully over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 29% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Hilton Worldwide Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Hilton Worldwide Holdings' P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Hilton Worldwide Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Having said that, be aware Hilton Worldwide Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is concerning.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hilton Worldwide Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings
A hospitality company, engages in managing, franchising, owning, and leasing hotels and resorts.
Moderate growth potential with questionable track record.