Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

NYSE:HLT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$50.0b

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Valuation

Is HLT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HLT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HLT ($198.82) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($153.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HLT is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HLT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue13.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA24.6x
PEG Ratio2.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HLT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HLT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.4x
MAR Marriott International
22.1x4.3%US$68.1b
TCOM Trip.com Group
22.8x12.4%US$31.3b
ABNB Airbnb
21.3x0.4%US$101.9b
BKNG Booking Holdings
27.3x13.9%US$117.2b
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings
43.8x16.2%US$50.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.8x) compared to the peer average (23.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HLT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.8x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (19.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HLT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HLT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.8x
Fair PE Ratio33.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HLT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$198.82
US$211.92
+6.6%
9.5%US$254.00US$176.00n/a24
Apr ’25US$212.70
US$209.13
-1.7%
8.1%US$245.00US$176.00n/a24
Mar ’25US$204.88
US$199.96
-2.4%
8.6%US$237.00US$153.00n/a23
Feb ’25US$193.72
US$180.09
-7.0%
9.7%US$215.00US$145.00n/a23
Jan ’25US$182.09
US$172.57
-5.2%
7.5%US$191.00US$145.00n/a23
Dec ’24US$170.84
US$168.55
-1.3%
6.9%US$191.00US$145.00n/a22
Nov ’24US$151.13
US$167.82
+11.0%
7.0%US$191.00US$145.00n/a22
Oct ’24US$150.18
US$163.33
+8.8%
5.9%US$182.00US$145.00n/a21
Sep ’24US$151.00
US$162.55
+7.6%
6.2%US$182.00US$145.00n/a22
Aug ’24US$154.57
US$162.14
+4.9%
6.3%US$182.00US$145.00n/a22
Jul ’24US$145.55
US$155.30
+6.7%
5.0%US$170.00US$142.00n/a20
Jun ’24US$137.67
US$155.45
+12.9%
5.1%US$170.00US$142.00n/a20
May ’24US$144.45
US$154.89
+7.2%
5.5%US$170.00US$142.00n/a19
Apr ’24US$140.87
US$153.10
+8.7%
5.9%US$170.00US$137.00US$212.7020
Mar ’24US$145.50
US$151.75
+4.3%
6.4%US$170.00US$129.00US$204.8820
Feb ’24US$147.38
US$146.00
-0.9%
8.3%US$171.00US$123.00US$193.7220
Jan ’24US$126.36
US$146.50
+15.9%
7.2%US$171.00US$123.00US$182.0920
Dec ’23US$142.30
US$145.61
+2.3%
6.6%US$160.00US$123.00US$170.8418
Nov ’23US$133.74
US$145.33
+8.7%
6.7%US$160.00US$123.00US$151.1318
Oct ’23US$120.62
US$143.89
+19.3%
7.8%US$160.00US$120.00US$150.1819
Sep ’23US$127.67
US$142.70
+11.8%
7.8%US$160.00US$120.00US$151.0020
Aug ’23US$128.69
US$142.60
+10.8%
7.7%US$160.00US$120.00US$154.5720
Jul ’23US$112.99
US$152.86
+35.3%
9.7%US$180.00US$125.00US$145.5521
Jun ’23US$138.42
US$154.33
+11.5%
8.6%US$180.00US$128.00US$137.6721
May ’23US$155.29
US$154.43
-0.6%
9.4%US$180.00US$122.00US$144.4521
Apr ’23US$150.71
US$152.62
+1.3%
9.1%US$179.00US$122.00US$140.8721

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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