Stock Analysis

Revenues Working Against Bloomin' Brands, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BLMN) Share Price Following 34% Dive

NasdaqGS:BLMN
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Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:BLMN) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 34% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 71% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, Bloomin' Brands may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Hospitality industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.6x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Bloomin' Brands

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:BLMN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 5th 2025

What Does Bloomin' Brands' Recent Performance Look Like?

Bloomin' Brands hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Bloomin' Brands' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Bloomin' Brands' Revenue Growth Trending?

Bloomin' Brands' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.4%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 4.2% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 0.5% each year as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 13% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Bloomin' Brands' P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Bloomin' Brands' P/S

The southerly movements of Bloomin' Brands' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Bloomin' Brands' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Bloomin' Brands (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.