Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

NYSE:HLT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$59.9b

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Valuation

Is HLT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HLT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HLT ($249.42) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($215.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HLT is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLT?

Key metric: As HLT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HLT. This is calculated by dividing HLT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HLT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio51.7x
EarningsUS$1.18b
Market CapUS$59.91b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HLT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HLT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30x
MAR Marriott International
28.5x8.4%US$77.5b
ABNB Airbnb
45.6x17.7%US$80.8b
TCOM Trip.com Group
21.2x9.4%US$47.3b
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises
24.6x18.8%US$62.0b
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings
51.7x17.6%US$59.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.7x) compared to the peer average (30x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HLT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
THRS.F Agility Real Estate
1.7xn/aUS$2.05m
No more companies available in this PE range
HLT 51.7xIndustry Avg. 23.7xNo. of Companies14PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.7x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (23.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HLT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HLT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio51.7x
Fair PE Ratio32.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HLT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$249.42
US$240.34
-3.6%
11.3%US$296.00US$185.00n/a26
Dec ’25US$253.44
US$235.88
-6.9%
10.1%US$274.00US$185.00n/a26
Nov ’25US$236.47
US$232.93
-1.5%
10.0%US$274.00US$185.00n/a26
Oct ’25US$229.83
US$217.32
-5.4%
9.0%US$254.00US$180.00n/a26
Sep ’25US$219.64
US$218.00
-0.7%
8.3%US$254.00US$180.00n/a25
Aug ’25US$208.71
US$219.60
+5.2%
8.1%US$254.00US$182.00n/a25
Jul ’25US$214.23
US$215.68
+0.7%
8.3%US$254.00US$182.00n/a25
Jun ’25US$200.60
US$215.25
+7.3%
8.3%US$254.00US$182.00n/a24
May ’25US$197.74
US$213.48
+8.0%
8.4%US$254.00US$182.00n/a23
Apr ’25US$212.70
US$209.13
-1.7%
8.1%US$245.00US$176.00n/a24
Mar ’25US$204.88
US$199.96
-2.4%
8.6%US$237.00US$153.00n/a23
Feb ’25US$193.72
US$180.09
-7.0%
9.7%US$215.00US$145.00n/a23
Jan ’25US$182.09
US$172.57
-5.2%
7.5%US$191.00US$145.00n/a23
Dec ’24US$170.84
US$168.55
-1.3%
6.9%US$191.00US$145.00US$253.4422
Nov ’24US$151.13
US$167.82
+11.0%
7.0%US$191.00US$145.00US$236.4722
Oct ’24US$150.18
US$163.33
+8.8%
5.9%US$182.00US$145.00US$229.8321
Sep ’24US$151.00
US$162.55
+7.6%
6.2%US$182.00US$145.00US$219.6422
Aug ’24US$154.57
US$162.14
+4.9%
6.3%US$182.00US$145.00US$208.7122
Jul ’24US$145.55
US$155.30
+6.7%
5.0%US$170.00US$142.00US$214.2320
Jun ’24US$137.67
US$155.45
+12.9%
5.1%US$170.00US$142.00US$200.6020
May ’24US$144.45
US$154.89
+7.2%
5.5%US$170.00US$142.00US$197.7419
Apr ’24US$140.87
US$153.10
+8.7%
5.9%US$170.00US$137.00US$212.7020
Mar ’24US$145.50
US$151.75
+4.3%
6.4%US$170.00US$129.00US$204.8820
Feb ’24US$147.38
US$146.00
-0.9%
8.3%US$171.00US$123.00US$193.7220
Jan ’24US$126.36
US$146.50
+15.9%
7.2%US$171.00US$123.00US$182.0920
Dec ’23US$142.30
US$145.61
+2.3%
6.6%US$160.00US$123.00US$170.8418

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 22:47
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is covered by 49 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Michael BellisarioBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research