Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

NYSE:HLT Stock Report

Mkt Cap: US$39.5b

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Valuation

Is HLT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HLT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue13.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA22.7x
PEG Ratio2.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HLT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HLT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average48.9x
MAR Marriott International
25.3x10.3%US$54.5b
EXPE Expedia Group
41.2x27.7%US$18.6b
BKNG Booking Holdings
39.2x19.0%US$95.8b
H Hyatt Hotels
89.8x22.0%US$11.9b
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings
36.8x14.6%US$39.5b


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HLT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.0%
n/an/an/a


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HLT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HLT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36.8x
Fair PE Ratio31.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.7x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HLT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HLT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$146.23
US$146.15
-0.05%
8.3%US$171.00US$123.00n/a20
Jan ’24US$126.36
US$146.50
+15.9%
7.2%US$171.00US$123.00n/a20
Dec ’23US$142.30
US$145.61
+2.3%
6.6%US$160.00US$123.00n/a18
Nov ’23US$133.74
US$145.33
+8.7%
6.7%US$160.00US$123.00n/a18
Oct ’23US$120.62
US$143.89
+19.3%
7.8%US$160.00US$120.00n/a19
Sep ’23US$127.67
US$142.70
+11.8%
7.8%US$160.00US$120.00n/a20
Aug ’23US$128.69
US$142.60
+10.8%
7.7%US$160.00US$120.00n/a20
Jul ’23US$112.99
US$152.86
+35.3%
9.7%US$180.00US$125.00n/a21
Jun ’23US$138.42
US$154.33
+11.5%
8.6%US$180.00US$128.00n/a21
May ’23US$155.29
US$154.43
-0.6%
9.4%US$180.00US$122.00n/a21
Apr ’23US$150.71
US$152.62
+1.3%
9.1%US$179.00US$122.00n/a21
Mar ’23US$142.17
US$152.62
+7.3%
9.0%US$179.00US$122.00n/a21
Feb ’23US$145.72
US$149.19
+2.4%
9.6%US$175.00US$115.00US$147.3821
Jan ’23US$155.99
US$146.48
-6.1%
10.6%US$169.00US$110.00US$126.3621
Dec ’22US$129.96
US$146.43
+12.7%
10.6%US$169.00US$110.00US$142.3021
Nov ’22US$144.78
US$144.90
+0.08%
10.8%US$169.00US$110.00US$133.7420
Oct ’22US$138.15
US$132.24
-4.3%
8.8%US$159.00US$105.00US$120.6221
Sep ’22US$125.32
US$131.86
+5.2%
8.9%US$158.00US$105.00US$127.6721
Aug ’22US$131.45
US$131.62
+0.1%
8.9%US$158.00US$105.00US$128.6921
Jul ’22US$123.62
US$125.45
+1.5%
9.7%US$145.00US$100.00US$112.9920
Jun ’22US$126.61
US$124.90
-1.4%
10.4%US$145.00US$100.00US$138.4220
May ’22US$128.70
US$120.70
-6.2%
11.9%US$145.00US$97.00US$155.2920
Apr ’22US$121.65
US$119.00
-2.2%
11.6%US$140.00US$97.00US$150.7120
Mar ’22US$123.76
US$115.75
-6.5%
10.6%US$137.00US$97.00US$142.1720
Feb ’22US$101.92
US$106.95
+4.9%
14.5%US$135.00US$77.00US$145.7220


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