Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

NYSE:HLT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$60.9b

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Valuation

Is HLT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HLT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HLT ($250.14) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($215.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HLT is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLT?

Key metric: As HLT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HLT. This is calculated by dividing HLT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HLT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio51.8x
EarningsUS$1.18b
Market CapUS$60.89b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HLT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HLT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.3x
MAR Marriott International
28.1x8.4%US$77.6b
ABNB Airbnb
46x18.0%US$82.1b
TCOM Trip.com Group
18.9x8.7%US$40.9b
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises
24.4x18.9%US$63.1b
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings
51.8x17.6%US$60.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.8x) compared to the peer average (29.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HLT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GDHG Golden Heaven Group Holdings
3.5xn/aUS$6.01m
THRS.F Agility Real Estate
1.7xn/aUS$2.05m
No more companies available in this PE range
HLT 51.8xIndustry Avg. 24.4xNo. of Companies15PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.8x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (24.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HLT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HLT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio51.8x
Fair PE Ratio33x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HLT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$250.14
US$235.88
-5.7%
10.1%US$274.00US$185.00n/a26
Nov ’25US$236.47
US$232.93
-1.5%
10.0%US$274.00US$185.00n/a26
Oct ’25US$229.83
US$217.32
-5.4%
9.0%US$254.00US$180.00n/a26
Sep ’25US$219.64
US$218.00
-0.7%
8.3%US$254.00US$180.00n/a25
Aug ’25US$208.71
US$219.60
+5.2%
8.1%US$254.00US$182.00n/a25
Jul ’25US$214.23
US$215.68
+0.7%
8.3%US$254.00US$182.00n/a25
Jun ’25US$200.60
US$215.25
+7.3%
8.3%US$254.00US$182.00n/a24
May ’25US$197.74
US$213.48
+8.0%
8.4%US$254.00US$182.00n/a23
Apr ’25US$212.70
US$209.13
-1.7%
8.1%US$245.00US$176.00n/a24
Mar ’25US$204.88
US$199.96
-2.4%
8.6%US$237.00US$153.00n/a23
Feb ’25US$193.72
US$180.09
-7.0%
9.7%US$215.00US$145.00n/a23
Jan ’25US$182.09
US$172.57
-5.2%
7.5%US$191.00US$145.00n/a23
Dec ’24US$170.84
US$168.55
-1.3%
6.9%US$191.00US$145.00n/a22
Nov ’24US$151.13
US$167.82
+11.0%
7.0%US$191.00US$145.00US$236.4722
Oct ’24US$150.18
US$163.33
+8.8%
5.9%US$182.00US$145.00US$229.8321
Sep ’24US$151.00
US$162.55
+7.6%
6.2%US$182.00US$145.00US$219.6422
Aug ’24US$154.57
US$162.14
+4.9%
6.3%US$182.00US$145.00US$208.7122
Jul ’24US$145.55
US$155.30
+6.7%
5.0%US$170.00US$142.00US$214.2320
Jun ’24US$137.67
US$155.45
+12.9%
5.1%US$170.00US$142.00US$200.6020
May ’24US$144.45
US$154.89
+7.2%
5.5%US$170.00US$142.00US$197.7419
Apr ’24US$140.87
US$153.10
+8.7%
5.9%US$170.00US$137.00US$212.7020
Mar ’24US$145.50
US$151.75
+4.3%
6.4%US$170.00US$129.00US$204.8820
Feb ’24US$147.38
US$146.00
-0.9%
8.3%US$171.00US$123.00US$193.7220
Jan ’24US$126.36
US$146.50
+15.9%
7.2%US$171.00US$123.00US$182.0920
Dec ’23US$142.30
US$145.61
+2.3%
6.6%US$160.00US$123.00US$170.8418
Nov ’23US$133.74
US$145.33
+8.7%
6.7%US$160.00US$123.00US$151.1318

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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